Los administradores de TransicionEstructural no se responsabilizan de las opiniones vertidas por los usuarios del foro. Cada usuario asume la responsabilidad de los comentarios publicados.
7 Usuarios y 48 Visitantes están viendo este tema.
https://www.eleconomista.es/tecnologia/noticias/13780421/02/26/jensen-huang-ceo-de-nvidia-equipara-la-ia-con-la-luz-el-agua-o-internet.htmlSaludos.
Cita de: Cadavre Exquis en Ayer a las 06:13:53https://www.eleconomista.es/tecnologia/noticias/13780421/02/26/jensen-huang-ceo-de-nvidia-equipara-la-ia-con-la-luz-el-agua-o-internet.htmlSaludos.Tesla va a dejar de hacer el Model S y el Model Y para dedicar esas líneas de producción íntegras a hacer robots. Veamos cómo les sale la jugada.
Does the U.S. Actually Have a Housing Shortage?Right now many people are debating why the U.S. housing market is broken. Some blame interest rates. Some blame prices. Some blame zoning laws.While the truth is a mix of all of these factors, there’s one thing that no one seems to agree on—supply. Does the U.S. actually have a housing shortage, or is something else going on?When Supply is Not SupplyWhile many believe that the U.S. housing market has a supply problem, this view isn’t universally shared. For example, Jon Brooks, a real estate analyst, recently tweeted the following:CitarEveryone keeps saying America has a “housing shortage.”It doesn’t.Divide total homes by population and you get this: We’ve never had more housing per person than we do right now.The problem isn’t supply. It’s prices.Total units divided by population isn’t the best measure of this since U.S. households have been getting smaller (i.e. fewer married couples, fewer children, etc.) over time.But this isn’t even the primary issue here. Brooks’ argument overlooks a more important point—many of these housing units aren’t in areas where people actually want to live. Housing units in unsafe areas or locations with a lack of economic opportunity aren’t ones that people want.Nowhere is this more true than in major American cities (particularly in the Midwest) that saw both increased crime and a declining economy over the latter half of the 20th century. Peter Banks, President of the Boyd Institute, summarized this trend well:CitarBetween 1960 and 1992 America went from less than 9,000 murders a year to a peak of 24,000. Other crimes such as burglary underwent a similar process and increased by a factor of nearly 5. A disproportionate share of this growth occurred in the old industrial cities of the Northeast and Midwest, which were also entering a period of economic decline during that era, the result of a weakening US industrial base.Because of this dual shock of massively elevated crime and a weakening of the industrial sector, many of these cities entered into what can only be characterized as a death spiral. St. Louis, Cleveland, and Pittsburgh each also lost roughly half their populations, and even cities like Chicago (which managed to weather the storm relatively well) shed nearly a third of their residents.While “where people want to live” is subjective, areas with low crime and good economic opportunity tend to be universally valued. As a result, these are the only areas where housing supply truly matters. But the current supply of good housing is just one issue. Where new housing is being built is another.Location, Location, LocationEven if you agree that there’s a lack of “good” housing in the U.S., the data suggests that new home construction isn’t helping as much as we’d like. Unfortunately, there’s a geographic gap between where homes are being built and where people actually live.This 2024 report from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) highlights how the areas with the highest housing production tend to be in the Southeast, South, and Mountain West (Quintile 5 in orange):Per capita housing production rate across the U.S. in 2023.Quintile 5 only contains 22% of the U.S. population, but had half of the single family home completions in 2023! More importantly, quintiles 1 and 2, which contain heavily populated areas like New York, California, and Chicago, hold 40% of the U.S. population, yet only had 34% of all single family completions.In other words, we’re building more housing in areas where there aren’t as many people (Quintile 5) and less housing where there are lots of people (Quintiles 1 & 2). I don’t blame the builders though. As much as they want to build more housing, many times their hands are tied by local regulations.Why Zoning & Interest Rates Keep Supply OfflineIn places like New York and California, strict zoning regulations limit the supply of housing. When builders are forced to adopt certain standards, they don’t have the freedom to build any kind of home that they want. Nowhere is this more true than with the “starter home” (i.e., homes that are 800-1,200 square feet in size). As this chart from Bankrate shows, the median new home size in the U.S. grew from 1,525 square feet in 1973 to a peak of 2,467 square feet in 2015 before declining to 2,146 square feet by 2024:Median new U.S. home size by year (in square feet) from 1973 to 2024. From Bankrate.While one might argue that larger home sizes are a matter of consumer preference, the