PPCC: Pisitófilos Creditófagos. Primavera 2025

[tomasjos]

2025, HISTÓRICO.—

Por qué los chinos se están yendo de España, por emily_chinita:

https://www.instagram.com/p/DIJQN_yRQa7/?utm_source=ig_embed

Asustadisimos, me temo que ese vídeo no dice nada, es solo un blablabla de obviedades. Se lo pongo en La Razon

https://www.larazon.es/sociedad/china-revela-motivo-compatriotas-estan-abandonando-espana-estan-anticipando-algo-p7m_20250511682055fbf7f20a10d039d443.html

[Cadavre Exquis]

Inteligencia Artificial · 2025.05.08 · Mi IA detecta el Cáncer de piel mejor que un Médico | Alfonso Medela fundador de Legit Health

Saludos.

[Benzino Napaloni]

En relación con el uso de la IA en la educación, Derek Muller (*) dio una charla hace poco más de un mes en el Instituto Perimeter de Física Teórica (Canadá) en la que exponía su visión sobre el asunto que pienso que merece la pena ver (**):

Perimeter Institute for Theoretical Physics · 2025.04.08 · Veritasium: What Everyone Gets Wrong About AI and Learning – Derek Muller Explains

Saludos.
___
(*) El responsable de archiconocido canal de YouTube Veritasium.
(**) El turno de preguntas también incluye alguna reflexión muy interesante, en parte, quizás, porque en su mayoría son formuladas por niños y adolescentes.

Da para verlo detenidamente, de momento me llama la atención el comentario de Edison diciendo que los libros de texto en la educación serían historia... y lo dijo hace un siglo. Socarronamente Muller dice que ya hemos visto lo retirados que están los libros de texto, sólo le ha faltado decir que en Suecia y otros sitios donde se apostó por su eliminación están volviendo a ellos.

Las habilidades más básicas se trabajan con los materiales también más básicos: bolígrafo y papel. Lo visual es útil como complemento para precisamente visualizar algo que no es fácil de explicar con palabras y texto. Pero abusar de las pantallas mata la imaginación y la capacidad para abstraer.

No digamos ya el daño que están haciendo los móviles. Cuando servidor estaba haciendo el BUP había profesores que no se oponían a usar ordenador para los trabajos siempre que estuviesen impecables y uno fuese capaz de escribir a mano correctamente. Otros profesores eran más estrictos y no querían ver nada que oliese a impresora. Aún así con aquello aprendíamos ofimática. Recuerden el artículo que se puso aquí hace un tiempo sobre los jóvenes que no sabían qué era Control Z y repetían de cero los proyectos con cada error.


Lo dicho, el ladrillo veremos lo que aguanta. Laboralmente, la desesperación por los empresarios por retener a los que saben hacer algo más que la O con un canuto ya está aquí y va creciendo. Pero aún queda para que el rentista le vea las orejas al lobo.

[Benzino Napaloni]

La falta de trabajadores en Baleares amenaza con generalizarse y cronificarse a las puertas de una nueva temporada

¡Chupito!

Pero el auténtico pánico para los langostas, lo único que entienden, está aquí.

Un turista alemán abandona Mallorca tras 32 años y deja una crítica para la reflexión de muchos: “Estoy horrorizado”

Como dice PPCC, la gallina de los huevos de oro en la misma cesta no es que esté muerta, es que el olorcillo ya empieza a notarse.

Otra prueba más de que si bien el echarse al monte con el ladrillo aún tiene cuerda por delante, lo demás se está desintegrando delante de nuestros ojos. En este preciso momento.

[Benzino Napaloni]

Y otra más de domingo, mientras se acaba el furbo.

Un viejo sueño está herido de muerte en Barcelona: la idea de "una casa para toda la vida" sin miedo a la mudanza

Una razón que no sorprenderá a nadie:

El estudio señala que casi la cuarta parte (el 24,5%) de los cambios registrados en la Ciudad Condal en los últimos años responden a "motivos económicos" o razones "forzadas" y ajenas a la voluntad de quien reside en la vivienda, como un derribo, una expulsión o la finalización de un contrato. Esa razón es muy superior a la de las mudanzas por razones laborales, que explican entre el 5 y 10% de los cambios de residencias.

