PPCC. PIsitófilos Creditófagos. Otoño 2020

[Lem]

___ USA vote

Hay un Comité pro Trump en Francia,

Con el Listado de los (presuntos) fraudes.. En v/FR pero los links son usanos  (y los números árabes )

https://www.trumpfrance.com/single-post/la-liste-des-fraudes-d%C3%A9mocrates

esta cuenta de Twitter https://twitter.com/Ike_Saul/status/1324435797374808066 estuvo haciendo seguimiento de todos los "fraud claims" que le llegaban, algunos de ellos retuiteados por las cuentas del equipo Trump. 139 mensajes en el hilo cuando lo dejó el pasado día 6.

de los Tweets que compartió usted ayer, revisé un par, y uno fué repudiado por un juez y el otro debunkeado también.

no voy a ponerme a hacer el ejercicio de cotejar la lista de la web francesa con la del hilo de debunking, pero me huelo un ratio 1:1.

[Derby]

https://www.reuters.com/article/tui-capital/exclusive-tui-in-talks-for-up-to-1-8-bln-euros-of-extra-state-aid-sources-idUSL8N2HW60S

TUI in talks for up to 1.8 bln euros of extra state aid - sources

TUI is in talks with the German government on an extra 1.5-1.8 billion euros ($1.8-$2.1 billion) in state aid as two bailouts from earlier this year have not been enough for travel company to cope with the coronavirus travel slump, people close to the matter said.

[Lem]

___USA elecciones

Más de lo mismo, esta vez con Big Data y muy facil de entender / visualizar:

Saturno, viendo solo el tercer gráfico sin la explicación del artículo no es fácil de entender el parrafo de conclusión. Y leyendo así el artículo por encima sin una explicación clara del sistema de mezcla de votos, cuando, como, donde, como se agrupa etc tampoco. Porque si estan contando votos de distintas areas geograficas aunque los mezclen entre sí, los aumentos se podríá explicar.

Cuando cambia la visualización (tienen pinta de estar todo hecho en R) entonces dice que es nornal esperar un cambio a republiano.

'This slight drift from D to R mail-ins occurs again and again, and is likely due to outlying rural areas having more R votes. These outlying areas take longer to ship their ballots to the polling centers.'

Y sin embargo cuando hay un cambio mayor en la otra direccion dice que es imposible y que es una indicacion clara de fraude. Si lo lees con calma y encuentras algo que no veo, corrígeme - sin ironíá.

Un poco de investigación rápida de Zero Hedge y los que comentan noticias aclara mucho las cosas. Austriacos, oro, un bulgaro baneado como inversor por 'insider trading'. Lo mejor de cada casa.

Saturno, a ver si lo entiendo: Trump designó al director de USPS que ha estado poniendo palos en las ruedas de los mail-in ballots, pero a pesar de eso, la manipulación está en el lado demócrata?

este video de FiveThirtyEight (Satán para Trump, aviso) explica los shifts de un color a otro en estas elecciones (cortito pero en inglés, que además ya explicó Maloserá en post anterior): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HXXeAHnVoII

[Derby]

https://www.reuters.com/article/eurozone-bonds/update-2-eu-sees-over-10-fold-demand-for-second-sure-issuance-german-yields-rise-idUSL1N2HW129

EU sees over 10-fold demand for second SURE issuance; German yields rise

* EU receives 175 billion euros of demand for second SURE issuance

* Markets continue focusing on Pfizer vaccine news

* German 10-year yields touch new one-month high

* Euro zone periphery govt bond yields

The European Union saw over 10-fold demand for the second bond issuance backing its SURE unemployment scheme on Tuesday, while German yields touched a one-month high with investors still digesting news of a vaccine against COVID-19.

The EU will raise eight billion euros from the sale of a five-year bond, demand for which reached more than 105 billion euros, and six billion euros from a 30-year bond, which saw demand of over 70 billion euros according to a lead manager memo seen by Reuters.

Both bonds are “social” bonds, with the entire SURE programme now being funded in this format.

The deal follows the first issuance to fund the scheme in early October, which raised 17 billion euros and got 233 billion euros of orders, the highest level for any bond sale ever.