real issue seems to be structural in nature. As Patrick Tuohey wrote earlier this year for the Better Cities Project:CitarBuilders respond to the financial and regulatory environment cities create. Minimum lot sizes, setback requirements, parking mandates, and other local rules often make small homes difficult to build legally, let alone profitably. After the Great Recession, many builders also shifted toward higher-margin projects to reduce risk, reinforcing a preference for larger houses aimed at wealthier buyers.The result is that the traditional starter home—a roughly 1,000-square-foot house on a modest lot—has become financially implausible in many markets. Even when builders want to offer smaller units, land costs and zoning constraints push them toward higher price points.Since builders tend to only construct bigger homes, this means that many households will need to delay their first home purchase until they can afford such a home. These delays in household formation are also showing up in the data. As Freddie Mac’s November 2024 housing report concluded:CitarIf housing costs as measured by rents were more affordable, we estimate that the U.S. would have added 1 million more households with most of the growth coming from younger households.That is 1 million households that are staying at home or living with a roommate that wouldn’t have otherwise. That’s how bad the U.S. housing market is today.What makes this dynamic even worse is that 30-year mortgage rates are still hovering around 6%. As a result, many existing homeowners (with lower rates) are unwilling to move and accept a higher rate. This keeps their housing supply locked up longer than normal.This problem is particularly pervasive among older adults, who likely would have downsized after their children moved away. However, since they’ve decided to stay put, their housing remains underutilized. This keeps younger families from moving into these larger homes that better fit their current needs.Whether we look at the lack of good supply, increased underutilization, or elevated interest rates, the U.S. housing market has seen better days. However, there are signs that the market may be near a turning point.A New Hope for U.S. Housing?While it’s quite clear that the U.S. has a housing supply problem, there are a few things that could help to resolve it.First, more homeowners are borrowing at higher interest rates. As Realtor.com reported, as of Q3 2025, the share of mortgages with an interest rate above 6% surpassed the share of mortgages below 3%:Outstanding mortgage rate and share of mortgages from under 3% to over 6% in the U.S. as of Q3 2025.This is good news because it shows that borrowers are becoming desensitized to higher rates, which could signal a new normal across the housing landscape.Second, sellers seem to be more willing to sell their homes than in previous years. As the Kobeissi Letter reported:CitarHome sellers outnumbered buyers by 47.1% in December 2025, the largest gap since Redfin data began in 2013.Sellers vs buyers in the U.S housing market from 2013 to 2026.While some might look at this as a bad thing, it actually signals a big shift in seller behavior. With more people trying to sell their homes, it will put downward pressure on prices and start to unfreeze the real estate sector.Lastly, President Trump recently nominated Kevin Warsh to chair the Federal Reserve. Warsh has commented on how he wants to lower interest rates—a stance that aligns with Trump’s public comments on the matter.While lowering the Fed Funds Rate isn’t guaranteed to drop mortgage rates, they’re going to try. And, if they succeed, then we will see a lot of supply enter the market. Of course, there will be more demand as well, so it’s anyone’s guess whether lower rates will “fix” the housing shortage. Though U.S. housing has been in a bind for the past few years, recent developments suggest that things are starting to give. Borrowers are getting used to current rates, more homeowners are trying to sell, and policymakers are signaling a push to lower interest rates. While no single factor will revive the U.S. housing market on its own, maybe a combination of them will.Until then, thank you for reading!
Everyone keeps saying America has a “housing shortage.”It doesn’t.Divide total homes by population and you get this: We’ve never had more housing per person than we do right now.The problem isn’t supply. It’s prices.
Between 1960 and 1992 America went from less than 9,000 murders a year to a peak of 24,000. Other crimes such as burglary underwent a similar process and increased by a factor of nearly 5. A disproportionate share of this growth occurred in the old industrial cities of the Northeast and Midwest, which were also entering a period of economic decline during that era, the result of a weakening US industrial base.Because of this dual shock of massively elevated crime and a weakening of the industrial sector, many of these cities entered into what can only be characterized as a death spiral. St. Louis, Cleveland, and Pittsburgh each also lost roughly half their populations, and even cities like Chicago (which managed to weather the storm relatively well) shed nearly a third of their residents.
