Tema: PPCC-Pisitófilos Creditófagos-Invierno 2022

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Pero no estábamos en que las Big Tech estaban echando gente a paladas?

Meta Plans To Cut Thousands of Jobs
Posted by msmash on Wednesday February 22, 2023 @10:25AM from the closer-look dept.

Facebook parent company Meta is preparing for a fresh round of job cuts, deputizing human resources, lawyers, financial experts and top executives to draw up plans to deflate the company's hierarchy, in a reorganization and downsizing effort that could affect thousands of workers. From a report:

Meta plans to push some leaders into lower-level roles without direct reports, flattening the layers of management between Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg and the company's interns, according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak on about internal matters. Other managers may end up overseeing a higher number of employees as their teams grow bigger. Some inside Meta expect employees whose jobs have been converted to eventually quit, trimming the company's workforce by default. In addition to targeting managers, the company is also considering more traditional cuts, including slashing some projects and jobs, the person said. These efforts, which are targeted at divisions across the company and around the world, may not happen on a single day, but will likely roll out across the company in the coming months.

Saludos.

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https://lectura.kioskoymas.com/cinco-dias/page/2/textview

Los créditos fallidos del inmobiliario siguen lastrando las cuentas de los bancos

https://cincodias.elpais.com/companias/2023-02-22/santander-y-caixabank-pondran-en-venta-creditos-dudosos-vinculados-al-ladrillo-por-5000-millones.html

Saludos.

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https://elpais.com/economia/2023-02-21/la-semana-laboral-de-cuatro-dias-triunfa-en-reino-unido.html

Saludos.

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https://cincodias.elpais.com/opinion/2023-02-22/la-espada-de-doble-filo-de-ee-uu-contra-china.html

Saludos.

[Derby]

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/22/business/economy/inflation-fed-minutes.html

Fed Minutes Showed Policymakers Were Still Intent on Easing Inflation

Federal Reserve officials thought they needed to do more to cool the economy even before a series of strong data releases in recent weeks.

Federal Reserve officials believed that they needed to do more to slow the economy and wrestle painfully rapid inflation back under control as of their meeting early this month, minutes from the gathering showed.

The notes, released on Wednesday, showed that “all participants” continued to believe that rates needed to rise by more, and that “a number” of them thought that monetary policy might need to be even more restrictive in light of easing conditions in financial markets in the months prior.

“Participants generally noted that upside risks to the inflation outlook remained a key factor shaping the policy outlook,” the minutes said. “A number of participants observed that a policy stance that proved to be insufficiently restrictive could halt recent progress in moderating inflationary pressures.”

The takeaway is that policymakers were still intently focused on wrestling inflation back under control even before a spate of recent data releases showed that the economy has maintained a surprising amount of momentum at the start of 2023. In the weeks since the Fed last met, inflation data have exhibited unexpected staying power, and a range of data points have suggested that both the job market and consumer spending remain robust. A release on Friday is expected to show that the Fed’s preferred inflation indicator climbed rapidly on a monthly basis in January, and that consumption grew at a solid pace.

That creates a challenge for Fed officials, who had been hoping that their policy changes last year would slowly but steadily weigh on the economy, cooling demand and forcing companies to stop raising prices so quickly. If demand holds up, businesses are more likely to find that they can continue to charge more without driving away their customers.

Central bankers have raised interest rates at the fastest pace since the 1980s over the past year, pushing them from near-zero at this time in 2022 to more than 4.5 percent as of this month. Officials signaled in December that they might need to raise rates to above 5 percent this year, but those estimates have been creeping higher, to perhaps above 5.25 percent. And key policymakers have been clear that if the economy fails to slow as expected, they will do more to make sure momentum cools.

Higher interest rates weigh on the economy by making it expensive for households to borrow to buy a new car or purchase a house, and by making it pricier for businesses to expand on credit. As those transactions stall, the aftershocks trickle through the economy, slowing not just the housing and automobile markets but also the labor market and retail and services spending as a whole.

But the full effect of policy takes time to play out, which makes it difficult for central bankers to assess in real time how much policy tightening is exactly the right amount to slow the economy and bring inflation to heel. Overdoing it could come at a cost: Leaving more people out of work, with lower incomes and more limited prospects, than is necessary.

Yet the 1970s taught central bankers that allowing inflation to remain high for a long time without decisively acting to bring it under control is also a painful error. Back then, the Fed allowed inflation to run higher for years, and it eventually jumped so out of control that they had to institute draconian rate increases to wrangle prices. Unemployment jumped to double-digit levels.

Officials slowed their rate increases in February, and have signaled that they will continue to raise rates by a modest quarter point per meeting pace in coming meetings. Some policymakers — including Loretta Mester at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland — have been clear in public that they would have preferred a bigger move at the latest meeting.

