Transición Estructural .NET

Es penoso ver a mentes privilegiadas caer en la ceguera voluntaria

Cuando en lugar de verbalizar la realidad, se hacen risas o se yuxtaponen discursos inconexos. Cuando una vez bajada la persiana, se comenta la buena sombra y lo fresca que resulta, como si convenir de ello fuera un "despertar" que legitimara la ceguera mental de quien se autodefine como poseedor de sombras.

No vengo aquí a leer comentarios inconexos. Vengo a divertirme con argumentos más o menos acertados sobre lo que ocurre a plena luz, y no pienso convenir de nada, con nadie, sólo porque se enorgullezca de su ceguera.

Vengo a abrir la mente, a que muera la ceguera, y si ésta me mata, sea porque he vivido.

Confío en que entre todos contribuyamos a subir las persianas.
¡Diviértanse, la vida es corta!

OPINION / China, Rusia y el camino hacia una orden democrático multipolar

El entendimiento chino-ruso está cambiando las placas tectónicas de la política mundial
Sino-Russian entente shifts the tectonic plates of world politics

M.K. Bhadrakumar  19 de mayo de 2024 – Indian Punchline

v/EN https://www.indianpunchline.com/sino-russian-entente-shifts-the-tectonic-plates-of-world-politics/
v/FR https://lesakerfrancophone.fr/lentente-sino-russe-modifie-les-plaques-tectoniques-de-la-politique-mondiale
v/GoES https://lesakerfrancophone-fr.translate.goog/lentente-sino-russe-modifie-les-plaques-tectoniques-de-la-politique-mondiale?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=es&_x_tr_hl=en-US



UCRANIA - OTAN

Xi added, “China and Russia believe that the Ukraine crisis must be resolved by political means… This approach aims to shape a new balanced, effective and sustainable security architecture.”

Putin responded that Moscow positively evaluates the Chinese plan. He told Xinhua news agency in aaa interview that Beijing is well aware of the root causes and global geopolitical significance of this conflict. And the ideas and proposals recorded in the document testify to the “sincere desire of our Chinese friends to help stabilise the situation,” Putin said.

The mutual trust and confidence is such that the current Russian offensive in Kharkov began on May 10 just six days before Putin’s trip to China. Beijing knows it is a defining moment in the war — Moscow is only 3-4 minutes away in a missile strike if NATO gains access to the city.

Notably, the joint statement issued after Putin’s visit affirms that for “a sustainable settlement of the Ukrainian crisis, it is necessary to eliminate its root causes.” Going beyond the vexed issue of NATO expansion, the 7000-word document for the first time attacked the demolition of monuments to the Red Army in Ukraine and across Europe and the rehabilitation of fascism.   

Beijing senses that Russia has gained the upper hand in the war. Indeed, if the NATO were to suffer defeat in Ukraine, it would have profound consequences for the transatlantic system and the US’ inclination to risk yet another confrontation in the Asia-Pacific. (Interestingly, Taiwan’s outgoing foreign minister, Joseph Wu, said in an interview with Associated Press that Putin’s visit to China testified to Russia and China “helping each other expand their territorial reach”.) 

China is mindful of the fault lines in the Euro-Atlantic alliance and is purposively developing close relationship with parts of continental Europe. This was the leitmotif of Xi’s recent tour of France, Serbia and Hungary, as evident from the nervous reaction in Washington and London. 

CHINA - EUROPA

Unlike Russia, China carries no baggage in its relations with Europe. And European priorities do not lie in getting entangled in a US-China confrontation, either. European elites are not considering any new policy yet but this is likely to change after the elections to the European Parliament (June 6-8) as they are pushed to find a compromise with Russia stemming out of the rising economic costs associated with defence spending, deepening concern about the prospect of a direct conflict with Russia amidst the growing realisation that Russia cannot be defeated, and an awakening of public opinion that European spending on Ukraine in effect is financing the US military-industrial complex.

China expects all this to have a salutary effect on international security in a near term. The bottom line is that China has high stakes in a harmonious relationship with Europe, which is a crucial economic partner, second only to ASEAN. As a Russian pundit wrote last week, “China sincerely believes that economics play a central role in world politics. Despite its ancient roots, Chinese foreign policy culture is also a product of Marxist thinking, in which the economic base is vital in relation to the political superstructure.”

Simply put, Beijing is counting that the deepening of its economic ties with the EU is the surest way to encourage the leading European powers to rein in the US’ adventurist, unilateral interventionist strategies in world politics.

a more democratic multipolar world order.

Time is on Russia and China’s side. The gravitas in their alliance is already infectious, as far-flung countries in the global south flock to them. A strong Russian presence along west Africa’s Atlantic coast is now only a matter of time. The intensifying foreign policy coordination between Moscow and Beijing means that they are moving in tandem while also pursuing independent foreign policies and allowing space for them to leverage specific interests.

Xi stated in his media statement that China and Russia are committed to strategic coordination as an underpinning of relations, and steer global governance in the right direction. On this part, Putin highlighted that the two big powers have maintained close coordination on the international stage and are jointly committed to promoting the establishment of a more democratic multipolar world order.

____

About Me (M. K. BHADRAKUMAR)

I was a career diplomat by profession. For someone growing up in the 1960s in a remote town at the southern tip of India, diplomacy was an improbable profession. My passion was for the world of literature, writing and politics – roughly in that order. [...]

Roughly half of the 3 decades of my diplomatic career was devoted to assignments on the territories of the former Soviet Union and to Pakistan, Iran and Afghanistan. Other overseas postings included South Korea, Sri Lanka, Germany, and Turkey. I write mainly on Indian foreign policy and the affairs of the Middle East, Eurasia, Central Asia, South Asia and the Asia-Pacific.

Política europea: un primer balance de las grandes decisiones sobre los vehículos eléctricos
José Martí − Le 28 avril 2024
v/FR= https://lesakerfrancophone.fr/politique-europeenne-un-premier-bilan-des-grandes-decisions-sur-les-vehicules-electriques
v/Go-ES= https://lesakerfrancophone-fr.translate.goog/politique-europeenne-un-premier-bilan-des-grandes-decisions-sur-les-vehicules-electriques?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=es&_x_tr_hl=en-US

Audición de J.D. Sénart (CEO Renault) en el senado francés
https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean-Dominique_Senard

Jean-Dominique Senard (7 de marzo de 1953) es un ejecutivo y empresario francés. En mayo de 2012 sustituyó a Michel Rollier como director ejecutivo de la multinacional Michelin, después de unirse a la compañía como director financiero en 2005. Senard fue el primer CEO de Michelin sin relación de parentesco con la familia fundadora.1​ En enero de 2019 fue nombrado presidente de la multinacional Renault.

Audición de JD Sénard (CEO de Renault) ante el Senado francés del 20 mars 2024,
https://youtu.be/_0b1dQ6EGQ4

    Me limitaré a hacer una observación de paso: la decisión se tomó en Bruselas tras diálogos que no siempre fueron muy fáciles; Resulta que en aquella época la industria del automóvil no estaba necesariamente en auge y yo diría que en aquella época estábamos un poco sujetos a una forma de negación en torno a la capacidad de innovación; lo había experimentado como otros en el mundo del automóvil. con mucho sufrimiento pero es así, y simplemente quisiera señalar que la decisión se tomó con un nivel de análisis de impacto cercano a no mucho .

Espero no escandalizar a nadie diciéndoles que no se hizo el análisis de impacto; mi prueba es que una vez tomada la decisión, todos descubrieron o fingieron descubrir que teníamos un tema enorme en torno a la cuestión de los recursos necesarios para suministrar las fábricas de baterías que estamos instalando en Francia y nuestros competidores de la misma manera, considerando que, de hecho, Europa se vio privada de un acceso significativo a las minas en todo el mundo que producen los metales necesarios para fabricar baterías. He mencionado el litio, el níquel, el manganeso, el cobalto; me refiero a las tierras raras, aunque sólo sea al cobre, que, como saben, es un tema importante, incluso a corto plazo.

