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https://x.com/GonBernardos/status/1785714043644260499CitarA los que estáis pensando en comprar una vivienda, os recomiendo que os deis prisa. Vuelve un gran boom inmobiliario, con un sustancial aumento de transacciones y precios. ¿La clave? Una guerra hipotecaria que provocará un importante descenso de los tipos de interés hipotecas.WTF, ¿pero se ha ido alguna vez el boom inmobiliario?De todas formas, independientemente de eso, parece que a la inflación de activos le queda, el esperemos, último y definitivo hurra. Puta pesadilla, en vez de el día de la marmota, son los años o lustros de la marmota.
A los que estáis pensando en comprar una vivienda, os recomiendo que os deis prisa. Vuelve un gran boom inmobiliario, con un sustancial aumento de transacciones y precios. ¿La clave? Una guerra hipotecaria que provocará un importante descenso de los tipos de interés hipotecas.
Giro de 180 grados en el proyecto de mayor envergadura que se estaba desarrollando en Gijón del modelo residencial 'build to rent' (construcción de edificios para alquilarlos en su totalidad). A falta de tres meses para su conclusión, el pinchazo de las ayudas estatales a las que optaba ha obligado a la promotora Los Campos a vender los 103 pisos de vivienda de protección autonómica (VPA) que había concebido para destinarlos al alquiler.La Consejería de Ordenación del Territorio, Urbanismo, Vivienda y Derechos Ciudadanos, a cuyo frente está Ovidio Zapico (IU), comunicó el pasado viernes a la promotora gijonesa que el edificio de Nuevo Roces no recibirá finalmente ayudas del Plan Estatal para el acceso a vivienda (2022-2025). Una línea de subvenciones que tramitan las comunidades autónomas para fomentar en sus respectivos territorios viviendas colaborativas e intergeneracionales y otras soluciones residenciales modelo 'cohousing'. El programa de ayudas estatal del que ha quedado excluido Los Campos establece una cuantía máxima de subvención, en conjunto, que no puede superar el 50% de la inversión destinada a la construcción de edificios de esta tipología, con un límite máximo de 50.000 euros por alojamiento o vivienda. Además, las personas o entidades promotoras de esta modalidad de proyectos pueden obtener una ayuda proporcional a la superficie útil, tanto privativa del alojamiento o vivienda como de espacios comunes y de interrelación, de hasta un máximo de 420 euros por metro cuadrado de superficie útil. Como contrapartida a la concesión de estas ayudas las promotoras beneficiarias están obligadas a destinar sus edificios al arrendamiento durante un plazo mínimo de 20 años.Construcciones Los Campos presentó al Principado un proyecto de complejo residencial de 103 viviendas de protección oficial VPA colaborativas. Un complejo residencial concebido para que conviviesen en él personas de diferentes generaciones en espacios comunes, con amplia cartera de servicios (gimnasio, zona de lavandería común, zona de juegos infantil, taller y sala de eventos) y apoyo mutuo, pero poseyendo cada morador sus propia vivienda privada en régimen de alquiler.Para levantar este edificio de diseño vanguardista, bautizado como 'L50' (toma su nombre del lote de suelo de Nuevo Roces), Los Campos ha tenido que incurrir en unos gastos que superan los 9,5 millones de euros (sin incluir el IVA). El gerente de Los Campos, Juan Antonio García, remarcó en declaraciones a EL COMERCIO que «este proyecto fue desde el principio diseñado e ideado para ser en alquiler, pero sin un compromiso de apoyo económico público no se puede sostener financieramente. El cambio de alquiler a venta –que se decidió el pasado lunes sacando ya los 103 pisos de VPA a comercialización con el módulo correspondiente– no es un capricho, pero este bloque se ha promovido con financiación propia contando con que se darían ayudas estatales y si estas no llegan no tengo más remedio que vender para rentabilizar la inversión», señala el gerente de Los Campos, que es consciente del interés que el proyecto orientado al alquiler ahora frenado en seco había despertado en Gijón con 30.000 solicitudes recibidas