Autor Tema: PPCC: Pisitófilos Creditófagos. Primavera 2025 (Leído 304591 veces)

https://www.pressreader.com/spain/el-economista/20250410/page/36/textview

El precio del alquiler subirá más del 10% este año y el de compra, hasta un 5%

Baleares se desmarca de Cataluña y evita subir la tasa turística

Saludos.

Cadavre Exquis · « **Respuesta #865 en:** Abril 10, 2025, 07:19:02 am »

https://www.eleconomista.es/economia/noticias/13311503/04/25/la-gran-coalicion-de-alemania-planea-bajar-cinco-puntos-el-impuesto-de-sociedades-desde-2028.html

Saludos.

Cadavre Exquis · « **Respuesta #866 en:** Abril 10, 2025, 07:20:20 am »

https://www.eleconomista.es/economia/noticias/13307716/04/25/el-origen-de-la-obsesion-de-trump-con-los-aranceles-una-humillante-derrota-contra-japoneses-por-comprar-el-piano-de-casablanca.html

Saludos.

tomasjos · « **Respuesta #867 en:** Abril 10, 2025, 07:44:44 am »

Vamos a estar entretenidos hasta el verano

https://www.elconfidencial.com/economia/2025-04-10/viraje-trump-evita-apocalipsis-arancelario-meses-tension_4106017/

Cadavre Exquis · « **Respuesta #868 en:** Abril 10, 2025, 07:52:50 am »

https://x.com/sninobecerra/status/1909888985284948116

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How Would We Build Homes Without Immigrant Labor and Foreign Materials?

By Ronda Kaysen Photographs by Tag Christof · 2024.04.04

Building a home in the United States is not cheap. This home in Phoenix will cost $1.3 million to build. President Trump’s immigration and tariff policies could make it more expensive.

More immigrants work in construction than any other industry. Nearly one in four construction workers are noncitizen immigrants, but the numbers soar much higher in some trades.

Mr. Trump has already enacted a 25 percent global tariff on aluminum and steel; a 25 percent tariff on many goods from Canada and Mexico; and a 20 percent blanket tariff on Chinese goods, on top of a 10 percent tariff from his first term. This week he imposed a 10 percent tariff on nearly all imports, with additional levies on 57 countries.

A house is the sum of its parts. So how much more could each piece of this home cost to build with tariffs and without immigrant labor?

Nathan Anderson, 40, who builds high-end homes in Phoenix, bought this small, older house on a quiet suburban street lined with palm trees, with a plan to tear it down and replace it with a larger, modern one.

He doesn’t hire the crews or select the materials — Mr. Anderson, the owner of Rebuild the Block, signs a contract with a trade partner who handles those details. But he keeps a detailed budget that accounts for his costs — totaling about $1.29 million.

A shock to the labor market by a loss of workers through deportation and the fear of deportation could potentially drive up wages. And with the existing industry labor shortage, jobs could cost more and take longer to complete with fewer workers available.

This house is almost finished, so his budget is mostly locked in. But Mr. Anderson sat down with The New York Times before the latest round of tariffs were announced and estimated how his labor costs might change without immigrant workers, based on his personal experience, and using this house as a model. The Times also applied national and regional labor trends to his calculations, and analyzed construction industry work force demographics from census survey data. Given that Trump policies have affected both documented and undocumented immigrants, we did not differentiate between the two groups.

To examine the potential effects of tariffs on Mr. Anderson’s budget, The Times turned to the Observatory of Economic Complexity, a tool that analyzes trade flows and tariff data. The analysis simulated the potential impact of a 25 percent increase on tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico and a 10 percent increase on those from China. The more recent tariffs would drive the prices up even further, largely because China’s new higher rate applies to key home-building imports like HVAC systems and tile.

Mr. Anderson, standing in the Phoenix home he is building.

Without immigrant workers, Mr. Anderson’s labor costs could jump by 17 percent, adding $116,000 to his budget. The Observatory of Economic Complexity, using conservative calculations, estimated his material costs could rise by nearly 5 percent.

The house that Mr. Anderson is building was listed for sale in early March for $2.65 million. If building it had cost him another $236,000, Mr. Anderson said he would have listed the house for as much as $2.9 million. “That’s if the market will bear it,” he said.