While the minutes acknowledged that “a few participants” would have supported or even preferred a half-point move, they said that smaller adjustment were seen as a way to balance risks.

Almost all observed that slowing “would allow for appropriate risk management as the Committee assessed the extent of further tightening needed to meet the committee’s goals,” the minutes said.

Now the question is just how high rates must rise, and how long they will stay there.

The challenge for central bankers is that several factors playing out in early 2023 suggest that the economy retains substantial strength. Americans are getting jobs and winning raises, shoring up household incomes. They are still sitting on savings piles amassed during the pandemic, though those are shrinking. Many older households have just received a cost of living increase of 8.7 percent in their first Social Security check of the year.

Even as of the Jan. 31 to Feb. 1 meeting, officials saw several reasons that inflation might remain too high: China’s reopening from coronavirus lockdowns could add to demand, Russia’s war in Ukraine could cause supply disruptions, and the labor market might stay strong for longer than expected, according to the minutes.

Yet policymakers also saw reasons inflation might fade quickly. Among them, many global central banks have raised interest rates, and the United States could be vulnerable to tipping into an outright recession after a period of more subdued growth. Plus, the country could face financial or economic problems if Congress’ debate over raising the debt limit drags out.

“A number of participants stressed that a drawn-out period of negotiations to raise the federal debt limit could pose significant risks to the financial system and the broader economy,” the minutes said.

https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20230222a.htm

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Muro de pago, pero...

«Sin un gran acontecimiento económico, Asturias bajará a 947.000 habitantes en 2030»

Ramiro Lomba abre el ciclo de conferencias del Ridea sobre el reto demográfico con un llamamiento a «optimizar y dinamizar nuestras empresas»

«La sociedad, los políticos y los medios de comunicación se han empezado a preocupar por este tema demasiado tarde»...

Cuatro décadas para ser exactos. Cuatro décadas con el índice de natalidad español por debajo de la tasa de reposición. Mientras se pudo tapar con inmigrantes y subterfugios varios, se hizo como el avestruz.

Ahora el trago va a ser durísimo para todos. Recuerden estos tiempos, y comparen con lo que vendrá, cuando el ladrillo será el menor de nuestros problemas.

«Sin un gran acontecimiento económico, Asturias bajará a 947.000 habitantes en 2030»
Ramiro Lomba abre el ciclo de conferencias del Ridea sobre el reto demográfico con un llamamiento a «optimizar y dinamizar nuestras empresas»

O. VILLA | Miércoles, 22 febrero 2023

Javier Junceda, Ramón Rodríguez, Juan Luis Rodríguez-Vigil y Ramiro Lomba, durante la conferencia de este en el Ridea. / PABLO LORENZANA

«La sociedad, los políticos y los medios de comunicación se han comenzado a preocupar por este tema demasiado tarde», indicó ayer el director de Sadei, Ramiro Lomba, en los prolegómenos de su conferencia sobre la evolución demográfica de Asturias entre 1900 y 2021 con la que el Ridea abre un ciclo de conferencias sobre diversos aspectos del reto demográfico, que se desarrollará durante los dos próximos meses.

Lomba hizo un recorrido amplio sobre los diversos condicionantes que ha tenido la evolución demográfica de Asturias durante los últimos 121 años, con especial énfasis en los efectos de dichos condicionantes. Partió de una Asturias con 637.801 habitantes en 1900, pero que pese a tener casi 360.000 personas menos que hoy presentaba una pirámide demográfica mucho más armónica, con una base muy amplia, al punto de que el grupo de edad entre 5 y 9 años doblaba en componentes al de 30 a 34, pero en la que la mortalidad infantil era el gran problema, dado que 1 de cada 14 niños menores de 14 años moría cada año, mientras que la tasa, hoy, es de 1 de cada 1.800. En algo se ha mejorado.

Era aquella una Asturias en la que el concejo más poblado era Oviedo, pero con apenas 48.374 habitantes (hoy supera los 217.000) y en el que solo tres municipios tenían menos de 1.000 habitantes (hoy son legión) y, eso sí, que tenía unos niveles de natalidad que casi multiplican por cinco los actuales. El año de toda la historia en el que nacieron más asturianos fue 1903, con 23.077 (los tres últimos años tuvieron natalidades en el entorno de los 4.800 niños). Con las muescas demográficas, graves, de la gripe española (en 1918 fallecieron 23.281 asturianos, casi 9.000 más que en 2020, el primer año de la covid), la región tuvo un crecimiento sostenido hasta 1981.