Although the EU would pay more than it would have last week, Antoine Bouvet, senior rates strategist at ING in London, said it managed to bring a “very large size out given arguably much more challenging market conditions because of the sell-off we had yesterday.”

“You could have expected investors to get a bit twitchy.”
 
News that Pfizer’s experimental COVID-19 vaccine is more than 90% effective based on initial trial results led to a huge turnaround in markets on Monday. Hopes that the vaccine will be a key step towards economic recovery hit safe-haven bonds hard on Monday.

Markets continued to digest the news on Tuesday. After seeing its biggest daily jump since March on Monday, Germany’s 10-year yield touched a one-month high at -0.473% before retreating slightly to -0.477% at 1551 GMT.

News that the European Parliament and EU governments’ negotiators agreed on the details of the EU’s 2021-2027 budget, a crucial step for the activation of the bloc’s 1.8 trillion euro recovery package, had little impact on government bonds.

A key gauge of long-term euro zone inflation expectations rose to their highest since Sept. 16 at over 1.21% then ticked down to 1.20%.

The yield on Italy’s 10-year benchmark, which also jumped on the vaccine news, crept higher at 0.74%.

“There is a range of views at the moment, with the key question being whether this a major turning point that gets rates trending higher, or does the economic damage done keep us in a (broad) range for a lot longer,” said Sabrina Jacobs, fixed income specialist at Insight Investment in London.

She said the firm stopped out of long-duration positions in European government bonds on Monday out of caution.

“Most portfolio managers are tending towards the latter; i.e., not expecting that the narrative of rates not going anywhere for three-four years and support from quantitative easing etc. changes.”

[Derby]

https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/world/europe/trumps-name-spotted-in-johnsons-biden-congratulations-20201111-p56dez.html

Trump's name spotted in Johnson's Biden congratulations

Keen-eyed political observers noticed an unusual feature in a tweet from British Prime Minister Boris Johnson congratulating US President-elect Joe Biden on his election victory: the ghost of an alternative message congratulating Donald Trump.

The words "Trump" and "second term" could be seen faintly in the background of the message, which was sent on Saturday from the Prime Minister's Twitter account shortly after Biden was declared the winner of the US presidential election.

The British government blamed a technical glitch.

"As you'd expect, two statements were prepared in advance for the outcome of this closely contested election," the government said.

"A technical error meant that parts of the alternative message were embedded in the background of the graphic."

Johnson had a warm relationship with Trump, a supporter of Brexit, despite the two leaders' differences on major issues such as climate change and the Iran nuclear deal.(...)

[Maloserá]

Para mí lo importante del resultado electoral USA es que los republicanos con algo de peso no acusan de corrupción o hablaban de parar la votación. Dicen que Trump tiene todo el derecho a pedir recuentos y acudir a los tribunales. Solo faltaría. Y además de la sensación de que muchos no hablan por miedo. Trump puede volver a presentarse en 2024. Con la edad de Biden.

Un artículo del Guardian con una explicación de los distintos casos judiciales ya cerrados o que quiere abrir Trump. Fijaos en los detalles. El Guardian es de izquierda y mass-media. La edición digital es una de las mas leidas del mundo. Tiene mas de un siglo de antiguedad A veces me cabrean sus editoriales y opinión. Pero sus periodistas firman sus articulos y podeis ver quienes son y su pasado en Google. Si quereis comparar esto con zerohedge donde todos sus articulistas firman como Tyler Durden (del Club de la Lucha) o el twitter de un Jesus Gil americano... pues ustedes mismos.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/nov/10/donald-trump-longshot-election-lawsuits

Y si quereis ver a Trump y Giuliani en acción, y el personal que tienen, investigad el ''four seasons total landscaping' y os echáis unas risas. Lo de como acabó Giuliani dando una rueda de prensa donde iba a dar datos de corrupción incontestables en el aparcamiento de una tienda de productos para jardín de medio pelo, entre un crematorio y una tienda de vibradores. Con la aparición estelar de un candidato demócrata que habíá estado en la cárcel por delitos sexuales incluyendo exhibirse a menores.