en año y medio. Por eso también asume las críticas que ya está recibiendo a diario, en su oficina, por la elevada demanda frustrada.Las obras de 'L50' arrancaron en septiembre de 2022 y concluirán, según está previsto, en agosto. Precisamente, por ese corto periodo que resta para la finalización García cree puede ser un aliciente ahora para la venta. «Son 103 viviendas que se entregarán en tres meses».Los Campos tiene otra promoción de 50 viviendas en desarrollo en la misma zona, bautizada 'L27', que también quería arrendar. Los trabajos de construcción comenzaron hace dos semanas y ya está el bloque entero vendido.El fiasco con el proyecto de 'build to rent' de Los Campos al caerse ayuda estatal no altera los planes empresariales de otras promotoras que también apuestan por abrirse a este mercado como Construcciones San Bernardo. La firma que dirige la presidenta de Fade, María Calvo, muy vinculada a la zona oeste, está acabando de construir 39 viviendas para arrendar al final de la avenida Argentina, al lado de la torre Horizon. El bloque se ocupará en octubre y las rentas irán de 590 a 700 euros al mes. El Grupo Sol Consulting, por su parte, está buscando suelo en barrios periféricos para desarrollar más de 50 viviendas para alquilarlas. Peina la periferia, donde el valor del suelo es menor, para que las operaciones sean rentables.
Cita de: senslev en Mayo 10, 2024, 13:27:20 pmhttps://x.com/GonBernardos/status/1785714043644260499CitarA los que estáis pensando en comprar una vivienda, os recomiendo que os deis prisa. Vuelve un gran boom inmobiliario, con un sustancial aumento de transacciones y precios. ¿La clave? Una guerra hipotecaria que provocará un importante descenso de los tipos de interés hipotecas.WTF, ¿pero se ha ido alguna vez el boom inmobiliario?De todas formas, independientemente de eso, parece que a la inflación de activos le queda, el esperemos, último y definitivo hurra. Puta pesadilla, en vez de el día de la marmota, son los años o lustros de la marmota.Pues sinceramente, no se como se va a financiar esto. Quiero decir, los paganinis de las hipoetcas, osea nosotros, de donde vamos a sacar el dinero para pagarlo? Asignando másrenta del salario? Yo creo que ya estamos en unos precios que sólo extranjeros adinerados pueden pagar, yo no lo veo. Seguramente me equivoque, porque llevo 20 años pensando que no se puede pagar más, y estirar más el chicle... y cada vez hemos ido a más.
[El impresentable Bernardos cree ser un cara blanca, pero es un augusto. Es un augusto de humor fecal.][Hay tongo en la absorción del Banco Sabadell-Caja de Ahorros del Mediterráneo por el BBVA.][El Sr. Cuerpo es un 'flinstone'. Es el verdadero pablo de pedro.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zua831utwMMhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EMrv9aXOCnAhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qIjKPi9TqTE]
‘Housing has hit rock bottom’: Top real estate CEO says high home prices are shutting people out of the marketRedfin's chief executive, Glenn Kelman, in 2018.DAVID RYDER—BLOOMBERG/GETTY IMAGESHousing is complicated, but one thing is clear: It’s hard to buy a home right now. Let me paint a picture for you. Home prices skyrocketed during the pandemic-fueled housing boom; more people were working from home and could do so from anywhere. Plus, mortgage rates were historically low, so people bought houses. But then inflation rose and the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in an attempt to tame it. Mortgage rates followed, but unlike in typical housing cycles, home prices didn’t fall. So what do we have? High home prices, high mortgage rates, and depressed home sales. And it’s even harder to buy a home if you’ve never owned one before, meaning mostly younger generations are being hit the hardest. “The issue is that the correction hasn’t been a correction; prices are up 5%,” Redfin’s chief executive, Glenn Kelman, told CNBC yesterday. “And that’s because interest rates rose so fast this time, and there hasn’t been a recession.”He continued, “so the soft landing has been good for America overall, good obviously