Gijón, 4.000 menos en nueve años; la zona rural bajará 51.000

La proyección basada en los datos del Instituto Nacional de Estadística que planteó Lomba ayer, siempre sobre las premisas de que ocurrirá «si no se toman medidas» no es demasiado preocupante para Gijón (pasará de 268.896 habitantes de 2021 a 264.720) u Oviedo (de 217.552 a 213.115), pero sí para Avilés (perderá más habitantes que Oviedo o Gijón, al pasar de 76.874 a 71.316), Mieres (de 37.026 a 32.881) o Langreo (de 38.683 a 35.310). Y mucho peor para la Asturias rural, que se desplomará de los actuales 321.153 habitantes (dato de 2021) a 279.743 en 2030 (una caída de casi 13 puntos (un 12,89%) en el periodo de nueve años entre 2021 y 2030, con el agravante añadido de que esto sería con una región mucho más envejecida que lo que indica la media de edad actual, que roza los 49 años y nos sitúa entre las 50 provincias más envejecidas de Europa.

Dio Lomba una clave interesante y que rompe ideas muy instauradas en el imaginario general: Entre 1940 y 1981, con la llegada de la siderurgia pesada y con el gran desarrollo de la minería pública, Asturias creció en habitantes hasta dar en el último año de esa serie su máximo histórico (1.129.556), pero el crecimiento se basó en que hubo 316.000 más nacimientos que muertes, no en la inmigración. Corrección. Inmigración hubo, y mucha, pero en ese periodo también hubo tanta emigración de asturianos que el saldo migratorio del periodo fue negativo por casi 25.000 personas.

Hoy, con la natalidad desplomada y la mortalidad casi triplicándola, la inmigración parece la única opción para no perder población, la solución a corto y medio plazo pasa, según indicó Lomba «optimizar y dinamizar nuestras empresas», porque «sin un gran acontecimiento económico Asturias se situará en el entorno de los 947.000 habitantes en 2030», y con muchos más «solterones» en el entorno rural y personas mayores de 65 que vivan solas. Hoy son 84.367.

Saludos.

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Nearly 30 Percent of Work Remains Remote
Posted by BeauHD on Wednesday February 22, 2023 @10:30PM from the here-to-stay dept.

Nearly 30 percent of all work happened at home in January, six times the rate in 2019, according to WFH Research, a data-collection project. In Washington and other large urban centers, the share of remote work is closer to half. The Hill reports:

The COVID-19 pandemic transformed the American workplace. The share of all work performed at home rose from 4.7 percent in January 2019 to 61 percent in May 2020. Some economists consider the remote-work boom the greatest change to the labor market since World War II. In 2021 and 2022, employers gradually summoned American workers back to the office. Last spring, the back-to-the-office movement hit a wall, and the work-from-home population stabilized around 30 percent.

A slim majority of Americans are back in the office for good. Many never left. That group includes the restaurant and retail sectors, factory and warehouse workers, bartenders and farmers. "Fifty-five percent of Americans can't work from home," [said Nicholas Bloom, a Stanford University economist and WFH researcher]. "They all would like to work from home. They can't." A much smaller group, around 13 percent, work entirely from home. They include many IT and payroll workers, contractors and people who pick up the phone when you call customer service. The remaining 30 percent of U.S. employees populate a vast "hybrid" workforce. They are the bulk of suburban, white-collar America, mostly college graduates, comparatively well-paid.

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

AI-Created Images Lose US Copyrights In Test For New Technology
Posted by BeauHD on Wednesday February 22, 2023 @08:25PM from the copyright-protections dept.

Images in a graphic novel that were created using the artificial-intelligence system Midjourney should not have been granted copyright protection, the U.S. Copyright Office said in a letter seen by Reuters. From the report:

"Zarya of the Dawn" author Kristina Kashtanova is entitled to a copyright for the parts of the book she wrote and arranged, but not for images she made using Midjourney, the office said in its letter, dated Tuesday. The decision is one of the first by a U.S. court or agency on the scope of copyright protection for works created with AI, and comes amid the meteoric rise of generative AI software like Midjourney, Dall-E and ChatGPT.

The Copyright Office said in its letter that it would reissue its registration for "Zarya of the Dawn" to omit images that "are not the product of human authorship." [...] Midjourney is an AI-based system that generates images based on text prompts entered by users. Kashtanova wrote the text of "Zarya of the Dawn," and Midjourney created the book's images based on her prompts.

Saludos.

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https://twitter.com/Shora/status/1626605981311410177

https://www.investigacionyciencia.es/

Saludos.

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https://www.expansion.com/inmobiliario/mercado/2023/02/23/63f674cee5fdeacc0a8b4652.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://www.expansion.com/mercados/2023/02/22/63f66f5fe5fdeaf8278b45be.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://www.expansion.com/economia/financial-times/2023/02/22/63f5deefe5fdea1d628b465a.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://www.expansion.com/economia/2023/02/23/63f67318468aeb581f8b46a8.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://www.expansion.com/economia/2023/02/23/63f67815e5fdea425b8b4665.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://www.expansion.com/economia/2023/02/23/63f6906a468aeb04568b459f.html

Saludos.