Los langostos dirán que "es el mercado amigo". Pero a largo plazo -y llevamos ya mucho tiempo con esto-, las consecuencias son devastadoras. Es imposible hacer un plan de vida a largo plazo si se vive en el nomadismo. Lo peor, que la costumbre se graba en el subconsciente y se aplica a todo. Para qué me voy a comprometer con una empresa, una relación sentimental, un proyecto personal propio, etc.

Universo 25 una vez más. Cuando la mente ya está muerta, la muerte de la sociedad puede tardar en venir pero es inevitable.

[Derby]

https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/mar-a-lago-accord-could-break-the-dollar-by-harold-james-2025-05

A Mar-a-Lago Accord Could Break the Dollar, Harold James

The risk inherent in a "Mar-a-Lago Accord" to orchestrate a dollar depreciation is that the weaponization of trade and US security assurances will destroy confidence in the greenback. Whereas similar previous efforts merely failed, the Trump administration's effort could backfire catastrophically.

PRINCETON – According to US President Donald Trump and his advisers, the international monetary system is broken and works to the disadvantage of Americans. A radical reform is required, and it can probably come only from a highly disruptive reordering of the world.

We have been here before. In 1944, the United States hosted the 44-country Bretton Woods conference, which charted a course out of the dysfunctional order of the interwar period. Now, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regularly conjures the image of a new Bretton Woods moment. The goal would be to deliver a “Mar-a-Lago Accord” that addresses three overlapping, interconnected problems that are not typically lumped together, because they are the business of separate agencies and separate international institutions.

The first concerns trade: how to stop the loss of American jobs and livelihoods. The second concerns money: the dollar’s centrality in the global system leaves it overvalued, which makes American exports too expensive. And the third concerns security: the US bears the burden of defending other countries. The Trump administration’s conceit is that US trade and security policies can be used to force others to orchestrate a depreciation of the dollar without destroying its reserve status.

The idea of a Mar-a-Lago Accord draws directly on previous occasions when the US took steps to reinvent the international monetary system and bring down the value of the dollar. The most obvious reference point is the December 1971 Smithsonian Agreement, which President Richard Nixon proclaimed was “the most significant monetary agreement in the history of the world.” Another precedent is the September 1985 Plaza Accord under President Ronald Reagan, which probably is the inspiration for the Trump administration’s effort.

In both cases, a US president believed that the dollar was overvalued, that American exporters and workers were disadvantaged, and that US economic policy had been blocked by foreign obstruction. This sense of entrapment created an impetus for radical disruption. Nixon famously concluded that America could force a necessary change if he came across as a madman. His treasury secretary, the larger-than-life Texan John Connally, famously told Europeans: “the dollar is our currency, but it’s your problem.”

In each case, the stick with which to beat other countries was trade policy. In 1971, with the dollar’s convertibility into gold suspended, Nixon imposed a 10% surcharge on all imports (the same minimum tariff that Trump announced on April 2). Similarly, in 1985, congressional demands to stem the flood of imports (largely from Japan) gave Treasury Secretary James Baker what he needed to force the rest of the then-G5 developed economies to depreciate their currencies.

Bessent is channeling Connally and Baker when he tells reporters that the current tariffs are meant to push other countries toward a new deal. Supposedly, 75 governments are willing to negotiate, and 15 have already proposed a deal. The whole world, Trump claims, is “kissing my ass.”

But neither the Smithsonian Agreement nor the Plaza Accord lasted very long. The Smithsonian parities didn’t stick, largely because the US continued a big fiscal expansion that sucked in more imports. Then, when the Europeans, followed by the rest of the world, moved away from fixed exchange rates in 1973, the dollar needed to be depreciated by much more. Similarly, the Plaza Accord was quickly succeeded by the 1987 Louvre Accord, which aimed to stabilize exchange rates; but disputes about how to achieve this goal triggered a major international stock market panic that October.