for the economy, but it’s been bad for the housing market because it’s kept rates high. And so that’s why there isn’t more inventory reaching the market, and that’s why homes haven’t become more affordable. Normally in a market like 2008, you see prices come down 30% to 50% and suddenly buyers are back in the game. But this time, prices are still really high, and especially first-time homebuyers are shut out. Millennials have been waiting a long time to buy a house and they just can’t get a break.”But baby boomers who’ve watched their home values soar, and anyone who bought before or during the pandemic, are generally doing alright (aside from maybe feeling stuck because they don’t want to lose their low mortgage rate). “Housing has hit rock bottom,” Kelman said. “Four million people are going to move this year; that is the lowest number that we’ve seen in many, many years, and it’s just because interest rates have been so persistently high.” But it could be better than last year, when existing home sales fell to their lowest point in almost 30 years. Kelman thinks some people are less likely to put off their home buying plans this year, “just because they’re going crazy living with their ex-wife, or they have a third baby and there’s no space in the house. But still, the overall economic conditions for buying a house are rough.”In a separate interview with CNBC on Wednesday, Realtor.com’s chief economist, Danielle Hale, said there are 36% fewer homes for sale now than before the pandemic—and with high home prices and high mortgage rates, buyers need to earn more than $100,000 in 34 out of the 50 largest metropolitan areas to buy a typical home.And here’s the thing, there is a bit of a bifurcation. Places such as Florida and Texas, as Kelman pointed out, are seeing home prices ease because they’re building homes—and he expects that to continue in red states where it’s typically easier to develop anything. In California and New York, there simply aren’t enough homes for sale to see prices fall meaningfully, if at all. So that’s why in cities in California, where you need to make much more than $100,000 to afford a home, younger generations are renting. “It’s why we see homeownership rates in these large markets trail behind the typical U.S. housing market,” Hale said. “So it is challenging.”Despite some improvement in for-sale inventory compared to last year, she said it is still “a pretty dire situation for young people.”Daily mortgage rates have fallen after a recent run up over the last few weeks. The current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 7.18%. Where mortgage rates are headed really depends on economic conditions, particularly inflation, which is proving to be stickier than expected. And inflation has been so stubborn, for one, because of housing; it’s a large component of the consumer price index. We’ve seen the housing component soften a bit, but not enough to bring rates down, Kelman explained.And he isn’t keen on predicting where mortgage rates will end the year. “I’m just trying not to count my chickens before they hatch. We’ve had our hearts broken before where we thought we might get lower rates later in the year; Redfin isn’t betting on that right now,” Kelman said.For Hale’s part, she said: “I do think we’re going to see inflation eventually relent and mortgage rates come down.” And we’ll have to wait until May 15 to see where inflation lands, and even longer for how the Fed will react.
¿Creen ustedes que en nuestros "partidos de gobierno" hay gente que sea capaz de reconocer la realidad y de buscar una vía que tenga un mínimo futuro? ¿Lo creen?
Fed Flags Rising Delinquencies in Commercial Real Estate LoansBanks are preparing for further losses as delinquencies in loans tied to office space continue to rise, according to the Federal Reserve.The Fed said Friday that the rate of late payments on some commercial real estate loans had surged to above its pre-pandemic level. Officials at the central bank are focused on “improving the speed, force and agility of supervision, as appropriate,” the Fed said in a semiannual report.(...)