Builders respond to the financial and regulatory environment cities create. Minimum lot sizes, setback requirements, parking mandates, and other local rules often make small homes difficult to build legally, let alone profitably. After the Great Recession, many builders also shifted toward higher-margin projects to reduce risk, reinforcing a preference for larger houses aimed at wealthier buyers.The result is that the traditional starter home—a roughly 1,000-square-foot house on a modest lot—has become financially implausible in many markets. Even when builders want to offer smaller units, land costs and zoning constraints push them toward higher price points.
If housing costs as measured by rents were more affordable, we estimate that the U.S. would have added 1 million more households with most of the growth coming from younger households.
Home sellers outnumbered buyers by 47.1% in December 2025, the largest gap since Redfin data began in 2013.
En mi opinión, el ladrillo ha sido una herramienta más del sistema para buscar un objetivo. Quizá en este caso erradicar la familia tradicional y lo que conlleva. Ahora con la invasión migratoria ya está todo hecho,,, se envilece a la sociedad para destruirse a ellos mismos y la mayoría natural entra en el siniestro juego, como es de esperar siempre, además de que no habia otro juego. Veremos cuál es la siguiente herramienta si realmente el ladrillo se finiquita.
Las hipotecas cierran el 2025 por encima de los 500.000 préstamos y alcanzan su mejor cifra en 16 añosEl importe medio de las hipotecas alcanzó los 163.738 euros en el año, lo que supone un incremento del 12,6%MadridActualizado Jueves, 19 febrero 2026 - 09:17Diciembre cierra con un récord para la firma de hipotecas sobre viviendas. En el conjunto de 2025 alcanza los 501.073 préstamos, un 17,8% más que el año anterior y firma su mejor cifra anual desde 2010. Así lo ha publicado el Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE) este jueves y, así, 2025 es el segundo año consecutivo que la firma de hipotecas aumenta, después de que el 2024 cerrara con un 11,7% más.Solo el dato de diciembre suma 18 meses consecutivos de alzas. Se firmaron 37.841 préstamos para vivienda, un 17,4% más que en igual mes de 2024 y cinco puntos superior al de noviembre (+12,4%).En este caso del conjunto del 2025, el importe medio de las hipotecas alcanzó los 163.738 euros, lo que supone un incremento del 12,6%. Por lo tanto, el capital prestado aumentó un 32,6% en el conjunto del año pasado, hasta superar los 82.044 millones de euros.El tipo de interés medio también acumula 11 meses consecutivos con una cifra inferior al 3%. En diciembre, alcanzó el el 2,87%, lo que desciende del 2,97% de noviembre. Así, del total de préstamos, el tipo fijo sigue triunfando entre los hipotecados, con el 63,4% y un tipo de interés al inicio de 2,91%. Por otro lado, a tipo variable se firmaron el 36,6% de préstamos con un tipo de interés medio inicial del 2,82%.Con estos datos, y tomando en cuenta que el importe en diciembre fue de media de 172.535 euros (un 13,5% más), un préstamos a 25 años tendría una cuota mensual de 765,44 euros en este mes. Del total, por comunidades aumentó en Cantabria, con un 42,8% más, seguido de cerca de La Rioja con un 37% más y Murcia con 28,6%.Por otra parte, el número total de hipotecas con cambios en sus condiciones inscritas en los registros de la propiedad se redujo un 21,4% en diciembre en tasa anual. Las novaciones -o modificaciones con la misma entidad financiera- disminuyeron un 22,7%, las subrogaciones al deudor -cambia el titular- un 17,8% y las subrogaciones al acreedor -cambia de entidad- un 20,1%.