Here is a glance at many of the major line items, and how they would have changed, with tariffs and without immigrant labor. Some figures have been rounded for brevity.

The Foundation

Last September, once the architectural drawings were complete, the building permits approved and the site prepared for construction, a crew arrived to lay the foundation, costing about $59,000. On the busiest days, as many as eight workers were on site. Some days, as few as three or four. Almost 70 percent, or $40,000, of the foundation budget, went to labor. About 90 percent of the crew were immigrants. Without them, his labor costs could swell to $49,800.

In 2023, the United States became the world’s largest importer of cement, a key ingredient for concrete. Conservatively, tariffs could drive up the costs for the house construction by 18 percent.

The Framing

By the middle of October, with the foundation laid, the framing got underway. Framing is a labor intensive job, and about 75 percent of this crew were immigrants. About 62 percent of his $107,400 framing budget — $67,000 — was spent on labor. Without those workers, labor costs could cost Mr. Anderson another $16,000.

With tariffs, the lumber for the framing could add $1,760 to his budget.

The Windows and Doors

In January, the windows and doors arrived, costing $49,400. Of that, only $6,400 was spent on labor. Mr. Anderson said that changes to labor costs without immigrant workers “would be minimal.”

The Roof and the Siding

By March, work began on the roof and siding, and 90 percent of the roofers were immigrants. (Nearly half of roofers in the United States are not citizens.) Without them, labor costs could rise by 30 percent.

Materials for stucco siding cost $15,000. With tariffs, that line item could cost Mr. Anderson another $1,000.

Plumbing, Electrical and Mechanicals

Almost 90 percent of electricians are U.S. citizens, and 81 percent of plumbers. Mr. Anderson’s site was no exception. Mr. Anderson said his labor costs for electrical work, the HVAC systems and plumbing would be unlikely to change.

But his material costs could rise significantly, with tariffs. Electrical materials could increase by more than $4,800, while his HVAC system could cost him another $1,350.

The Insulation and Drywall

With the exterior completed, new crews arrived to add the insulation and drywall, labor-heavy tasks dominated by immigrant workers. Mr. Anderson spent 80 percent of his $45,000 insulation and drywall budget on labor.

A crew of two workers insulated the house, while eight to 10 workers hung the drywall. If Mr. Anderson had to replace all those workers, his labor costs could rise by 35 percent, a $12,570 increase.

Tariffs would increase material costs noticeably, too. In 2023, America imported more Gypsum, the material for drywall, than any other country, and so drywall is a material that could be particularly sensitive to tariffs. The price of drywall could rise by 22 percent, adding $1,540 to the $27,600 bill.

The Flooring

Flooring materials are the kinds of finishes that can persuade a buyer to make an offer. With tariffs, the costs for wood and tile flooring, many of which Mr. Anderson imported from China, could rise modestly.

But the crew laying the floors was almost entirely immigrant workers, and without them, Mr. Anderson anticipated that his costs could rise by 30 percent, to $51,000.

The Painting and Wallcovering

Painting and wallcoverings cost $46,000, with labor accounting for 80 percent of the cost. More than 47 percent of painters working in construction are not U.S. citizens, and immigrants made up nearly the entire crew for the Phoenix home. Mr. Anderson estimates his labor costs could rise by $7,400.

Tariffs could add 10.5 percent to the cost of house paint, raising the price from $8,400 to $9,300.

Cabinets and Countertops

The kitchen is the showpiece of any house, and the materials are expensive. Of the $96,000 spent on cabinets and countertops, 85 percent of that went to materials. Tariffs could drive those material costs up by more than $13,000.

However, cabinet and countertop installation relies heavily on immigrant labor, and the $19,000 labor costs could rise by 30 percent.

The Appliances

Mr. Anderson said it was unlikely that his $2,000 appliance installation costs would change with a loss of immigrant labor. However, the $24,000 he spent on materials could go up by $2,620, with tariffs.

Design, Management, Landscaping and Other Costs

“The market is tough with interest rates right now,” Mr. Anderson said.

But by this summer, Mr. Anderson hopes to attract a buyer for the new house with four bedrooms, oversize windows and a pool.

The asking price is $2.65 million. The next house he builds could be $2.9 million.

Saludos.