Así pues, este descubrimiento, unido a una serie de informes publicados a posteriori y evidentemente muy bien elaborados, no hizo más que hacer que la industria del automóvil se encontrara ante grandes retos que no se habían previsto . No voy a extenderme demasiado en este tema, pero todo el mundo lo sabe y no vamos a culpar a China de que durante 25 años haya puesto en marcha una estrategia extraordinariamente directiva en este ámbito, poniendo sus manos en una cantidad importante de minería en todo el mundo. el mundo, en África y en otros lugares. China domina hoy entre el 60 y el 70% del acceso a las minas necesarias de los metales para la producción de energía eléctrica, y quizás un paso más allá domina entre el 70 y el 75% -según el metal- la industria de transformación de estos metales que , les recuerdo, es una industria extremadamente pesada que requiere importantes inversiones porque el metal, una vez extraído de la mina, debe ser refinado en varias etapas para luego poder integrarse en las celdas de las baterías; hacer un cátodo y hacer un ánodo obviamente requiere metales - no mencioné el grafito, podría haberlo hecho ya que es absolutamente esencial para hacer un ánodo - y entonces esta observación, seamos claros, debemos mirar cara a cara, por eso Creo que la lucidez es la primera de las virtudes, básicamente aparece después de la decisión y no antes..

El otro tema que realmente surgió en el proceso es las exigencias que requerirá la electrificación de la movilidad en Europa, pero no solo porque implica también la descarbonización de toda la industria que está en proceso de electrificar una gran parte de los procesos productivos. - Así que aquí dejo el automóvil por un momento, pero esta demanda de energía, en particular de energía eléctrica, es considerable y las cifras que tenemos hoy ante nosotros, incluidas las que nos presenta el gobierno francés en el marco de la descarbonización. estrategia son cifras que hoy impresionan por la magnitud de las necesidades necesarias y en las que nos encontramos, tanto en términos de capacidad eléctrica disponible como de su precio, que hoy es una incertidumbre ante un segundo gran desafío.
    […]

CHINA RUSIA / Declaración conjunta de politica internacional


Declaración conjunta de la República Popular China y la Federación de Rusia sobre la profundización de la asociación estratégica integral de cooperación en la nueva era con motivo del 75º aniversario del establecimiento de relaciones diplomáticas entre los dos países (en mandarín) (vía Arnaud Bertrand ) .
v/CN = https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gn/2024/05-16/10217948.shtm
v/Go-ES = https://www-chinanews-com-cntranslate.goog/gn/2024/05-16/10217948.shtml?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=es&_x_tr_hl=en-US



X - Arnaud Bertrand @RnaudBertrand
https://x.com/RnaudBertrand/status/1791303781218693145

Wow, China and Russia issued an extraordinary joint statement yesterday, with almost 8,000 words when translated into English, and in many ways more important than the famous "no limits" partnership statement in February 2022.

Here are the points that stood out for me.

BUILDING A NEW WORLD ORDER
The statement says that it is an "objective factor" that "the status and strength of emerging major countries and regions in the 'Global South' [are] continuously increasing", and that "the trend of world multipolarity [is] accelerating". This in turn "accelerates the redistribution of development potential, resources, and opportunities in a direction favorable to emerging markets and developing countries, promoting the democratization of international relations and international fairness and justice".

They point out that "countries that adhere to hegemonism and power politics are contrary to this trend, attempting to replace and subvert the international order based on international law with a so-called 'rules-based order'".

Security-wise, the statement says that "both sides believe that the fate of the peoples of all countries is interconnected, and no country should seek its own security at the expense of others' security. Both sides express concern about the current international and regional security challenges and point out that in the current geopolitical context, it is necessary to explore the establishment of a sustainable security system in the Eurasian space based on the principle of equal and indivisible security."

They go on to say that China and Russia "will fully tap the potential of bilateral relations" in order to "promote the realization of an equal and orderly multipolar world and the democratization of international relations, and gather strength to build a just and reasonable multipolar world".

As for the vision of this world order these 2 principles seem to be the foundational ones:
1) An order with no "neo-colonialism and hegemonism" of any kind: "All countries have the right to independently choose their development models and political, economic, and social systems based on their national conditions and people's will, oppose interference in the internal affairs of sovereign countries, oppose unilateral sanctions and 'long-arm jurisdiction' without international law basis or UN Security Council authorization, and oppose drawing ideological lines. Both sides pointed out that neo-colonialism and hegemonism are completely contrary to the trend of the times, and called for equal dialogue, the development of partnerships, and the promotion of exchanges and mutual learning among civilizations."
2) An order based on the UN Charter: "Both sides will continue to firmly defend the achievements of World War II and the post-war world order established by the UN Charter"

EXTREMELY STRONG CONDEMNATION OF THE US
This condemnation starts with the paragraph highlighted above that "countries that adhere to hegemonism and power politics are contrary to [the trend towards a multipolar world order]", and the statement also condemns the fact that these "countries" (i.e. mostly the US) are "attempting to replace and subvert the international order based on international law with a so-called 'rules-based order'".

They also write that "both sides call on relevant countries and organizations to stop taking confrontational policies and interfering in the internal affairs of other countries, undermining the existing security architecture, creating 'small yards with high fences' among countries, provoking regional tensions, and advocating for camp confrontation."

They further say that "both sides oppose the hegemonic actions of the United States to change the balance of power in the Northeast Asia region by expanding its military presence and forming military blocs. The US, with its Cold War mentality and camp confrontation model, puts 'small group' security above regional security and stability, endangering the security of all countries in the region. The US should stop such actions."

On top of that the statement speaks of "serious concern about the United States' attempts to undermine strategic stability to maintain its absolute military superiority, including building a global missile defense system and deploying missile defense systems around the world and in space, strengthening the ability to disable the opponent's military actions with precision non-nuclear weapons and 'decapitation' strikes, enhancing NATO's 'nuclear sharing' arrangements in Europe and providing 'extended deterrence' to specific allies, constructing infrastructure in the South Pacific Nuclear-Free Zone treaty member Australia that could be used to support US and UK nuclear forces, engaging in US-UK-Australia nuclear submarine cooperation, and implementing plans to deploy and provide land-based intermediate-range and short-range missiles to allies in the Asia-Pacific and Europe."

The statement also condemns "the United States' unconstructive and hostile 'dual containment' policy towards China and Russia": "The United States' actions of conducting joint exercises with its allies ostensibly aimed at China and Russia and taking steps to deploy land-based intermediate-range missiles in the Asia-Pacific region have raised serious concerns for both sides. The United States claims it will continue these practices with the ultimate goal of establishing routine missile deployments worldwide. Both sides strongly condemn these actions, which are extremely destabilizing to the region and pose a direct security threat to China and Russia, and will strengthen coordination and cooperation to respond to the United States' unconstructive and hostile 'dual containment' policy towards China and Russia."

On Asia-Pacific specifically they write that "both sides oppose the creation of exclusive and closed group structures in the Asia-Pacific region, especially military alliances targeting any third party. Both sides point out that the US "Indo-Pacific Strategy" and NATO's attempts to take destructive actions in the Asia-Pacific region have negative impacts on the peace and stability of the region."

They also "demand that the United States refrain from engaging in any biological military activities that threaten the security of other countries and regions" and they oppose the "use [of] outer space for armed confrontation and oppose the implementation of security policies and activities aimed at achieving military advantage and defining outer space as a 'combat domain.'"

Lastly the statement condemns "the US and its allies' deterrent actions in the military field, provoking confrontation with the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, and exacerbating tensions on the Korean Peninsula, potentially leading to armed conflict", and asks that "the United States and NATO, as the responsible parties for the 20-year invasion and occupation of Afghanistan, should not attempt to deploy military facilities in Afghanistan and its surrounding areas again but should bear primary responsibility for Afghanistan's current economic and livelihood difficulties, bear the main costs of Afghanistan's reconstruction, and take all necessary measures to unfreeze Afghanistan's national assets."

ENORMOUS EXPANSION OF CHINA-RUSSIA COLLABORATION
This will be my last point, the statement has an immense list - dozens and dozens of items - of expanded cooperation fields between both countries.