Accenture combate a quienes se niegan a usar IA vinculando los ascensos al uso de la herramienta19 FEB. 2026 - 11:08Las consultoras utilizan la estrategia del palo y la zanahoria, y algunos empleados directivos se muestran menos dispuestos a usar la tecnología que sus colegas más jóvenes.Accenture ha comenzado a controlar el uso que el personal hace de sus herramientas de IA como parte de su proceso de toma de decisiones relacionadas con los ascensos. La iniciativa coincide con un momento en el que las consultoras presionan a los empleados más reacios a adoptar la tecnología.La firma, con sede en Dublín, informó a los directores asociados y gerentes senior de que la "adopción regular" de la IA sería un requisito para los ascensos a puestos de liderazgo.Este mes, Accenture comenzó a recopilar datos sobre los inicios de sesión semanales individuales de algunos empleados directivos en sus herramientas de IA.El grupo, que cotiza en la bolsa de Nueva York, afirma contar con más de 550.000 personas capacitadas en IA generativa. Las herramientas incluyen AI Refinery, que, según Accenture, ayuda a las empresas a "convertir la tecnología de IA en soluciones empresariales útiles", y SynOps, un "innovador 'motor' operativo que optimiza la sinergia de datos, inteligencia aplicada, tecnologías digitales y talento para ayudar a las organizaciones a transformar sus operaciones comerciales".Esta iniciativa subraya los desafíos a los que se enfrentan las consultoras a la hora de convencer a empleados más veteranos y a los socios para que se adapten a la IA.Tres ejecutivos de las Big Four declararon a Financial Times que convencer a los altos directivos y socios para que adopten herramientas de IA ha resultado más difícil que en el caso del personal más joven. Uno de ellos lo describió como un ejercicio de "presión".Los directivos, con mayor experiencia, suelen sentirse menos cómodos con la tecnología y más apegados a los métodos de trabajo establecidos, afirmaron los ejecutivos, lo que ha llevado a las empresas a adoptar lo que uno de ellos denominó una estrategia de "palo y zanahoria".El personal de 12 países europeos está exento de esta política, junto con quienes trabajan en la división de Accenture que gestiona los contratos del gobierno federal de EEUU, así como en ciertos joint ventures. La empresa cuenta con casi 800.000 empleados a nivel mundial. Accenture intenta completar una amplia reorganización anunciada en junio pasado que unificó sus divisiones de estrategia, consultoría, creatividad, tecnología y operaciones en una única división denominada "Servicios de Reinvención".La consejera delegada, Julie Sweet, declaró el año pasado que Accenture despediría al personal que no pudiera adaptarse a la era de la IA. Desde entonces, la firma ha denominado a sus empleados "reinventores", haciendo hincapié en su capacidad para asesorar a los clientes sobre IA.El mes pasado, Accenture adquirió la startup de IA londinense Faculty para mejorar su capacidad de ayudar a los clientes a "reinventar procesos empresariales esenciales y críticos" mediante la adopción de IA.Sin embargo, Accenture ha tenido dificultades para adaptarse a la ralentización del sector de la consultoría. El precio de sus acciones ha caído un 42% en los últimos 12 meses, reduciendo su valor de mercado a aproximadamente 137.000 millones de dólares. Alcanzó un máximo de más de 260 000 millones de dólares debido al aumento de la demanda durante la pandemia.Accenture declaró que "nuestra estrategia es ser el socio predilecto de nuestros clientes para la reinvención y ser el lugar de trabajo más centrado en el cliente y con mayor capacidad de IA. Esto requiere la adopción de las herramientas y tecnologías más avanzadas para servir a nuestros clientes de la manera más eficaz".