Derby · « **Respuesta #869 en:** Abril 10, 2025, 08:45:17 am »

Cita de: asustadísimos en Abril 10, 2025, 04:38:17 am

[El poyaque.— No seáis ingenuos. Hay quien está aprovechando para forrarse con información privilegiada «po ya que toca dar la triple crisis de coyuntura, estructura y sistema». Lo que estamos viviendo es feo. Pero más feo que lo que está montado con la vivienda básica, poco hay. ¿Tú qué harías si supieses que se va a lanzar primero una cripto y luego una 'yihad' arancelaria, y en los dos casos inmediatamente se va a suspender su ejecución? ¿Qué es lo tercero que toca? ¿La vuelta de Musk al tajo? Desde luego, habrá más 'deals'.]

Hay que aprovechar los últimos minutos antes de la recesión (y el dólar se sitúe más donde le corresponde) y que se hunda el consumo...y que la importancia de los aranceles pase a segundo plano. Feo, sí. Por ejemplo a pie de calle (en las "alturas" debe ser de miedo):

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US bike prices will rise ‘up to 50%’ as China trade war escalates

Cycling industry fears insolvencies and forced mergers in already struggling sector

US consumers are facing steep price increases on bicycles as Donald Trump’s tariffs take a heavy toll on an industry that’s heavily dependent on Chinese manufacturing.

Arnold Kamler, chair of family-owned Kent International, one of the biggest US bike manufacturers, warned prices across the industry would rise as much as 50 per cent if President Trump retained tariffs at current levels.

US bike brands import about 90 per cent of the roughly 12.5mn bikes they sell annually.

The biggest share is manufactured in China, while Taiwan, Vietnam and Cambodia also produce a substantial amount of bikes.

US President Donald Trump on Wednesday said he was imposing new tariffs of 125 per cent on China. Having previously threatened heavy tariffs on the other big bike manufacturing countries in Asia, he paused them for 90 days on Wednesday.

The tariffs — and threats of them — are hitting the US’s $6bn bike industry at a difficult time. A boom in sales during the pandemic has reversed and inflation has driven up costs for manufacturers.

Kent International’s adult bikes range in price from $149.99 to $524.99. The company has raised prices 12 per cent this year, off the back of Trump’s initial 20 per cent tariff on China.

Kalmer expects to increase prices at least another 25 per cent because of the additional 34 per cent tariff the US president imposed last week.

Trump’s extra 50 per cent tariff on Chinese goods, announced on April 7 in response to retaliatory tariffs from China, “would render my bikes undesirable and too expensive”, Kalmer said, speaking before Trump imposed yet more, higher tariffs on Chinese goods.

Kent International expects to sell 1.4mn bikes in the US this year, which would be its worst performance in over a decade, owing to Trump’s tariffs.

“Our sales have been steadily dropping because of our prices being so high now,” Kalmer said. “There has been no consideration to us despite the hundreds of jobs we have created so far.”

Trump says he is implementing tariffs partly to revitalise US manufacturing.

However, Kamler said that even though Kent International repatriated some assembly from Asia to the US in 2014 — it assembles several hundred thousand bikes annually in its factory in South Carolina — it would still need to raise prices on these bikes because it imports most components from China.

“We’re in quite a quandary now,” Kamler said. “We’ve established a factory [but] we’re paying these very high tariffs, too.”

Kalmer’s complaints echoed those of multiple industry figures, including Taiwan’s Giant Group, one of the biggest suppliers of bikes in the US. The company said tariffs were “absolutely not positive” for the industry and that, if they hold, Giant “will inevitably be forced to reflect the cost”.

Matt Moore, general counsel for PeopleForBikes, an industry lobby group, warned that higher import costs would force many companies either into insolvency or to merge with rivals.

“The mood in the industry is fairly grim because we are facing a potentially existential threat,” Moore said. “Companies with better access to capital and operational advantages will raise prices to cover costs and preserve margins. Companies that cannot do that may succumb to this new trade environment.”

PeopleForBikes is lobbying for relief on duty for imports of frames and other components, and low-interest loans for manufacturers to build factories.

Kamler remained “hopeful” that the Trump administration would reduce the tariffs: “If nothing changes, the only thing that’s going to happen is that bicycle prices will be up 30 to 50 per cent.”

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