Tema: PPCC-Pisitófilos Creditófagos-Invierno 2022

[Benzino Napaloni]

Veo cierta reticencia en el foro a los avances en robotización e inteligencia artificial

Por mi parte reticencia ninguna.
Yo trabajo en el sector (ya lo dije mas veces, ahora mismo en un proyecto europeo con un presupuesto de millones de euros, aunque por cuenta ajena) y te digo que la IA ni está ni se la espera, salvo cambio de paradigma.

Esto mismo. No es reticencia, es la cansinez del cuento de la Piedra Filosofal. Y el riesgo de que por creer en eso se vayan por el retrete energías que son muy necesarias para los problemas reales, no para el sueño húmedo de tener esto:

[Derby]

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-21/ecb-s-rehn-sees-grounds-for-significant-rate-hikes-in-spring

ECB’s Rehn Sees Grounds for Significant Rate Hikes in Spring

*Markets are pricing in ‘a lot’ of the tightening, Rehn says
*Central bank governor spoke in interview on Finland’s MTV

European Central Bank Governing Council member Olli Rehn said “there are grounds for significant increases” in the key interest rate in the winter and early spring, reiterating comments he’d made earlier in the week.

Thereafter the central bank should decide on rates depending on data received at each meeting, Rehn said in an interview on Finland’s MTV on Saturday. The Finnish central bank governor added that the rate increases are intended to help with the eroding purchasing power of euro-area citizens.(...)

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://twitter.com/sninobecerra/status/1616790016419663873

https://elpais.com/economia/2023-01-21/el-ano-de-los-alquileres-mas-caros.html

https://elpais.com/economia/2023-01-20/la-venta-de-casas-supera-las-600000-operaciones-y-certifica-a-2022-como-el-mejor-ano-desde-2007.html

Saludos.

[AbiertoPorDemolicion]

La prohibición de la explotación, incluso si adquiere tintes de autoexplotación, proviene de la desigualdad de base de la que parten empresarios y trabajadores. Si no estuviera prohibido hacer trabajar 12 horas, todas las empresas se apuntarían al grupo de los que te ofrece trabajar 12 horas con vistas a una pequeña posibilidad de ganar mucho más dentro de muchos años.
 
(...)

Sigur Rós - ( ) (Full Album)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XqKKaadbJl4

Relax

Efectivamente. Es tratar de justificar lo injustificable. Pero además ahora ya las expectativas de futuro están muy "difuminadas". Las nuevas generaciones tienen claro que eso de "labrarse un futuro" y esperar a ganar mucho más "más adelante", son palabras vacías de contenido. Han vivido una pandemia y han convivido con la incertidumbre. Para ellos es aquí y ahora.

Gracias por la música! Sigur Ros me gusta

(Simple objetivismo; parece que las Big Four andan preocupadas con su cuenta de resultados y están sacando los látigos, y enviando a sus lacayos mediáticos de la Universidad Juan Carlos I a los trirremes a marcar el ritmo a los remeros Juan-Palomo-yo-me-lo-guiso-yo-me-lo-como)

https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Objetivismo

https://juandemariana.org/ijm-actualidad/analisis-diario/el-objetivismo-y-sus-problemas-i/
(también son interesantes los comentarios)

Hay que ver a las Big Four como campos de concentración donde encerrar y mantener a los Objetivistas Juan-Palomo-yo-me-lo-guiso-yo-me-lo-como alejados de las calles y del resto de las empresas. Mientras están encerrados en sus celdas-oficinas rezando a su Dios-libertad-dinero y dándose palmaditas en la espalda y comiendose las po***s entre ellos, los demás nos evitaremos perder tiempo dándoles de gorrazos y aguantando sus conversaciones en la máquina de café del curro.