These are some of the most important ones:
- Military cooperation: "[both sides] will further deepen military mutual trust and cooperation, expand the scale of joint training activities, regularly organize joint maritime and air patrols, strengthen coordination and cooperation within bilateral and multilateral frameworks, and continuously improve the ability and level of jointly responding to risks and challenges."
- More trade, mutual investments and help each other economic development: "continuously expand the scale of bilateral trade", "continuously improve the level of investment cooperation between the two countries", and "jointly develop advanced industries, strengthen technical and production cooperation, including in the civil aviation manufacturing industry, shipbuilding industry, automobile manufacturing industry, equipment manufacturing industry, electronics industry, metallurgical industry, iron ore mining industry, chemical industry, and forest industry"
- Cooperation on energy: "consolidate the strategic cooperation in energy between China and Russia and achieve high-level development, ensuring the economic and energy security of the two countries. Strive to ensure the stability and sustainability of the international energy market, and maintain the stability and resilience of the global energy industry chain and supply chain." Also nuclear energy: "deepen cooperation in the field of civilian nuclear energy based on the experience of successful and ongoing projects, including thermonuclear fusion, fast neutron reactors, and closed nuclear fuel cycles"
- Promote each others' currencies and financial infrastructure: "Increase the proportion of local currency in bilateral trade, financing, and other economic activities. Improve the financial infrastructure of the two countries, smooth the settlement channels between the two countries' business entities, strengthen regulatory cooperation in the banking and insurance industries of China and Russia, promote the sound development of banks and insurance institutions established in each other's countries, encourage two-way investment, and issue bonds in the financial markets of each other's countries in accordance with market principles."
- Deep education and scientific cooperation: "promote the expansion and improvement of quality in mutual study abroad programs, advance Chinese language teaching in Russia and Russian language teaching in China, encourage educational institutions to expand exchanges, cooperation in running schools, conduct high-level talent joint training and scientific research, support cooperation in basic research fields between universities, support activities of alliances of similar universities and high schools, and deepen cooperation in vocational and digital education"
- Cooperation in the media and shaping public opinions: "Strengthen media exchanges between the two countries, promote mutual visits at various levels, support pragmatic and professional dialogues, actively carry out high-quality content cooperation, deeply explore the cooperation potential of new media and new technologies in the field of mass media, objectively and comprehensively report major global events, and spread true information in the international public opinion field."
- Cooperation within global institutions: "deepen bilateral cooperation [at] the UN General Assembly and the Security Council", "supporting the role of the World Health Organization", "strengthen cooperation within the WTO framework", "cooperation within the framework of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)", "uphold the BRICS spirit, enhance the BRICS mechanism's voice in international affairs and agenda", etc.

I could go on and on, the scale of the cooperation they detail is absolutely breathtaking, both countries are going all in with each other.

This statement is absolutely extraordinary and will likely shape the world for decades to come. We now have Russia and China explicitly stating they're all in with each other to bring about a new "equal and orderly multipolar world and the democratization of international relations", and put an end to US hegemonic behavior. No more pretend, it's happening.
5:04 AM · May 17, 2024 1.1M  Views

Rusia y China revelan su agenda internacional
Moon of Alabama -18 de mayo 2024


v/EN= https://www.moonofalabama.org/2024/05/russia-china-reveal-their-global-agenda.html#more
v/FR= https://lesakerfrancophone.fr/la-russie-et-la-chine-devoilent-leur-programme-international
v/GoES=  https://lesakerfrancophone-fr.translate.goog/la-russie-et-la-chine-devoilent-leur-programme-international?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=es&_x_tr_hl=en-US

    Ambas partes enfatizaron que los grandes cambios en el mundo han acelerado su evolución, el estatus y la fuerza de las potencias emergentes en los países y regiones del “Sur Global” continúan creciendo y la multipolarización del mundo se ha acelerado. Estos factores objetivos han acelerado la redistribución del potencial de desarrollo, los recursos, las oportunidades, etc., han evolucionado en una dirección favorable a los mercados emergentes y los países en desarrollo y han promovido la democratización de las relaciones internacionales, así como la equidad y la justicia internacional. Los países que abrazan el hegemonismo y la política de poder van en contra de estos principios e intentan reemplazar y derrocar el orden internacional reconocido, basado en el derecho internacional, con un " orden basado en reglas ". Ambas partes enfatizaron que el concepto de construir una comunidad con un futuro humano compartido y una serie de iniciativas globales propuestas por China tienen una gran importancia positiva.

    Como fuerza independiente en el proceso de establecimiento de un mundo multipolar, China y Rusia explotarán plenamente el potencial de sus relaciones, promoverán la realización de un mundo multipolar igualitario y ordenado y la democratización de las relaciones internacionales, y reunirán sus fortalezas para construir un mundo multipolar. un mundo multipolar justo y razonable.

    Ambas partes creen que todos los países tienen derecho a elegir independientemente sus modelos de desarrollo y sistemas políticos, económicos y sociales de acuerdo con sus condiciones nacionales y la voluntad del pueblo, se oponen a la injerencia en los asuntos internos de países soberanos, oponerse a sanciones unilaterales y “ jurisdicción sobre armas largas ” que no tienen base en el derecho internacional y no están autorizadas por el Consejo de Seguridad, y se oponen a líneas ideológicas. Ambas partes enfatizaron que el neocolonialismo y el hegemonismo están completamente en contra de la tendencia de los tiempos actuales y pidieron un diálogo igualitario, desarrollar la asociación y promover los intercambios civilizados y el aprendizaje mutuo.

    Las dos partes seguirán defendiendo firmemente los resultados de la victoria de la Segunda Guerra Mundial y el orden mundial de posguerra consagrados en la Carta de las Naciones Unidas, y se opondrán a la negación, distorsión y falsificación de la historia de la Segunda Guerra Mundial. Ambas partes enfatizaron que deben llevar a cabo una educación histórica correcta, proteger los monumentos conmemorativos antifascistas en todo el mundo de la profanación o destrucción y condenar duramente la glorificación e incluso los intentos de resucitar el nazismo y el militarismo. Las dos partes planean celebrar el 80º aniversario de la victoria de la Guerra de Resistencia del Pueblo Chino contra Japón y la Gran Guerra Patria en 2025, y promover conjuntamente una visión correcta de la historia de la Segunda Guerra Mundial.

Hora de morir.]

The liberal international order is slowly coming apart
Its collapse could be sudden and irreversible
 May 9th 2024
[1] https://www.economist.com/leaders/2024/05/09/the-liberal-international-order-is-slowly-coming-apart
[2] https://archive.ph/hpJU3

Listen to this story. Enjoy more audio and podcasts on iOS or Android.
At first glance, the world economy looks reassuringly resilient. America has boomed even as its trade war with China has escalated. Germany has withstood the loss of Russian gas supplies without suffering an economic disaster. War in the Middle East has brought no oil shock. Missile-firing Houthi rebels have barely touched the global flow of goods. As a share of global GDP, trade has bounced back from the pandemic and is forecast to grow healthily this year.
Look deeper, though, and you see fragility. For years the order that has governed the global economy since the second world war has been eroded. Today it is close to collapse. A worrying number of triggers could set off a descent into anarchy, where might is right and war is once again the resort of great powers. Even if it never comes to conflict, the effect on the economy of a breakdown in norms could be fast and brutal.

As we report[1], the disintegration of the old order is visible everywhere. Sanctions are used four times as much as they were during the 1990s; America has recently imposed “secondary” penalties on entities that support Russia’s armies. A subsidy war is under way, as countries seek to copy China’s and America’s vast state backing for green manufacturing. Although the dollar remains dominant and emerging economies are more resilient, global capital flows are starting to fragment, as our special report[2] explains.

The institutions that safeguarded the old system are either already defunct or fast losing credibility. The World Trade Organisation turns 30 next year, but will have spent more than five years in stasis, owing to American neglect. The IMF is gripped by an identity crisis, caught between a green agenda and ensuring financial stability. The un security council is paralysed. And, as we report, supranational courts like the International Court of Justice are increasingly weaponised[3] by warring parties. Last month American politicians including Mitch McConnell, the leader of Republicans in the Senate, threatened the International Criminal Court with sanctions if it issues arrest warrants for the leaders of Israel, which also stands accused of genocide by South Africa at the International Court of Justice.

So far fragmentation and decay have imposed a stealth tax on the global economy: perceptible, but only if you know where to look. Unfortunately, history shows that deeper, more chaotic collapses are possible—and can strike suddenly once the decline sets in. The first world war killed off a golden age of globalisation that many at the time assumed would last for ever. In the early 1930s, following the onset of the Depression and the Smoot-Hawley tariffs, America’s imports collapsed by 40% in just two years. In August 1971 Richard Nixon unexpectedly suspended the convertibility of dollars into gold; only 19 months later, the Bretton Woods system of fixed-exchange rates[4] fell apart.