Nonbank Mortgage Companies Pose Financial Stability Risks, Yellen SaysYellen previews FSOC’s first report on nonbank mortgage threatReport scheduled to be released Friday after FSOC meetingNonbank mortgage companies, which increasingly dominate the sector, pose unique risks and vulnerabilities that can weaken financial stability, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Friday.Yellen previewed the Financial Stability Oversight Council’s first report assessing the threats introduced by nonbank mortgage firms, which have escaped the strong regulation reserved for traditional banks despite displacing them in the market. In 2022, nonbanks originated about two-thirds of mortgages and serviced most of them.The sector’s specialized business model makes the firms vulnerable to changes in housing prices, interest rates and delinquency rates, Yellen, the FSOC’s chair, said in a statement. Nonbanks rely more than traditional lenders on the value of mortgage servicing rights, and they can have high leverage, short-term funding and operational risks, she said.“Put simply, the vulnerabilities of nonbank mortgage companies can amplify shocks in the mortgage market and undermine financial stability, and the council has now laid this out in detail for the first time,” Yellen said.The report is set to be released after the FSOC’s afternoon meeting.Yellen outlined the report’s recommendations. One is that Congress establish an industry-financed fund to provide liquidity to failing nonbank mortgage servicers, allowing their operations to continue until servicing obligations can be transferred in an orderly fashion.She said the report will also suggest that Congress consider providing the Federal Housing Finance Agency and Ginnie Mae with more authority to help manage the nonbanks’ counterparty risk — and for Ginnie Mae to expand a program so it can become a more effective liquidity backstop.Footprints ExpandBiden-era regulators have long argued that oversight hasn’t keep up with nonbanks as their footprints across finance have expanded and their ties to traditional lenders have become more complex.Nonbank lenders flooded the home-loan space in the wake of the Great Financial Crisis as the country’s biggest banks largely retreated, especially in lower down-payment loans. Last year, nonbanks including United Wholesale Mortgage LLC and Rocket Cos. dominated the top 10 mortgage lenders by originations, based on data from Inside Mortgage Finance.
US home prices have soared 47% so far this decade, outpacing all of the growth seen in the 1990s and 2010sUS home prices have soared 47% so far this decade.The price surge has outpaced the gains seen in the 1990s and 2010s, and is nearly ahead of the 2000s.The rising value of homes has coincided with a millennial-fueled demand surge and years of low mortgage rates.US home prices have soared 47.1% so far this decade, according to a ResiClub analysis of the Case-Shiller National Home Price Index.The massive price gains seen in the first four years of the 2020s have eclipsed all of the growth seen in the 1990s and 2010s, according to the analysis. Housing prices in those two decades grew 30.1% and 44.7%, respectively.On top of that, housing price growth in the 2020s is on the verge of eclipsing all of the growth seen in the 2000s, which was 47.3% after peaking at just over 80% before the 2007 housing market crash.This decade's strong home-price gains have been driven by an initial buyers' frenzy at the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic. That led to a rapid 12-month price appreciation of about 20%.Since then, price growth has decelerated considerably, though an ongoing surge in demand from millennial home buyers has steadily pushed home prices higher. Even with mortgage rates at around 7% — more than double their COVID-era lows — US home prices are still on the rise, signaling just how much demand there is and how little supply is available.The median US home sale price hit $420,800 in the first quarter of the year, well above the $327,100 price at the start of the decade. The median home price sold in the US was $219,000 at the start of the 2010s, $165,300 at the start of the 2000s, and just $124,800 at the start of the 1990s, according to data from the St. Louis Fed.Housing price growth in the first 50 months of this decade has notched a faster pace than the same timeframe in all of the last three decades, according to ResiClub co-founder Lance Lambert.
Fed’s Goolsbee Says Not Much Evidence of Inflation Stalling OutChicago Fed chief says policy is ‘relatively restrictive’Fed’s Kashkari says can hold rates steady as long as neededFederal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said he doesn’t think inflation is stuck above the central bank’s target despite recent data showing price pressures picked up at the start of the year.“There isn’t at this time much evidence, in my view, that inflation is stalling out at 3%,” Goolsbee said at an event Friday at the Economic Club of Minnesota.(...)