Nueva ocurrencia de los engominados:https://www.expansion.com/economia/financial-times/2026/02/19/6996de68e5fdeabd188b45b3.htmlCitarAccenture combate a quienes se niegan a usar IA vinculando los ascensos al uso de la herramienta19 FEB. 2026 - 11:08Las consultoras utilizan la estrategia del palo y la zanahoria, y algunos empleados directivos se muestran menos dispuestos a usar la tecnología que sus colegas más jóvenes.Accenture ha comenzado a controlar el uso que el personal hace de sus herramientas de IA como parte de su proceso de toma de decisiones relacionadas con los ascensos. La iniciativa coincide con un momento en el que las consultoras presionan a los empleados más reacios a adoptar la tecnología.La firma, con sede en Dublín, informó a los directores asociados y gerentes senior de que la "adopción regular" de la IA sería un requisito para los ascensos a puestos de liderazgo.Este mes, Accenture comenzó a recopilar datos sobre los inicios de sesión semanales individuales de algunos empleados directivos en sus herramientas de IA.El grupo, que cotiza en la bolsa de Nueva York, afirma contar con más de 550.000 personas capacitadas en IA generativa. Las herramientas incluyen AI Refinery, que, según Accenture, ayuda a las empresas a "convertir la tecnología de IA en soluciones empresariales útiles", y SynOps, un "innovador 'motor' operativo que optimiza la sinergia de datos, inteligencia aplicada, tecnologías digitales y talento para ayudar a las organizaciones a transformar sus operaciones comerciales".Esta iniciativa subraya los desafíos a los que se enfrentan las consultoras a la hora de convencer a empleados más veteranos y a los socios para que se adapten a la IA.Tres ejecutivos de las Big Four declararon a Financial Times que convencer a los altos directivos y socios para que adopten herramientas de IA ha resultado más difícil que en el caso del personal más joven. Uno de ellos lo describió como un ejercicio de "presión".Los directivos, con mayor experiencia, suelen sentirse menos cómodos con la tecnología y más apegados a los métodos de trabajo establecidos, afirmaron los ejecutivos, lo que ha llevado a las empresas a adoptar lo que uno de ellos denominó una estrategia de "palo y zanahoria".El personal de 12 países europeos está exento de esta política, junto con quienes trabajan en la división de Accenture que gestiona los contratos del gobierno federal de EEUU, así como en ciertos joint ventures. La empresa cuenta con casi 800.000 empleados a nivel mundial. Accenture intenta completar una amplia reorganización anunciada en junio pasado que unificó sus divisiones de estrategia, consultoría, creatividad, tecnología y operaciones en una única división denominada "Servicios de Reinvención".La consejera delegada, Julie Sweet, declaró el año pasado que Accenture despediría al personal que no pudiera adaptarse a la era de la IA. Desde entonces, la firma ha denominado a sus empleados "reinventores", haciendo hincapié en su capacidad para asesorar a los clientes sobre IA.El mes pasado, Accenture adquirió la startup de IA londinense Faculty para mejorar su capacidad de ayudar a los clientes a "reinventar procesos empresariales esenciales y críticos" mediante la adopción de IA.Sin embargo, Accenture ha tenido dificultades para adaptarse a la ralentización del sector de la consultoría. El precio de sus acciones ha caído un 42% en los últimos 12 meses, reduciendo su valor de mercado a aproximadamente 137.000 millones de dólares. Alcanzó un máximo de más de 260 000 millones de dólares debido al aumento de la demanda durante la pandemia.Accenture declaró que "nuestra estrategia es ser el socio predilecto de nuestros clientes para la reinvención y ser el lugar de trabajo más centrado en el cliente y con mayor capacidad de IA. Esto requiere la adopción de las herramientas y tecnologías más avanzadas para servir a nuestros clientes de la manera más eficaz".
Rent control is the talk of the town in BostonA Massachusetts state ballot proposal to cap rent increases at the rate of inflation is spurring heated discussion echoed nationwide.Boston Globe/Getty ImagesJacking up rent on an apartment with a silent “r” might become illegal soon. A statewide rent control ballot proposal in Massachusetts that Boston Mayor Michelle Wu endorsed last week has ignited some of the most heated debate in the state since the American Revolution.In a bid to make housing more affordable in a state where even studio rentals are priced as if they’re stuffed with lobster rolls, a group of labor unions and housing activists collected enough signatures to put the issue to a vote in November. Midterm voters will decide whether to cap rent increases at no more than the state’s inflation rate (with a maximum of 5% yearly).Opponents, including Massachusetts Gov. Maura Healey, say the rent cap would disincentivize supply-boosting housing development—an approach many housing researchers and advocates say is the true solution to making rents affordable.Beyond Bean TownBoston’s conundrum echoes similar discussions an Amtrak ride away. New York City’s new mayor, Zohran Mamdani, ran on a promise of freezing rent on the Big Apple’s ~1 million rent-stabilized units.Critics argue the move could stunt construction and make it economically infeasible for landlords to make costly repairs.They cite research suggesting that San Francisco’s rent control in the 1990s pushed many landlords to convert their rentals into owner-occupied units.But Mamdani previously suggested that his rent-freezing platform was necessary to get New Yorkers onboard with other parts of his housing plan, like removing red tape for homebuilders. Yesterday, in a move that could further impact rental economics, Mamdani proposed a 9.5% property tax to fill the city’s budget holes.And it’s not just an East Coast issue: Los Angeles tightened up its rent control laws at the end of last year for the first time in decades, and Washington’s governor signed a rent control law into effect last year.Not up for debate…is the need to address housing affordability as American renters spend an average of 40% of their income on housing, according to a recent survey by rental platform Zumper.—SK