Today a similar rupture feels all too imaginable. The return of Donald Trump to the White House, with his zero-sum worldview, would continue the erosion of institutions and norms. The fear of a second wave of cheap Chinese imports[5] could accelerate it. Outright war between America and China over Taiwan, or between the West and Russia, could cause an almighty collapse.

In many of these scenarios, the loss will be more profound than many people think. It is fashionable to criticise untrammelled globalisation as the cause of inequality, the global financial crisis and neglect of the climate. But the achievements of the 1990s and 2000s—the high point of liberal capitalism—are unmatched in history. Hundreds of millions escaped poverty in China as it integrated into the global economy. The infant-mortality rate worldwide is less than half what it was in 1990. The percentage of the global population killed by state-based conflicts hit a post-war low of 0.0002% in 2005; in 1972 it was nearly 40 times as high. The latest research shows that the era of the “Washington consensus”, which today’s leaders hope to replace, was one in which poor countries began to enjoy catch-up growth, closing the gap with the rich world.

The decline of the system threatens to slow that progress, or even throw it into reverse. Once broken, it is unlikely to be replaced by new rules. Instead, world affairs will descend into their natural state of anarchy that favours banditry and violence. Without trust and an institutional framework for co-operation, it will become harder for countries to deal with the 21st century’s challenges, from containing an arms race in artificial intelligence to collaborating in space. Problems will be tackled by clubs of like-minded countries. That can work, but will more often involve coercion and resentment, as with Europe’s carbon border-tariffs or China’s feud with the IMF. When co-operation gives way to strong-arming, countries have less reason to keep the peace.

In the eyes of the Chinese Communist Party, Vladimir Putin or other cynics, a system in which might is right would be nothing new. They see the liberal order not as an enactment of lofty ideals but an exercise of raw American power—power that is now in relative decline.

Gradually, then suddenly

It is true that the system established after the second world war achieved a marriage between America’s internationalist principles and its strategic interests. Yet the liberal order also brought vast benefits to the rest of the world. Many of the world’s poor are already suffering from the inability of the IMF to resolve the sovereign-debt crisis that followed the covid-19 pandemic. Middle-income countries such as India and Indonesia hoping to trade their way to riches are exploiting opportunities created by the old order’s fragmentation, but will ultimately rely on the global economy staying integrated and predictable. And the prosperity of much of the developed world, especially small, open economies such as Britain and South Korea, depends utterly on trade. Buttressed by strong growth in America, it may seem as if the world economy can survive everything that is thrown at it. It can’t. ■

This article appeared in the Leaders section of the print edition under the headline "The new economic order"

[1] https://archive.ph/o/hpJU3/https://www.economist.com/briefing/2024/05/09/the-worlds-economic-order-is-breaking-down
[2] https://archive.ph/o/hpJU3/https://www.economist.com/special-report/2024-05-11
[3] https://archive.ph/o/hpJU3/https://www.economist.com/international/2024/05/09/the-worlds-rules-based-order-is-cracking
[4] https://archive.ph/o/hpJU3/https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/05/09/could-america-and-its-allies-club-together-to-weaken-the-dollar
[5] https://archive.ph/o/hpJU3/https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/05/09/what-xi-jinping-gets-wrong-about-chinas-economy

A Pessimistic Economist Laments The End Of Order
Moon of Alabama May 10, 2024
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2024/05/a-pessimistic-economist-laments-the-end-of-order.html#more

The magazine for and by multi-millionaires and billionaires, The Economist, warns that the end is imminent:

The liberal international order is slowly coming apart[1] - (archived[2])
Its collapse could be sudden and irreversible

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    For years the order that has governed the global economy since the second world war has been eroded. Today it is close to collapse. A worrying number of triggers could set off a descent into anarchy, where might is right and war is once again the resort of great powers. Even if it never comes to conflict, the effect on the economy of a breakdown in norms could be fast and brutal.

It is, in my view, true that the 'liberal international order', which after World War II largely regulated world trade and politics is in demise.

But who's fault is that?

The examples The Economist gives to support its central claim point to one culpable nation:

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    As we report, the disintegration of the old order is visible everywhere. Sanctions are used four times as much as they were during the 1990s; America has recently imposed “secondary” penalties on entities that support Russia’s armies. A subsidy war is under way, as countries seek to copy China’s and America’s vast state backing for green manufacturing. Although the dollar remains dominant and emerging economies are more resilient, global capital flows are starting to fragment, as our special report explains.

    The institutions that safeguarded the old system are either already defunct or fast losing credibility. The World Trade Organisation turns 30 next year, but will have spent more than five years in stasis, owing to American neglect. The IMF is gripped by an identity crisis, caught between a green agenda and ensuring financial stability. The un security council is paralysed. And, as we report, supranational courts like the International Court of Justice are increasingly weaponised by warring parties. Last month American politicians including Mitch McConnell, the leader of Republicans in the Senate, threatened the International Criminal Court with sanctions if it issues arrest warrants for the leaders of Israel, which also stands accused of genocide by South Africa at the International Court of Justice.

It is the U.S., the country which arguably benefited the most from the liberal international order, which is actively destroying it.

Others, if they did not attract random U.S. rage and war against them, also saw some benefits from it. Those small to medium countries will most likely lose out should the current regime collapse.

That would not be unprecedented:

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    Unfortunately, history shows that deeper, more chaotic collapses are possible—and can strike suddenly once the decline sets in. The first world war killed off a golden age of globalisation that many at the time assumed would last for ever. In the early 1930s, following the onset of the Depression and the Smoot-Hawley tariffs, America’s imports collapsed by 40% in just two years. In August 1971 Richard Nixon unexpectedly suspended the convertibility of dollars into gold; only 19 months later, the Bretton Woods system of fixed-exchange rates fell apart.

Similar ruptures, like the examples above again caused by the U.S., may happen soon.

Interestingly the Economist does not name a solution or way to avoid it. It sees a collapse coming, blames -more or less- the U.S. for causing it, but does not point to way out of it.

That is an uncharacteristically pessimistic view for writers who otherwise like to paint a positive picture for those with big money.

[1] https://www.economist.com/leaders/2024/05/09/the-liberal-international-order-is-slowly-coming-apart
[2] https://archive.ph/hpJU3

El poder de la narrativa
Caitlin Johnstone
May 9, 2024
Empire Managers Explain Why This New Protest Movement Scares Them
“They understand that if they lose control of the narrative, they won’t be able to deploy their armies anymore.”

v/EN= https://caitlinjohnstone.com.au/2024/05/09/empire-managers-explain-why-this-new-protest-movement-scares-them/
v/FR= https://lesakerfrancophone.fr/le-pouvoir-de-la-narrative
v/go-ES= https://caitlinjohnstone-com-au.translate.goog/2024/05/09/empire-managers-explain-why-this-new-protest-movement-scares-them/?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=es&_x_tr_hl=en-US

Entrevista a Alex Karp, CEO de Palantir

https://soundcloud.com/going_rogue/empire-managers-explain-why-this-new-protest-movement-scares-them?utm_source=clipboard&utm_campaign=wtshare&utm_medium=widget&utm_content=https%253A%252F%252Fsoundcloud.com%252Fgoing_rogue%252Fempire-managers-explain-why-this-new-protest-movement-scares-them

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El secretario de Estado de Estados Unidos y un oligarca tecnológico de vigilancia de Bilderberg han hecho algunas confesiones muy interesantes sobre el floreciente movimiento de protesta contra la matanza respaldada por Estados Unidos en Gaza y los problemas que plantea para el imperio que ayudan a dirigir.

Durante una diatriba mordaz[1] sobre los manifestantes universitarios en el Intercambio Ash Carter sobre Innovación y Seguridad Nacional el martes, el director ejecutivo de Palantir, Alex Karp, fue directo y dijo que si aquellos que están del lado de los manifestantes ganan el debate sobre este tema, Occidente perderá el capacidad de hacer guerras.

Para aquellos que no lo saben, Palantir es una empresa de tecnología de vigilancia y extracción de datos respaldada por la CIA[2] con vínculos íntimos tanto con el cártel de inteligencia estadounidense[3] como con Israel[4] , y que desempeña un papel crucial tanto en la extensa red de vigilancia[5] del imperio estadounidense como en las atrocidades israelíes[6] contra los palestinos.