This history augurs poorly for a modern accord. Worse, Trump and many around him genuinely seem to believe that tariffs will raise the revenue they need to make room for the tax cuts they crave. By this reasoning, tariffs cannot be just a negotiating tool; they would have to become a permanent reality.

All the talk of a Mar-a-Lago Accord stems from an influential – and now notorious – November 2024 paper by Stephen Miran, “A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System,” which probably won him his post as chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. After warning about shocks to the real-estate market and the federal budget from rising long-term yields, Miran proposed his grand solution: The US should use its security guarantees as leverage over countries holding dollar assets. This, too, has historical precedents. In the 1960s, the US made it clear to West Germany that its defense against the Soviet threat was contingent on German accommodation of US monetary goals.

The same logic had also been applied during the interwar period, when Britain and France, the giants of nineteenth-century finance, held substantial gold reserves. The British and the French encouraged countries on the periphery, especially in central and eastern Europe, to hold a large part of their reserves in British and French short-term deposits and Treasury bills in exchange for security guarantees.

But by the 1930s, these smaller states knew that this arrangement was not working, and insisted on holding only gold. Today, it is not only China, Russia, and Turkey that are pumping up their gold reserves; so, too, are those European states that were so vulnerable during the interwar period: Czechia, Hungary, and Poland.

The risk inherent in a Mar-a-Lago Accord is that the weaponization of trade and US security assurances to weaken the dollar will destroy confidence in the greenback. An effort supposedly to defend American workers will overshoot, necessitating a new international currency agreement, but with the US no longer commanding the credibility to supply it. We already know that the Smithsonian Agreement and the Plaza Accord brought little long-term relief to US workers. An attempt to replicate them would be ineffective – and possibly wholly destructive.

[Derby]

https://x.com/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1921606983095885906

[Derby]

https://breakingthenews.net/Article/Bessent:-US-China-make-'substantial-progress'-in-trade-talks/64085091

Bessent: US, China make 'substantial progress' in talks


EPA-EFE/MARTIAL TREZZINI

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer told the press on Sunday that the United States and China have made "substantial progress" in two days of high-level trade talks held in Switzerland.

The discussions, aimed at de-escalating a growing tariff war, were held with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and hosted by the Swiss ambassador to the UN. "I'm happy to report that we made substantial progress between the United States and China in the very important trade talks," Bessent said.

Greer called the talks "very constructive," noting that differences between the sides "are not as great as previously thought." Bessent confirmed that more details regarding the agreement struck by both parties will be shared on Monday.

[Derby]

https://www.baha.com/Zelensky-says-he-will-face-Putin-personally-in-Turkey/news/details/64085152

Zelensky says he will face Putin 'personally' in Turkey

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Sunday that he will meet Russian President Vladimir Putin "personally" in Turkey on Thursday, urging a "full and lasting ceasefire."

"I hope that this time the Russians will not look for excuses," he wrote in a post on X. The message came minutes after US President Donald Trump publicly called on Zelensky to attend the proposed negotiations with Putin. If the meeting takes place, it would be the first face-to-face encounter between the two leaders since the start of the full-scale war in 2022.

Russia suggested holding direct peace talks in Istanbul on May 15, without preconditions. Western leaders, including French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, have echoed Zelensky's position, who insists that a ceasefire is vital.

[sudden and sharp]

https://x.com/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1921606983095885906

Zelenski anuncia que espera a Putin el próximo jueves en Estambul "en persona"
https://www.eleconomista.es/actualidad/noticias/13358467/05/25/trump-recomienda-a-ucrania-que-acepte-inmediatamente-la-oferta-de-negociacion-de-putin-en-estambul.html
 -   Trump recomienda a Ucrania que acepte "inmediatamente" la oferta de negociación de Putin en Estambul
 -   Putin propone a Ucrania reanudar las conversaciones de paz "sin condiciones previas" el 15 de mayo








-----
[ "No tiene sentido prolongar una matanza, y estaré esperando a Putin en Turquía el próximo jueves. En persona. Espero que esta vez los rusos no busquen excusas".




