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En el caso particular español: corrección del –60%:No sean ilusos. Nosotros somos realistas informados. Que el sector hable de que aguanta 3-4 años quiere decir que le gustaría que el –60% en el 'residential' se ejecutara en 3-4 años. Ya veremos qué pasa. De momento, mañana tenemos desacuerdo Estado-CC. AA. y, por tanto, vía libre para emprenderla a hostias.
The Deficit Crisis Is Really A Recession ProblemThe graph below provides a clearer understanding of the US fiscal deficit. First, focus on the red line below, graphing the ratio of federal debt to GDP. Note that it is at the same level today as it was in 2021. Similarly, before the pandemic, it had been relatively flat for seven years. This highlights that the deficit problem we have today was exacerbated by recession-prompted fiscal stimulus and the temporary decline in GDP.To illustrate this more clearly, we created the green line. This version of the debt-to-GDP ratio assumes zero change in the ratio during recessions. Moreover, it uses the same growth rates as the all-inclusive debt-to-GDP ratio to calculate the growth for periods outside of recession. As the green line indicates, the ratio today is the same as it was over 10 years ago. Furthermore, it is close to levels seen in the mid-1990s. The takeaway from comparing the two lines is that the ratio of debt to GDP follows a stairstep pattern. It’s generally flat during periods of growth, while it accelerates during recessions.The point in playing with the data is not to belittle the deficit problem. Instead, we think it’s essential to acknowledge that the deficit problem is primarily associated with recessionary stimulus. Thus, maybe we should consider how we spend stimulus funds during recessions. In particular, might a focus toward productive stimulus during recessions provide a greater long term economic boost?Still, if there is no recession in the near future, we might find that today’s deficits are not significantly worsening as some pundits lead us to believe. Might they be too focused on the deficit amount stated in dollars, rather than as a ratio to our ability to pay for it, i.e., economic growth?
https://entrylevel.topdowncharts.com/p/chart-of-the-week-hating-reitsPS. Estos días estoy entrando y saliendo del Primavera Sound. Es una celebración con mi hija mayor que hace años, estando ella muy malita, miró un cartel que anunciaba el festival y me dijo que quería ir. Allí me di cuenta de que estaba empezando a mejorar. Ella va cada año y yo entro y salgo. Lleno hasta la bandera de visitantes extranjeros...unos chicos del norte nos miraron y preguntaron: "Vosotras nos entendéis en español, verdad?". No habría festival sin esa marea de extranjeros.