 Karp es un multimillonario que forma parte del Comité Directivo[8] del Grupo Bilderberg y aparece regularmente[9] en el Foro Económico Mundial y otras plataformas de gestión del imperio plutocrático.

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    “Creemos que estas cosas que están sucediendo en los campus universitarios son un espectáculo secundario. No, ellos son el espectáculo”.

    "Si perdemos el debate intelectual, nunca podremos desplegar ningún ejército en Occidente". El director ejecutivo de #Palantir, Alex Karp, en #SCSPAIExpo2024 pic.twitter.com/MwQoDlSMFw
    – Palantir (@PalantirTech) 8 de mayo de 2024

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[1] https://www.cnbc.com/video/2024/05/08/palantir-ceo-alex-karp-its-dangerous-to-allow-discrimination-on-our-college-campuses.html
[2] https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSL1N0JQ1OE/
[3] https://www.forbes.com/sites/andygreenberg/2013/08/14/agent-of-intelligence-how-a-deviant-philosopher-built-palantir-a-cia-funded-data-mining-juggernaut/?sh=6ba162507785
[4] https://www.trtworld.com/magazine/israel-linked-cia-funded-palantir-goes-public-making-espionage-mainstream-40230
[5] https://archive.is/XHETv
[6] https://twitter.com/Resist_05/status/1786898898512167162
[7] https://www.bilderbergmeetings.org/background/steering-committee/steering-committee
[8] https://www.weforum.org/search/?query=alex+karp
[9] https://www.weforum.org/search/?query=alex+karp

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Todos deberían escuchar con mucha atención las palabras de Karp aquí, porque está revelando todo el juego. Está dejando muy claro lo crucial que es para el imperio aplastar este movimiento de protesta y el espíritu de la época en el que se basa, porque la existencia misma de la maquinaria de guerra imperial depende de ello. En un momento en que la mayoría de los expertos imperiales intentan restar importancia a este movimiento y a lo que los jóvenes están haciendo en los campus universitarios de todo el mundo, ésta es una admisión realmente extraordinaria por parte de alguien que vive en lo profundo de las entrañas de la hidra imperial.

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(sobre Blinken y Mitt Romney acerca del cierre de Tiktok[1][2])

https://youtu.be/7C3QDPRWPUg

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"Ahora, por supuesto, estamos recibiendo una alimentación intravenosa de información con nuevos impulsos, entradas cada milisegundo", continuó Blinken. “Y, por supuesto, la forma en que esto se desarrolló en las redes sociales ha dominado la narrativa. Y tienes un entorno de ecosistema de redes sociales en el que el contexto, la historia, los hechos se pierden y la emoción y el impacto de las imágenes dominan. Y no podemos, no podemos descartar eso, pero creo que también tiene un efecto muy, muy, muy desafiante en la narrativa”.

¿Observas cómo dijo la palabra “narrativa” tres veces? Así se hablan entre sí los dirigentes del imperio, porque así es como piensan sobre todo.

Esto se debe a que los administradores del imperio siempre son muy conscientes de algo que los seres humanos normales no son: que el poder real proviene de la manipulación de las historias (narrativas) que las personas se cuentan a sí mismas sobre su realidad.

Entienden que los humanos son animales que cuentan historias cuyas vidas internas suelen estar dominadas por narrativas mentales sobre lo que está sucediendo, por lo que si puedes controlar esas narrativas, puedes controlar a los humanos.

Entienden que controlar lo que sucede es poder, pero el verdadero poder es controlar lo que la gente piensa sobre lo que sucede.

Entienden que quien controla la narrativa controla el mundo.


[1] https://www.state.gov/secretary-antony-j-blinken-at-mccain-institutes-2024-sedona-forum-keynote-conversation-with-senator-mitt-romney/
[2] https://youtu.be/7C3QDPRWPUg

America's Super-Elite Disconnect
Simplicius
Mar 03, 2024

v/EN= https://darkfutura.substack.com/p/americas-super-elite-disconnect
v/FR= https://lesakerfrancophone.fr/la-deconnexion-de-lelite-americaine
v/goES= https://darkfutura-substack-com.translate.goog/p/americas-super-elite-disconnect?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=es&_x_tr_hl=en-US

Last month came a fascinating new report from the institute of Scott Rasmussen, founder of the famed Rasmussen Reports polling center. Its aim was to, for the first time, quantitatively define the true ‘elite’ of society, which control most of our social narratives, politics, and general ‘orthodoxy’.
https://www.rmgresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Elite-One-Percent.pdf

It has been picked up by a variety of publications, from NYPost:

https://nypost.com/2024/01/19/opinion/shocking-survey-reveals-the-reason-elites-are-out-of-touch-and-it-isnt-why-you-think/

To Boston Globe, and others:

https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/01/24/opinion/real-one-percent-elites-rasmussen-poll/

The full report centered on a members-only webinar presentation by Rasmussen, but the provided PDF file summarizes the most salient survey graphics and point breakdowns.

For those interested, Rasmussen appeared on Newt Gingrich’s podcast to discuss the results, where he eloquently summarized his chief findings, as well as how he first stumbled on them.

The NYPost article summarized the dataset best:

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    The United States has a wealthy, partisan elite class that’s not only immune from and numb to the problems of their countrymen, but enormously confident in and willing to impose unpopular policies on them.

    This is a recipe for disaster.

And this supplemental Newt Gingrich writeup describes just how Rasmussen first got wind of it all:

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    While doing their two weekly national surveys, Rasmussen and his team noticed an anomaly. Out of every 1,000 or so respondents, there would always be three or four who were far more radical than everyone else. After several months of finding these unusual responses, Rasmussen realized they all shared three characteristics.

    The radical responses came from people who had graduate degrees (not just graduate studies), family incomes above $150,000 a year, and lived in large cities (more than 10,000 people per zip code).

What’s more, is that amongst this 1% ‘elite’, there is an even more radicalized subset Rasmussen calls the ‘super-elite’, which are characterized by primarily attending one of twelve identified elite schools:



Gingrich adds:

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    Charles Murray in his classic work, “Coming Apart,” analyzed zip codes and proved that graduates from “dirty dozen” universities that Rasmussen described live, work and play in the same zip codes. They are an isolated set and create a “power aristocracy” that has no knowledge of the rest of us – and contempt for most of us. This perfectly explains Hillary Clinton’s “basket of deplorables” line.

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Even more staggering is the vast gulf between each side’s trust in the ‘professional class’:
Check the figures: Only 6% of voters have a favorable opinion of Congress, 10% in journalists, and 17% in professors. Amongst the 1%-er elites, these numbers average above 70%; this alone tells virtually the entire story.

ASTRAZENECA / Retirada, Prohibición de venta por la Agencia Europea

AstraZeneca withdrawing Covid vaccine worldwide
Company says decision is purely commercial as jab has been superseded by alternatives
7 May 2024 • 9:22pm

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/05/07/astrazeneca-withdrawing-covid-vaccine/

XThanks - https://t.me/lefruskof/788

The Oxford-AstraZeneca Covid vaccine is being withdrawn worldwide, months after the pharmaceutical giant admitted for the first time in court documents that it can cause a rare and dangerous side effect.

The vaccine can no longer be used in the European Union after the company voluntarily withdrew its “marketing authorisation”. The application to withdraw the vaccine was made on March 5 and came into effect on Tuesday.

Similar applications will be made in the coming months in the UK and in other countries that had approved the vaccine, known as Vaxzevria.

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Vaxzevria has come under intense scrutiny in recent months over a very rare side effect, which causes blood clots and low blood platelet counts. AstraZeneca admitted in court documents lodged with the High Court in February that the vaccine “can, in very rare cases, cause TTS”.

TTS – which stands for Thrombosis with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome – has been linked to at least 81 deaths in the UK as well as hundreds of serious injuries. AstraZeneca is being sued by more than 50 alleged victims and grieving relatives in a High Court case.

[/b][/color]


AstraZeneca withdraws Covid-19 vaccine worldwide, citing surplus of newer vaccines
Wed 8 May 2024 04.18 CEST
https://www.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/may/08/astrazeneca-withdraws-covid-19-vaccine-worldwide-citing-surplus-of-newer-vaccines

The announcement follows the pharmaceutical company in March voluntarily withdrawing its European Union marketing authorisation, which is the approval to market a medicine in member states.