Dicen las malas lenguas --no confirmadas... --; que añadió: "Ni media hostia..." ]

[Benzino Napaloni]

En relación con el uso de la IA en la educación, Derek Muller (*) dio una charla hace poco más de un mes en el Instituto Perimeter de Física Teórica (Canadá) en la que exponía su visión sobre el asunto que pienso que merece la pena ver (**):

Perimeter Institute for Theoretical Physics · 2025.04.08 · Veritasium: What Everyone Gets Wrong About AI and Learning – Derek Muller Explains

Saludos.
___
(*) El responsable de archiconocido canal de YouTube Veritasium.
(**) El turno de preguntas también incluye alguna reflexión muy interesante, en parte, quizás, porque en su mayoría son formuladas por niños y adolescentes.

He llegado al turno de preguntas y respuestas. Dejo en spoiler mis conclusiones hasta el momento.

(click to show/hide)

No por previsible deja de estar la exposición bien hilada y argumentada. No hay tecnología, ni siquiera la sacrosanta IA, que sustituya el inevitable esfuerzo y la repetición constante hasta que sale bien y se adquiere el conocimiento.

Los atajos para adquirir el conocimiento son sólo eso, atajos. O más bien intentos. Pueden funcionar ocasionalmente, pero una vez más el sueño de conseguir sin esfuerzo -o sin robar a otros- muere al nada de arrancar.

[Derby]

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3309922/no-deal-sight-yet-china-and-us-enter-day-2-trade-talks-cool-tariff-tensions

US-China agree to ‘trade consultation mechanism’, conduct further talks, He Lifeng say

China’s government remained silent immediately after two days of talks aimed at ending increasingly bitter trade war with the US



Chinese and US negotiators agreed to establish a “trade consultation mechanism” during two days of “constructive” talks in Geneva aimed at tamping down a tariff war, China’s Vice-Premier He Lifeng told reporters.

The two sides “have taken important step to resolve differences through equal dialogue and consultation”, plan to issue a joint statement on Monday, and “conduct further consultations on issues of mutual concern”, state news agency Xinhua reported, citing He.

He pledged that China is ready to work with the US to manage differences, expand areas of cooperation, and make the “pie of cooperation bigger”, Xinhua added. State broadcaster CCTV said the two sides made “substantial progress” and called the talks “candid, in-depth and constructive”.

He also warned that Beijing “will not be afraid” and “fight to the end” if US insists the trade war, according to Reuters.

US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, who took part in the talks with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, He and two Chinese vice-ministers, described the conclusion as “a deal we struck with our Chinese partners”.

“And this was, as the secretary pointed out, a very constructive two days. It’s important to understand how quickly we were able to come to agreement, which reflects that perhaps the differences were not so large as maybe thought,” Greer said, according to a White House release.

[Cadavre Exquis]

La gran minoría · 2025.05.05 · "Mamá, quiero ser rentista" con Javier Gil

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://www.eleconomista.es/opinion/noticias/13358298/05/25/indra-se-posiciona-ante-el-rearme-europeo.html

https://www.eleconomista.es/industria/noticias/13358290/05/25/indra-puja-por-el-fabricante-de-blindados-italiano-iveco-defence-para-crear-un-gigante-militar-europeo.html

https://www.eleconomista.es/industria/noticias/13358326/05/25/la-empresa-de-defensa-espanola-sdle-se-alia-con-el-gigante-checo-csg-en-pleno-rearme.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://www.pressreader.com/spain/el-economista/20250512/page/2/textview

The Irish Times (Irlanda) | La Generación Z lidera el regreso a la oficina

Saludos.