[teuton]

Respecto a que los paises medio serios cuentan a mano, les dejo enlace a la plataforma elecciones transparentes. Yo no quiero ser malpensado, pero controlado el CIS y el algoritmo, y viendo la desidia cañí, es imposible perder. Mu dificil.....

https://www.eleccionestransparentes.org/

salud

Lo de el voto a mano o no es lo de menos, la política resulta cansina, no hacemos nada más que darle vueltas a lo mismo durante años y así llevamos desde el principio de esta supuesta democracia. Para que el votante sea un sujeto activo en la democracia ha de participar en esta o por lo menos ha poder optar a participar, ahora lo que hacemos es posicionarnos y votamos a unos tipos que no sabemos ni quienes son, para colmo esos tipos han de pertenecer a una estructura mafiosa donde los que suben son los chupapo**as. Da igual a quien votemos, el resultado será el mismo. La política ha de avanzar y hay que empezar por desmantelar esas estructuras que son los partidos, que lo que hacen es mirar por ellas mismas. Confiar en los partidos políticos es como confiar es que unos padres drogadictos van a cuidar correctamente de sus hijos.

El sesgo de PPCC es claramente pro-socialista, para mí esto lo invalida ya que no lo hace objetivo y desvirtúa el mensaje intentando que creamos que aquí los malos están en un solo bando, los malos están en todos los bandos y son mayoría.

Para mí la verdadera política ha de emanar de EL PUEBLO, de gente del pueblo, y tiene que haber una ley clara, simple y con responsabilidades penales y civiles para quien no la ejerza de forma correcta. Lo que no puede ser es que los políticos usen los partidos, como ente abstracto, para cometer delitos.

Yo ya me considero suficientemente mayorcito para que nadie me tutele como si fuera un niño chico, así es como nos tratan los partidos a los ciudadanos, como niños chicos y tontos y se ríen delante nuestra.


Saludos.

[PastorMesetario]

Tal y como fue diseñado y ejecutado el plan del 78, era extremadamente complicado que los partidos no se convirtieran en estructuras profundamente corruptas lideradas por escaladores profesionales sin escrúpulos. En este sistema político, para evitar la corrupción se requiere que los participantes sean seres de luz y..., claro, los seres de luz no existen.

Obviamente, un sistema así sólo puede empeorar con el tiempo.

En otro orden de cosas: Mi cerebro taimado no para de darle vueltas a ese porcentaje de la vacuna de Pfizer; ese "noventa por ciento" tan cacareado...
Si antes o después surgen dudas acerca de ese fantástico tanto por ciento nos vamos a reír.

Además, no puedo evitar imaginar el absoluto caos que la actual administración es capaz de montar primero con la adquisición del prodigioso remedio y después con la campaña de vacunación. Ya disponemos de hermosos precedentes como casos para estudiar y hacer pronósticos.

Saludos.

[Lurker]

https://go.ivoox.com/rf/60057638

Este es un podcast de Bret Weinstein, un tipo al que considero una voz ponderada e independiente en EEUU, fue profesor de biología evolutiva en Evergreen y después de una situación bastante fea en su aula con estudiantes woke tuvo que abandonar su puesto. Para nada un red-pilled. Se podría considerar un classic liberal siguiendo los parámetros americanos. Si tienen un tiempo les recomiendo que escuchen su postura. Si tienen un poco más de tiempo, les recomiendo la entrevista que tiene con Joe Rogan o cualquier otro en el que hable de la situación en Portland o el estudio que tiene sobre las ratas de laboratorio y los telómeros. En general, lo que este hombre o su hermano piensan, merece la pena oírlos.

https://twitter.com/BretWeinstein/status/1326221069426982913?s=19

"It is not clear their was substantial fraud in the 2020 U.S. election, but it is clear there is valid reason for concern.
Why is there not broad, bipartisan interest in finding out?"

Cuando tengo un tema delante, lo primero que miro es la prensa generalista, pero soy consciente de que la prensa y medios de masas tienen un sesgo motivado en muchas ocasiones por quienes pagan los artículos.

Dicho esto, es muy probable que Maloserá esté en lo cierto y, sin embargo, yo no puedo descartar nada. No me gusta tampoco que las críticas se basen en elementos externos al tema, aunque soy consciente de que a veces también caigo en ello.

[wanderer]

Al payaso naranja horripilante no ya sólo cada vez menos gente le tomará en serio, es que ya ni siquiera su lenguaje soez y prepotente va a intimidar a nadie.