On 7 May, the European Medicines Agency issued a notice that the vaccine is no longer authorised for use

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AstraZeneca changed the name of its Covid vaccine to Vaxzevria in 2021. The vaccine was authorised for use in those aged 18 and older, delivered as two injections, usually into the muscle of the upper arm, about three month apart. It was also used by some countries as a booster shot.

Vaxzevria is made up of another virus of the adenovirus family modified to contain the gene for making a protein from SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes Covid-19. The vaccine does not contain the virus itself and cannot cause the virus.

Although the vaccine was found to be safe and effective overall, it carried the risk of a rare but serious side-effect, known as thrombosis with thrombocytopenia, or TTS. The rare syndrome occurred in about two to three people per 100,000 who were vaccinated with the Vaxzevria vaccine.

Africa Niger / EEUU, Russia, base aérea militar 101 de Niamey


US, Russia lock horns in Niger
May 7, 2024 by M. K. BHADRAKUMAR

v/EN -- https://www.indianpunchline.com/us-russia-lock-horns-in-niger/
v/FR -- https://lesakerfrancophone.fr/les-etats-unis-et-la-russie-saffrontent-au-niger
v/Go-ES -- https://www-indianpunchline-com.translate.goog/us-russia-lock-horns-in-niger/?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=es&_x_tr_hl=en-US

Such a thing never happened in the past one hundred years since the United States stepped out of the Western Hemisphere as an imperial power — an adversary barging into one of its military bases abroad.

A military base is deemed sovereign territory and an unauthorised entry constitutes an affront, especially by Russia, a rival superpower.
Yet, Washington and Moscow are playing down the co-habitation of their military personnel in the American air base near Niamey, capital of Niger, known as Airbase 101.

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Russia is taking advantage of alignment of opportunities following a telephone conversation[1] between the head of Niger’s military regime General Abdourahamane Tiani and President Vladimir Putin on March 26 about “strengthening security cooperation.” Moscow had previously promoted the formation of the so-called Alliance of Sahel States, a mutual defence pact created between Mali, Niger and Burkino Faso in September 2023 last year[/u], thereby effectively neutralising the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS)[2], which is in the West’s orbit and at one point had toyed with the idea of a military intervention in Niger (with French backing) to restore the ancien régime of the deposed president Mohamed Bazoum[3] who is under detention.

Suffice to say, Russia’s Africa Corps has a job cut out for it — there is a big challenge ahead as Moscow assumes the role of provider of security. The more the US gets paranoid about Russia’s foreign trade in the conditions under sanctions, the greater becomes the relevance of Africa as a partner in Moscow’s scheme of things. There are indications that Russia is coordinating a strategy for regional regional security in West Africa[4]. 

[1] https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2024/03/26/niger-regime-chief-talks-security-cooperation-with-putin-a84641
[2] https://www.csis.org/analysis/will-sahel-military-alliance-further-fragment-ecowas
[3] https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/04/world/africa/niger-bazoum-captivity.html#:~:text=The%20Bleak%20Life%20in%20Captivity,Bazoum%20%2D%20The%20New%20York%20Times
[4] https://interfax.com/newsroom/top-stories/101782/


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 By the way, China National Petroleum Corporation has invested close to 5 billion  dollars in Niger’s petroleum industry and constructed a 2000 km long  pipeline from landlocked Niger to Benin’s Atlantic coast, while also holding two-thirds equity in Agadem oil fields. CNPC signed an agreement with Niamey[1] last month on a $400 million loan as a “lifeline” after the generals cut ties with France and the US — which is to be repaid with crude oil shipments within twelve months at an interest rate of seven per cent.

What remains in the grey zone is the extent to which Russia and China could be coordinating their actions. But that falls in the domain of geopolitics. Russia’s interests on the west African coast lie in look to be in securing military, diplomatic and economic pacts with leaders of these nations in exchange for strategic access to the Atlantic Ocean. And, of course, to the east, Niger and Chad border Sudan where Russia seeks a submarine base in the Red Sea. This has profound geopolitical implications.

[1] https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3259074/chinese-state-firm-agrees-us400m-loan-niger-junta-return-oil?

OPINION / GUERRA, DERECHOS CIVILES, PSYOPS

Oponerse a todas las guerras excepto la actual, apoyar los derechos civiles pero nunca ahora
 Caitlin Johnstone - 3 de mayo de 2024
v/EN = https://caitlinjohnstone.com.au/2024/05/03/opposing-every-war-but-the-current-one-supporting-civil-rights-but-never-right-now/
v/GoES = https://caitlinjohnstone-com-au.translate.goog/2024/05/03/opposing-every-war-but-the-current-one-supporting-civil-rights-but-never-right-now/?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=es&_x_tr_hl=en-US

A medida que los demócratas empeoran cada vez más a medida que continúa el genocidio de Biden en Gaza, me encuentro recordando un tweet[1] que se volvió viral en noviembre por una cuenta con el nombre @eyeballslicer: “Un liberal es alguien que se opone a todas las guerras excepto la actual y apoya todos los movimientos de derechos civiles excepto el que está sucediendo ahora mismo”.

Ese tweet se ha vuelto cada vez más relevante desde entonces. Si tuviera que elegir una pancarta para colgar sobre el liberalismo occidental durante los últimos siete meses, esa pancarta tendría que contener esas palabras. Esto ha sido cierto para los liberales tradicionales durante mucho tiempo, pero resume la respuesta que hemos estado viendo a Gaza con un tipo especial de perfección.

¿Alguna vez has notado cómo los expertos responsables de normalizar nuestro status quo distópico utilizan el tiempo como arma psicológica? Es lo más jodido. Impulsan todo apoyo al cambio revolucionario hacia el pasado o hacia el futuro, al tiempo que insisten en que las normas del statu quo deben mantenerse en el presente.

Una vez que notas esta táctica, la ves en todas partes. Cuando no agitan los puños ante los crímenes del pasado como Vietnam, Irak o la segregación y aplauden luchas pasadas por la justicia social como el sufragio femenino o los derechos civiles de los negros, afirman que se pueden lograr todos los cambios revolucionarios drásticos que se desee. en el futuro si simplemente se eligen más demócratas para el cargo.

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    En momentos de disensión, siempre hay quienes se apresuran a ganar puntos políticos.

    Pero este no es un momento para la política. Este es un momento de claridad. Entonces, permítanme ser claro:

    las protestas pacíficas están protegidas en Estados Unidos.

    La protesta violenta no está protegida. Va contra la ley.
    – Presidente Biden (@POTUS) 2 de mayo de 2024

Una y otra vez, de muchas maneras diferentes, la gente recibe el mensaje: “La revolución y el cambio son maravillosos, pero no ahora. Los sentimientos revolucionarios del pasado hicieron grandes cosas que todos deberíamos celebrar, y un día en el futuro tendremos un cambio revolucionario una vez más, pero ahora mismo debemos seguir apoyando la forma en que están las cosas y mantenernos muy quietos y tratar con todas nuestras fuerzas de no hacerlo. Molestar a los poderosos que nos gobiernan”.

En realidad, es algo impresionante una vez que lo notas, porque esta manipulación maligna requiere una comprensión casi budista del tiempo y del momento presente. En algún momento, los manipuladores descubrieron que sólo existe el aquí y el ahora y que el pasado y el futuro no existen excepto en nuestra memoria e imaginación, por lo que puedes darle a la gente toda la revolución que quiera, siempre y cuando " Sólo se lo estás dando en el pasado o en el futuro.

Se vió un prototipo temprano de esta manipulación con el surgimiento del cristianismo, en el que se animaba a la gente a olvidarse de las comodidades materiales de las que disfrutaban sus gobernantes y centrarse en lo grandioso que será cuando mueran e vayan al cielo. Todas sus esperanzas se depositan en esta recompensa imaginaria e invisible en el futuro, y mientras tanto se les dice que glorifiquen la pobreza, la mansedumbre, la obediencia y, sobre todo, nunca se levanten contra todos los ricos y recuperen lo que les robaron. .