Muy buen disco el de Sigur Rós. Le conocí a través de Ólafur Arnalds; un músico islandés que me sorprendió desde la primera vez que le escuché:

Ólafur Arnalds
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PXkc2GLPl6I
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4JyEGF5j5k

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://www.eleconomista.es/economia/noticias/12116420/01/23/El-FMI-estima-un-crecimiento-de-la-economia-mundial-del-27-este-ano-pero-llama-a-la-cautela.html

https://www.eleconomista.es/mercados-cotizaciones/noticias/12117140/01/23/El-mercado-rebaja-la-ambicion-del-BCE-y-coloca-su-techo-en-el-325.html

https://www.eleconomista.es/actualidad/noticias/12117214/01/23/El-turismo-acelera-mientras-que-el-sector-inmobiliario-pisa-el-freno.html

https://www.eleconomista.es/vivienda-inmobiliario/noticias/12117238/01/23/Las-inmobiliarias-acusan-a-las-CCAA-del-atasco-en-la-llegada-de-los-fondos-para-la-rehabilitacion-de-viviendas.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://www.eleconomista.es/tecnologia/noticias/12117120/01/23/Google-anuncia-12000-despidos-por-que-el-sector-tecnologico-reduce-sus-plantillas-.html

Saludos.

[sudden and sharp]

[ No comment...  ]

[sudden and sharp]

[sudden and sharp]

 

[el malo]

https://www.eleconomista.es/tecnologia/noticias/12117120/01/23/Google-anuncia-12000-despidos-por-que-el-sector-tecnologico-reduce-sus-plantillas-.html

Saludos.

Pasa que ya "está todo hecho". Facebook es un producto maduro y sin más recorrido. Google igual, y cuando innova lo hace a base de comprar startups. Amazon más de lo mismo (su web no ha cambiado desde hace años y cada pequeño incremento de eficiencia empieza a no ser rentable. AWS no necesita tanto personal). Microsoft pulió a marchas forzadas Teams durante la pandemia y ya no necesita tanta evolución. Y así podría seguir con todas.

Ya no hay grandes disrupciones en TI (ni se necesitan para que el mundo siga girando) por eso tanto bombo y platillo con la IA, que se vende como el próximo Santo Grial. Ni siquiera el 5G, 6G o el 700G tienen pinta de poder permitir nada nuevo. Salvo nichos específicos permitirán lo mismo pero más rápido.. y llega un momento que da igual viajar a la velocidad del sonido o a la velocidad del sonido + 100kms/h. Es posible que en aplicaciones militares o espaciales tengan mucha relevancia.. quién sabe.

Eso y que mucho directivo pensó que los ingresos extraordinarios por la pandemia se habían vuelto ordinarios. Hay muchos que han acabado hasta la coronilla de pantallas y del mundo "hipertecnologizado".

Da la sensación de que el modelo actual se está agotando en todos los frentes a la vez, y sinceramente a mí me parecería muy bien un período de semi-estancamiento tecnológico en los productos que consumimos día a día (coches, teléfonos, electrodomésticos, etc.) y dedicar todo ese esfuerzo a conseguir una innovación realmente disruptora (¿nuevas fuentes de energía?) pero los accionistas de las grandes empresas y fondos no están por conformarse con retornos de menos de doble dígito.

[Cadavre Exquis]

Microsoft Kills Off AltspaceVR Amid Major Layoffs
Posted by BeauHD on Saturday January 21, 2023 @05:00AM from the coming-to-an-end dept.

AltspaceVR is shutting down in March as Microsoft decimated its teams working in VR & AR this week as part of a major workforce reduction across the entire company. Upload VR reports:

Altspace was one of the early VR-based social networking services alongside others like Rec Room and VRChat. As an independent startup Altspace ran out of money, but in 2017 Microsoft acquired it and continued the effort. Microsoft says it is shifting "our focus to support immersive experiences powered by Microsoft Mesh." We tried out Mesh on HoloLens 2 back in 2021 and were pretty impressed by its functionality, with the company saying it'll be officially launching the service as "a new platform for connection and collaboration, starting by enabling workplaces around the world."