Eso sí, me encantaría que se aferrara de tal modo a su puesto que tuviera que sacarle de allí la Guardia Nacional.

De todos modos, Biden no me emociona, y muchos de sus seguidores demócratas me producen franca sospecha y hasta repulsión (como los que han dado apoyo a los BLM's, consentido los antifas, auspiciado la cultura de la cancelación y el movimiento woke, etc). De hecho, los progres tienen un más que serio problema porque ni han conseguido una victoria arrolladora (todo indica que el Senado seguirá siendo republicano), ni lo más importante, siguen sin pillar la inmensa distancia de los votantes bien rurales, bien de zonas desindustrializadas (antes demócratas) que se sienten abandonados y despreciados por el moloneo progre y urbanita.

También muchísimos emigrantes e integrantes de minorías (incluyendo a muchos negros e hispanos), apoyan a Trump, y sobre todo, reniegan del progresismo identitario. Por ello, si bien me alegro muchísimo de su derrota, su proyecto no está ni muchísimo menos derrotado; volverá, seguro, pero con una expresión mucho más serena y calmada, y como muestra, ésto:

https://www.elconfidencial.com/mundo/europa/2020-11-08/giorgia-meloni-el-inesperado-exito-de-la-extrema-derecha_2800699/

[Derby]

https://finanz.dk/15-trillion-the-true-cost-of-the-global-energy-transition/

$15 Trillion: The True Cost Of The Global Energy Transition

$15 trillion: this is the amount of money to be invested in new power capacity globally over the next three decades. Most of this – 80 percent – will be poured into renewables. This certainly makes the energy transition far from cheap, but no one – at least no one reputable – ever said going green would be cheap. Yet the amount of investments to be directed towards expanding wind, solar, and associated systems will not be the only costs to be borne during the transition. There may well be steep environmental costs as well.

BloombergnNEF, which conducted the analysis that resulted in the investment estimate for the next 30 years in energy, also said that between 2020 and 2050, another $14 trillion will be invested in the grid, likely to adapt it for a surge in solar and renewable power deployments, which, according to the analysis, will constitute 56 percent of total global generation capacity by 2050. And it will have spurred a mini golden age in mining.
 
Wind power, like solar power, requires a lot of metals and other minerals to produce essential components for the installations. Therefore, as the demand for wind turbines and blades jumps, so will the demand for the metals they are made of. It’s the same with the metals and minerals necessary for the production of a solar panel.

Here’s just one example that could perhaps illustrate the trend: according to a 2017 report by the World Bank, demand for silver could soar from the then-current 24,000 tons annually to more than 400,000 tons. And that’s under a best-case scenario that features a greater penetration of silver-free thin-film PV panels in the energy mix, at the expense of crystalline silicon panels that use silver. Under a worst-case scenario, demand for silver could top 700,000 tons.

This is quite an increase that will require a major expansion in mining and mining is an energy-intensive, not particularly environmentally friendly way of getting finite resources out of the ground, as investor Sam Kovacs writes in an article for Seeking Alpha addressing the challenges of the energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables. Now add to silver a host of other metals used in renewable energy installations, and the mining expansion becomes even more substantial, adding economic, social, and environmental costs to the transition.

Then there is energy storage. Without it, the transition will simply not happen. In fact, some are questioning whether it could happen given the current stage of development of energy storage technology. Two years ago, an article by James Temple for the Massachusetts Technology Review questioned the viability of the energy transition precisely because of energy storage, which, Temple argued, was still prohibitively expensive in light of the scale, to which such storage would need to be developed.

The World Bank estimated in 2017 that grid-scale storage capacity would need to rise from 100 GW in 2015 to up to 305 GW. A 2014 IEA report made an even higher estimate, for up to 500 GW in storage to be necessary by 2050. As of 2015, almost all—99.3 percent—of the available grid-scale storage was pumped-hydro. The percentage cannot keep, however, because pumped-hydro has limitations. Batteries appear to be the alternative, at a cost.
 