Este mundo nunca verá los cambios que tan desesperadamente necesita mientras sigamos permitiendo que nos manipulen de esta manera. Es necesario que se produzca un cambio y sólo puede ocurrir ahora. Ahora es el único lugar donde es posible que ocurra la revolución. No permitas que la entierren bajo la ilusión del tiempo y hazla realidad.
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[1] https://twitter.com/eyeballslicer/status/1727887134688706922

(1) Saker= Revista de prensa del 6-05-2924
v/FR= https://lesakerfrancophone.fr/la-revue-de-presse-du-6-mai-2024
v/GoES= https://lesakerfrancophone-fr.translate.goog/la-revue-de-presse-du-6-mai-2024?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=es&_x_tr_hl=en-US
Links Web pasados a v/GoES, links X-Tweet originales

[1] Arabia Saudita financió un estudio sobre inyecciones de ARNm:
[2] Los dirigentes políticos también sabían, como lo demuestra el caso suizo
[3] Y como también muestra el caso alemán: Covid: las revelaciones crean conmoción en Alemania
[4] En EEUU,  se están tomando algunas iniciativas juciciales para descubrir cómo pudo haber sucedido todo esto:
[5] Testimonio ante el Senado australiano, subtitulado en francés, del profesor australiano equivalente al (francés) Raoult
[6] as organizaciones gubernamentales se resisten a hacer pública su información
https://twitter.com/VigilantFox/status/1769793508854890750
[7] son los fiscales de la UE quienes se han hecho cargo de la investigación sobre Von Der Leyen
https://www.politico.eu/article/pfizergate-covid-vaccine-scandal-european-prosecutors-eu-commission/
[8] Las autoridades no dudan en censurar informes demasiado condenatorios:
[9] Se empieza a observar un aumento anormal de la mortalidad desde 2022:
[10] El fenómeno se observa en los países occidentales más vacunados
[11] una película doblada en Quebec explica cómo los laboratorios farmacéuticos destruyeron la hidroxicloroquina para poder colocar su “vacuna”.
https://twitter.com/verity_france/status/1770346148139610158

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(2) Vacunas Covid: en Pfizer expresamos dudas en secreto ya en 2021
19 de marzo de 2024· Última actualización:21 de marzo de 2024 
v/FR= https://essentiel.news/vaccins-covid-pfizer-doutes-2021/
v/GoES= https://essentiel-news.translate.goog/vaccins-covid-pfizer-doutes-2021/?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=es&_x_tr_hl=en-US

Links X-Tweet de Liam Cosgrove @cosgrove_iv Mar 12

[1]  https://x.com/cosgrove_iv/status/1767377284636230107

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Principal scientist at Pfizer, Kanwall Gill in 2021:
“We had no idea how it’s going to look like. MRNA vaccines have been there for 50 years, but nothing went to clinical trial because MRNA have been known to have side effects.”

[2]  https://x.com/cosgrove_iv/status/1767378720023531819

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Pfizer's principal scientist in 2021:
“It takes 10 year for a vaccine to come out. It takes years of observations... we are doing everything at the same time."
"Even Pfizer CEO and even [BioNTech CEO] won’t have answers... it’s also becoming a money game.”

[3] https://x.com/cosgrove_iv/status/1767379490999579085

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Pfizer's pharmaceutical formulation scientist, Ramin Darvari, in 2021:
“They’re engineering it specifically for me to take the next one, so increasing my consumption."
“It’s going to affect my heart, and I’m going to die. And nobody’s talking about that.”

[3] https://x.com/cosgrove_iv/status/1767377871922663878

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Replying to @cosgrove_iv and @justintegrity_
This is from a previously unpublished @Project_Veritas video.
The whistleblower from Pfizer who would later join PV and @OKeefeMedia is @justintegrity_
. You can watch his full documentary here:
https://rumble.com/v4hmwr6-projec

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Dado que los franceses no tienen acceso a Rumble sin una VPN y que todos estos documentos pueden eliminarse de Internet, decidimos archivarlos como referencia. Aqui esta el link:
[1] https://mega.nz/folder/UbNlVSrJ#xu2LaV-qHcb3eFTCU9yZdg

ISRAEL / LAVANDER Y WHERE'S DADDY / INTELIGENCIA ARTIFICIAL


‘Lavender’: The AI machine directing Israel’s bombing spree in Gaza
By Yuval Abraham - April 3, 2024
In partnership with Local Call

The Israeli army has marked tens of thousands of Gazans as suspects for assassination, using an AI targeting system with little human oversight and a permissive policy for casualties, +972 and Local Call reveal.

(con fotos)
v/EN: https://www.972mag.com/lavender-ai-israeli-army-gaza/ 
(sin fotos)
v/FR: https://lesakerfrancophone.fr/lavander-lia-qui-decide-des-bombardements-israeliens-a-gaza

+972 Magazine is an independent, online, nonprofit magazine run by a group of Palestinian and Israeli journalists. Founded in 2010, our mission is to provide in-depth reporting, analysis, and opinions from the ground in Israel-Palestine. The name of the site is derived from the telephone country code that can be used to dial throughout Israel-Palestine.
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https://cincodias.elpais.com/opinion/2024-05-03/un-enfoque-sensato-del-alquiler-turistico.html

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Desde que en 2013 se excluyeron estas viviendas de la normativa general del alquiler, la regulación ha pasado a manos de las comunidades autónomas, lo que ha supuesto fragmentar el sector y convertirlo, a efectos normativos, en un reino de Taifas, donde coexisten legislaciones muy restrictivas con otras bastante más laxas

Una pregunta. ¿Qué impide a una CA indizar la fiscalidad del alquiler y de los pisos turisticos sobre la tasa de ocupación laboral de la población en su territorio fiscal?

Dandole vueltas a mi post anterior se trata en definitiva de desarrollar la fiscalidad de la "cosa inmobiliaria" en función de una tipología que en realidad ya existe, pero cuya fiscalidad descansa en algún principio fiscal que se me escapa.

La siguiente tipología fiscal inmobiliaria es general en todas las socialdemocracias, si no es universal:
-- Vivienda principal (la que figura en el IRPF) con bonificaciones fiscales.
-- Vivienda secundaria (también declarada en IRPF) sin bonificaciones fiscales.
-- Viviendas alquiladas (requieren licencia de tipo "alquiler anual") pero cuyas rentas se asimilan a rentas de capital, (rentas de propiedad)
-- Viviendas de temporada (requieren licencia de otro tipo), cuyas rentas no tienen encaje fiscal muy claro. En realidad me parecen rentas de oportunidad, asimilables a rentas de monopolio

Bien, lo que pregunto:

¿hay algo que impida a las CCAA definir por una Ley la tipología de viviendas (la materia fiscal) y en el caso de las dos últimas tipologias anteriores, definir un baremo fiscal variable en función de la tasa de ocupación laboral del territorio donde se recauda el impuesto? El territorio, sería la CA o incluso el municipio, porque en una ciudad de +100.000 habitantes, sería posible determinar la tasa de ocupación laboral y por tanto, tendría sentido modular el impuesto sobrel la materia inmobiliaria en el ámbito del municipio. Hacerlo así permitiriía pensar la ordenación urbana y del territorio de forma mucho más racional. Porque el criterio politico es bien sencillo, incrementar la tasa de ocupación laboral, equivale a reducir impuestos inmobiliarios. Si alguien entiende eso, es un político-

Por comparar, a nivel nacional tenemos (o tuvimos, desde la última ley) los incrementos de alquiler capados por la inflación. Por tanto, para el inquilino consumidor, significa que es posible regular el impuesto privado que extrae el casero.

¿Cuál es la razón por la que no existe ya un impuesto sobre la vivienda modulable anualmente en función de la tasa de paro ?

Algo se me escapa. Pregunto por qué no se usa la tasa de ocupación laboral para determinar la fiscalidad inmobiliaria-

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No creo que dependa de "mayoría natural" electoral, ni de "ideología" fiscal.
Y a estas alturas de digitalización de la administración, ya no tiene sentido razonar como si fuera "complicado". Los datos se conocen en ritmo trimestral, con los ingresos fiscales de Empresas y Profesionales-

Si estamos de acuerdo en que el consumo de vivienda afecta la renta disponible del trabajador (y en segunda vuelta, de la población no trabajadora), parece lógico fijar un indice de la materia fiscal inmobiliaria de acuerdo con la tasa de paro.