Microsoft posted instructions for creators on how to download content before the March 10, 2023 shutdown date, while noting "AltspaceVR Worlds are not able to be downloaded in full or ported directly to another platform because AltspaceVR is a mix of Worlds made up of a collection of assets owned by a variety of different entities." "While you cannot download them in full, you are able to download items from your Worlds data, which we call meta-data," Microsoft explains, providing people files with references noted as comma-separated values.

Here's an excerpt from Microsoft's "sunset" update on altvr.com: "The decision has not been an easy one as this is a platform many have come to love, providing a place for people to explore their identities, express themselves, and find community. It has been a privilege to help unlock passions among users, from educational opportunities for personal growth to the development of unique and wonderful events, groundbreaking art, and immersive experiences -- enabling this community to achieve more. With Mesh, we aspire to build a platform that offers the widest opportunity to all involved, including creators, partners and customers."

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman on GPT-4 Hype: 'People are Begging to be Disappointed and They Will Be'
Posted by EditorDavid on Saturday January 21, 2023 @11:36PM from the AI-expectations dept.

The Verge writes:

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has addressed rumors regarding GPT-4 — the company's as yet unreleased language model and latest in the GPT-series that forms the foundation of AI chatbot ChatGPT — saying that "people are begging to be disappointed and they will be." During an interview with StrictlyVC, Altman was asked if GPT-4 will come out in the first quarter or half of the year, as many expect. He responded by offering no certain timeframe. "It'll come out at some point, when we are confident we can do it safely and responsibly," he said....

When asked about one viral (and factually incorrect) chart that purportedly compares the number of parameters in GPT-3 (175 billion) to GPT-4 (100 trillion), Altman called it "complete bullshit."

"The GPT-4 rumor mill is a ridiculous thing. I don't know where it all comes from," said the OpenAI CEO. "People are begging to be disappointed and they will be. The hype is just like... We don't have an actual AGI and that's sort of what's expected of us."

Asked about how far we are from developing AGI, Altman replied "The closer we get, the harder time I have answering. Because I think it's going to be much blurrier and much more of a gradual transition than people think."

And Altman also addressed predictions that ChatGPT will kill Google. "I think whenever someone talks about a technology being the end of some other giant company, it's usually wrong. I think people forget they get to make a countermove here, and they're like pretty smart, pretty competent. I do think there's a change for search that will probably come at some point — but not as dramatically as people think in the short term."

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

Satoshi Matsuoka Mocks 12 Myths of High-Performance Computing
Posted by EditorDavid on Saturday January 21, 2023 @11:34AM from the quantum-leaps dept.

insideHPC reports that Satoshi Matsuoka, the head of Japan's largest supercomputing center, has co-authored a high-performance computing paper challenging conventional wisdom.

In a paper entitled "Myths and Legends of High-Performance Computing" appearing this week on the Arvix site, Matsuoka and four colleagues offer opinions and analysis on such issues as quantum replacing classical HPC, the zettascale timeline, disaggregated computing, domain-specific languages (DSLs) vs. Fortran and cloud subsuming HPC, among other topics.

"We believe (these myths and legends) represent the zeitgeist of the current era of massive change, driven by the end of many scaling laws, such as Dennard scaling and Moore's law," the authors said.

In this way they join the growing "end of" discussions in HPC. For example, as the industry moves through 3nm, 2nm, and 1.4nm chips – then what? Will accelerators displace CPUs altogether? What's next after overburdened electrical I/O interconnects? How do we get more memory per core?

The paper's abstract promises a "humorous and thought provoking" discussion — for example, on the possibility of quantum computing taking over high-performance computing. ("Once a quantum state is constructed, it can often be "used" only once because measurements destroy superposition. A second limitation stems from the lack of algorithms with high speedups....")

The paper also tackles myths like "all high-performance computing will be subsumed by the clouds" and "everything will be deep learning."

Thanks to guest reader for submitting the article.

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://www.abc.es/economia/propietarios-blindan-tope-alquiler-nuevos-contratos-disparan-20230122185003-nt.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://www.abc.es/economia/pablo-hernandez-empresas-trabajadores-deben-asumir-parte-20230122162732-nt.html

Saludos.