Tesla and Neoen, a French company, last week announced they would build a 300 MW/450 MWh battery in Victoria, Australia. The battery would be twice as large as their previous record, also set in Australia with 100 MW/129 MWh of capacity. Capacity on its own, however, tells little to the layperson. For context, the 300-MW facility would be capable of storing enough renewable energy to power half a million homes—for one hour.

The project will cost $84 million.

There are batteries that could supply power to households for more than an hour, and more are being developed. But their capacity remains limited to a few hours, which has made some observers compare them to the so-called peaker plants used during power demand surges. For a consistent power supply relying predominantly on renewable energy, battery storage is not yet feasible.

Last month, Wood Mackenzie estimated the energy transition will require $1 trillion in investments in several key metals. In other words, the world will need nearly twice as much investment in critical energy-transition minerals over the next 15 years as it has invested over the past 15 years. And then, 20 to 25 years later, many of the installations made from these metals would need to be retired. This means going into landfills because not all solar and wind equipment can be recycled.

Wind blades, for one thing, cannot be recycled. They are made of fiberglass and are therefore either dumped in landfills, sent to so-called wind blade graveyards, or in some cases, burned in metallurgical kilns, resulting in emissions. The good news is that 85 percent of windmills can be recycled, and the blades are harmless, even in landfills.

Solar panels are also mostly recyclable, but the business is not particularly profitable, which is a deterrent for businesses: it is a fact often overlooked that recycling is a business like any other business, and if it doesn’t make a profit, it will switch to something else. As a result, many panels are headed toward landfills, adding to the environmental costs of the energy transition as they contain toxic materials.

The energy transition, as urgent as it may be, according to some sources, will not be cheap. But in addition to the obvious costs of expanding solar and wind generation capacity, storage, and adapting the grid to their increased participation in the energy mix, there appear to be other, half-hidden costs that are not just financial but also social and environmental.

[Lurker]

Madre mía, lo dejo con esto, ya lo veremos. Pero qué confianza y qué sobradura:

https://twitter.com/cspan/status/1326230270421426183?s=19

Mike Pompeo: "There will be a smooth transition to a second Trump administration."

[No Logo]

Respecto a que los paises medio serios cuentan a mano, les dejo enlace a la plataforma elecciones transparentes. Yo no quiero ser malpensado, pero controlado el CIS y el algoritmo, y viendo la desidia cañí, es imposible perder. Mu dificil.....

https://www.eleccionestransparentes.org/

salud

Lo de el voto a mano o no es lo de menos, la política resulta cansina, no hacemos nada más que darle vueltas a lo mismo durante años y así llevamos desde el principio de esta supuesta democracia. Para que el votante sea un sujeto activo en la democracia ha de participar en esta o por lo menos ha poder optar a participar, ahora lo que hacemos es posicionarnos y votamos a unos tipos que no sabemos ni quienes son, para colmo esos tipos han de pertenecer a una estructura mafiosa donde los que suben son los chupapo**as. Da igual a quien votemos, el resultado será el mismo. La política ha de avanzar y hay que empezar por desmantelar esas estructuras que son los partidos, que lo que hacen es mirar por ellas mismas. Confiar en los partidos políticos es como confiar es que unos padres drogadictos van a cuidar correctamente de sus hijos.

El sesgo de PPCC es claramente pro-socialista, para mí esto lo invalida ya que no lo hace objetivo y desvirtúa el mensaje intentando que creamos que aquí los malos están en un solo bando, los malos están en todos los bandos y son mayoría.

Para mí la verdadera política ha de emanar de EL PUEBLO, de gente del pueblo, y tiene que haber una ley clara, simple y con responsabilidades penales y civiles para quien no la ejerza de forma correcta. Lo que no puede ser es que los políticos usen los partidos, como ente abstracto, para cometer delitos.

Yo ya me considero suficientemente mayorcito para que nadie me tutele como si fuera un niño chico, así es como nos tratan los partidos a los ciudadanos, como niños chicos y tontos y se ríen delante nuestra.


Saludos.

Totalmente de acuerdo, pero al menos el juego era que el personal elegia, aunque se "equivocase", incluso con todo el arsenal mediático y clientelar que lo pastoreaba. Pero ya un amaño tan palmario como la apropiación salvaje del cis y el conteo express de chichinabo hace que ya no sea un trato de infantes, sino ya directamente de gilipollas. Y elimina hasta el último resquicio, aunque fuera wishful thinking, dejando al personal en el más absoluto convencimiento de que la teórica voluntad popular es irrelevante. El campo para la aparición de extremismos y violencia está abonado.