A más paro, mayor presión fiscal.
A menos paro, menor presión fiscal.
¿Alguien no entiende eso?[1]

Por tanto, a fiscalidad constante sobre el consumo privado de agua y energia y limpieza (y por aludir al artículo sobre Birmigham, descontando la fiscalidad también constante sobre el consumo público: bilbiotecas, servicios de salud, alumbrado, policias), por tanto, la parte del impuesto excedentaria del consumo, es decir la renta de propiedad del arrendador, puede (y debe) modularse en función del nivel de ocupación laboral de la misma población local. Por la sencilla razón que esa renta ficticia o de propiedad es una recaudación sobre el trabajo del ocupante de dicha propiedad.

Obsérvese que el ocupante puede decirse del mismo arrendador -- cuando percibe una renta ficticia, y le llama propietario ocupante -- como arrendatario -- cuando paga una renta privatizada al primero y al que debería llamárse propietario inquilino --, Porque resulta que el segundo es tan soberano fiscal como el primero. La propiedad es una arrenda [1].

Igualmente, donde hoy interviene la ideología socialdemócrata es entonces para regular la afectación del presupuesto recaudado, por ejemplo para allanar los desequilibrios sociales, por la sencilla razón que lo que los precios inmobiliarios realmente reflejan son los (des)equilibrios de la ocupación laboral. El mercado inmobiliario ES el mercado de trabajo en UN territorio determinado.

Por ejemplo, actualizando la lógica nobiliaria de Speenhamland en Inglaterra, la lógica socialdemócrata (en FR, BE, DE, y muchos más) vendría a aprobar algo así : cuando todos los miembros del hogar inquilino están en paro, los servicios sociales asignan una fracción (que hoy día podria definirse incluso por ley) del la recaudación de propiedad inmobiliaria para solventar ese problema. Es lo que llamamos un subsidio para el alquiler. Es lo que tenemos en Austria por hogar, en FR por nivel de ingresos, en ES por edad). Hasta que el hogar pueda volver a encontrar trabajo y producir y por consiguiente, pagar el IMPUESTO, es decir el alquiler. 

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Lo interesante de este principio (el de la arrenda, llámese renta ficticia o de propiedad) es que tiende a equilibar los precios inmobiliarios en función del MERCADO DE TRABAJO, y no en función de una ideita ficticia bautizada "mercado oferta demandista".

Ese principio es fácil de entender, por los electores, porque vincula el precio de la vivienda a la tasa de ocupación laboral. Es fácil poner el politico en evidencia cuando su gestión se desvía escandalosamente de la situación del mercado de trabajo. Y los mismos políticos que actuen en el sentido de reducir la tasa de paro, repetirán mandato.

Tendrás lógicamente mayores precios donde el nivel de ocupación laboral en un territorio determinado es mayor. Y menores precios donde la ocupación laboral en un territorio determinado es menor.  Pero lo más interesante, es que es sencillisimo tratar a los "neo-arendadores" del impuesto privado (los caseros) como agentes recaudadores fiscales AL SERVICIO de la politica fiscal socialdemócrata.

En esto, los PPCC están totalmente en lo cierto, porque estos caseros que se comportan como si fuesen independientes del soberano fiscal, es decir hoy día del Estado socialdemócrata, van a recibir un hostión de proporciones históricas.

(Aunque en realidad, opino que el hostión no les va a doler mientras el soberano fiscal, es decir, TODOS, no nos organicemos. Es la ausencia de organización la que mantiene una situación ridícula donde la Administración del Estado actúa contra los trabajadores. El Estado sigue recaudando sobre la base del IRPF y retenciones sociales al salario, cuando en realidad, la única fiscalidad que tiene sentido es la arrenda territorial, es decir, una fiscalidad inmobiliaria. Por eso también es importante entender que la organización fiscal debemos hacerla a escala continental, es decir, debemos dotarnos de una Constitución Europea cuyo principio de fiscalidad sea (vuelva a ser) la arrenda [1].
Y por delirar apenas, el hostión va a ser histórico porque equivale a superar fiscalmente los principios territoriales nacidos de la Paz de Wesfalia. Absolutamente. Afirmo que es en 1648 cuando se inició realmente el proceso popularcapitalista. El Capital es una arrenda.  Ver mi nota [1])
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Entiendo que a principios del s.XX no se disponia de medios estadísticos o administrativos eficaces para fijar el impuesto inmobiliario de forma flexible.
Adam Smith ya cuenta que a falta de mejor criterio, se determinaba el impuesto sobre el número de ventanas de los inmuebles. Aunque hoy nos sorprenda, era un criterio razonable.

Llegados al s.XXI lo razonable parece ser utilizar la tasa de ocupación laboral, es decir la tasa de quienes arrendan su trabajo, es decir de quienes producen... el impuesto.


Saludos.


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[1]
En realidad la dificultad me parece que proviene del origen del término 'arrendador/arrendatario". El alquiler es un impuesto privado. Es la delegación en manos privadas de un impuesto público. No es una metáfora, sino el origen del termino v/EN "Arendator o v/FR "Arenda" (en castellano se debe doblar la -r- entre vocales). Es la delegación de un impuesto público sobre la renta-del-trabajo, en manos privadas. Historicamente, el derecho era nobiliario, no era de propiedad, de forma que el feudo, las tierras de cultivo generaban un IMPUESTO feudal. Pero el derechohabiente (el noble) podía por supuesto DELEGAR la recaudación a un arrendador, que actuaba como hoy hacen los propietarios legales. Hoy día, el título de propiedad del inmueble es simplemente lo que en derecho nobiliario se llamaba una "arenda", es decir la cesión por el soberano fiscal de levantar un impuesto, bien sobre sí mismo (se llama entonces renta ficticia) o sobre un tercero (es decir, sobre quien trabaja la propiedad arrendada).

ISRAEL  - AAA /

House Approves 'Antisemitism Awareness Act' Aimed At Cracking Down On Campus Protests
by Tyler Durden
Thursday, May 02, 2024 - 12:45 AM

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/house-approves-antisemitism-bill-aimed-cracking-down-campus-protests

Late in the afternoon Wednesday the House approved a bill which seeks to crack down on antisemitism on college and university campuses following days of protests and unrest driven by pro-Palestinian activists.

The Antisemitism Awareness Act has been approved in a 320-91 vote and will now head to the Senate. But the central question is: how and by what measure will federal authorities crack down on speech deemed "antisemitic"?

https://twitter.com/MattWalshBlog/status/1785798055645638932 

Matt Walsh (@MattWalshBlog)
May 1, 2024

The vast majority of Republicans just voted for a bill to criminalize criticisms of the Israeli government. If the bill passes you will be guilty of hate speech if you “apply double standards” to the government of Israel or accuse it of genocide. This is honestly one of the most…

1.- ¿De donde sacáis que NO llevan insignia?
os Polacos están estacionados en Galizia y los Franceses en Odesa. De fuente francesa.
Parece que EEUU va a mandar "consejeros"-

Pero aparte de operadores, son fuerzas especiales.
Francia ha entregado cañones al Regimiento Azov
Suiza ha autorizado 6 mil millones para de ayuda médica humanitaria (que no va a ser para civiles)


2.- En 2014 Los militares sin insignia de Crimea eran los que hacian la mili en Crimea, La mili se hace en cada Oblast autónomo (Constitución del Oblast).
Tras el referendum el gobierno Ucraniano les dio orden de integrarse a la zona ucraniana. Si recuerdo bien la entrevista del politico ucraniano, de los 12000, sólo obedecieron 200.
La entrevista era une entrevista al cargo ucraniano que gestionó la operación.


No entiendo las búsquedas en t.me y no sé cómo buscar la entrevista ahora.
Aparte que el link de telegram, sigo canales en v/FR (hay muchos expatriados galos, supongo que españoles los habrá también. Una buena fuente es rt, también rybar en español)


Pero lo mejor es suscríbirse a telegram.
Sobre Ucrania, quitando los partes de guerra (de los 2 campos) el 90% de las noticias proviene de Ucrania UK, EEUU Polonia, ahora Eslovaquia y Moldavia y Georgia (En Georgia están intentando un Maidan asediando el Parlamento).
El otro 10 % son las declaraciones oficiales de Kremlin
Suelen dar las fuentes otan/occidentales y las portadas de prensa inglesa para acceder al artículo.

Pero vamos, el panorama es bastante completo. Ya no sigo la prensa subvenicionada gala o hispana. No informan.
Deliran en directo. Como con el COVID.