Salud

Enviado desde mi Moto G (5) mediante Tapatalk

[Derby]

https://finanz.dk/fed-issues-warning-about-high-debt-and-overvalued-asset-prices/

Fed Issues Warning About High Debt And Overvalued Asset Prices

While the markets were giddy about the prospects of a coronavirus vaccine, the Federal Reserve was warning of more economic chaos on the horizon.

The Fed released its biannual Financial Stability Report Monday. The report warned we could see a wave of defaults and “significant declines” in asset prices in the near future.

The biggest concern outlined by the Fed is the surging levels of debt in the economy. “As many households continue to struggle, loan defaults may rise, leading to material losses,” the Fed report warned.

It also expressed concern about the rising levels of business debt.

"Debt owed by businesses, which was already historically high relative to gross domestic product (GDP) before the pandemic, has risen sharply as businesses increased borrowing to weather the period of weak earnings. The general decline in revenues associated with the severe reduction in economic activity has weakened the ability of businesses to service these obligations.”

According to the report, small businesses “credit quality … has worsened notably since the COVID-19 outbreak and has not yet stabilized, with many small businesses closing or scaling back operations significantly during the crisis.”

Despite the problems, the Fed said the worst possible outcomes resulting from the pandemic have been largely avoided – so far.

So far, strains in the business and household sectors have been mitigated by significant government lending and relief programs and by low interest rates.”

The Federal Reserve report also expressed concern about overvalued asset prices, particularly the stock market.

Given the high level of uncertainty associated with the pandemic, assessing valuation pressures is particularly challenging, and asset prices remain vulnerable to significant declines should investor risk sentiment fall or the economic recovery weaken.”

In simple terms, the Fed’s monetary policy has blown up a big stock market bubble, along with bubbles in other asset prices including housing. It wouldn’t take a very long pin to pop those bubbles and send the stock market crashing through the basement.

Speaking of the housing market, the Fed noted that it is showing signs of stress.

"The strength in the housing sector reflects robust demand from households and is being supported by the low level of interest rates. However, downside risk remains, given the unusually large number of mortgage loans in forbearance programs and the uncertainty around their ultimate repayment.”

About 7% of mortgage holders are behind on payments. That up about 2% since the beginning of the pandemic.

Overall, the Fed report warned that we still have high levels of risk in the US economy.

"In the near term, risks associated with the course of COVID-19 and its effects on the US and global economies remain high.”

Ironically, the Federal Reserve created this high-debt environment and blew up the suddenly problematic asset bubbles – on purpose – through the very programs it claims have saved us from harm. Artificially low interest rates and borrowing programs funded by money printing allowed businesses to run up the massive levels of debt the Fed is now concerned about. They also fueled the big run-up in the stock market even as the economy collapsed under the pressure of government lockdowns.

This is precisely why we have said there is no exit strategy from this extraordinary monetary policy even if scientists come up with an effective coronavirus vaccine. As Peter Schiff noted in a recent podcast, “The problem is not really the fact that we have a disease, but that we’re addicted to the cure, which was cheap money and all this debt. And so now, it’s the addiction to the cure that’s the real problem.”

"The Fed can’t take away the cure without causing an even bigger problem than the initial disease that the cure was meant to cure because now the problem isn’t the disease. Who cares about that? The problem is the cure that was so addicting. And now we’ve got an even bigger problem than the one we started with. And that problem’s not going away. There is no antidote or vaccine that’s going to work for that. We are stuck with that.”

https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/financial-stability-report.htm

[Derby]

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-usa-johnson-biden-brexit-idUKKBN27Q33V?taid=5faaf976b07e0500017ebc2f

Biden delivers Brexit warning to PM Johnson in post-election call - FT

U.S. President-elect Joe Biden, has delivered a warning to British Prime Minister Boris Johnson in a post-election call, not to let Brexit destabilise the Northern Ireland peace process, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday.

Johnson and Biden spoke about the importance of implementing Brexit in such a way that upholds the Good Friday Agreement, the newspaper reported, citing one British official.