Shadow banking giant blocks investors from withdrawing cashConcern over private credit industry after collapse of two US companies causes lenders to loses billions19 February 2026 3:54pm GMTA Wall Street giant has blocked investors from withdrawing money from one of its flagship private credit funds as concerns mount over a crisis in the shadow banking industry.New York investment firm Blue Owl scrapped plans to let investors take their cash from its $1.7bn (£1.3bn) fund, saying it would repay them in quarterly instalments over an extended period instead.It marked a reversal of previous plans to let investors take money out of its Blue Owl Capital Corporation II fund, which was launched in 2017 to allow retail investors to put money into private debt markets.Blue Owl is one of the biggest private credit businesses in the world with more than $307bn worth of investments including in 20 Asda supermarkets in the UK, which it acquired for $467m last November.Its Blue Owl Capital Corporation II fund, or OBDC II, mostly invests in middle-market companies in the US and has given loans to more than 180 businesses.Blue Owl’s sudden reversal follows growing concerns about the private credit industry after the collapse of two heavily indebted US companies resulted in lenders suffering billions of dollars in losses.The bankruptcies of First Brands and Tricolor caused shockwaves across the private credit industry as lenders ranging from Santander to BlackRock found themselves exposed.It led to concerns about a lack of transparency in private debt markets with Jamie Dimon, the chief executive of JP Morgan, warning that investors would probably see more “cockroaches” emerge across the shadow banking system.Blue Owl first stopped investors from withdrawing money from its OBDC II fund last November after scrapping plans to merge it into the larger, publicly traded OBDC fund, which controls $17bn worth of investments.As an alternative, Blue Owl had planned to host quarterly tender offers where investors could withdraw cash from the OBDC II fund by selling stakes at its stated value at the time. However, Blue Owl is no longer going ahead with those plans.The OBDC II fund is currently privately owned by Blue Owl, meaning investors are unable to sell their holdings on the stock market.Blue Owl said it was now expecting to sell the remainder of its assets over the coming years and return money to investors on a quarterly basis.The announcement was made as Blue Owl said it had struck an agreement to sell $600m worth of OBDC II’s loan book as part of a wider deal worth $1.4bn.The New York firm said it would use the money raised from the sell-off to return 30pc of the money investors put into the OBDC II fund this March.A spokesman for Blue Owl said the distribution “will provide OBDC II shareholders with significant liquidity and reflects our continued commitment to deliver value to OBDC II shareholders”.“The overall sale underscores the strong demand for Blue Owl‑originated assets and reflects the rigour of Blue Owl Credit’s underwriting, portfolio construction and valuation processes.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/02/19/shadow-banking-giant-blocks-investors-from-withdrawing-cash/http://archive.today/9AsJjShadow banking giant blocks investors from withdrawing cashConcern over private credit industry after collapse of two US companies causes lenders to loses billions
Private credit stocks slide after Blue Owl halts redemptions at fundInvestment group’s decision sends shivers through industryThe sell-off is the latest to rock the fast-growing private credit market that has minted new power players on Wall Street © BloombergShares of the biggest private investment managers on Wall Street tumbled on Thursday after Blue Owl permanently restricted investors from exiting a debt fund for retail investors, sending shivers through the industry.The sell-off is the latest to rock the fast-growing private credit market, which has drawn in hundreds of billions of dollars of investor capital in recent years and minted new power players on Wall Street.Ares Management, Apollo Global Management, KKR, Blackstone, TPG and Blue Owl all slid in Thursday trading, in a sign that investors were recalibrating expectations of profitability for the fast-growing private credit business. Blue Owl, which announced its restriction on Wednesday, fared worst, with shares dropping more than 8 per cent.The fund that halted investor redemptions, known as Blue Owl Capital Corp II, called off a merger last year with a larger publicly traded credit fund managed by Blue Owl. That deal had drawn critical investor attention after the FT reported that investors in the fund faced losses of 20 per cent based on the acquiring fund’s trading price at the time.Private investment groups have been buffeted by mounting pressures in recent months, including an uptick in redemption requests at many of their flagship credit funds.News that a BlackRock private credit fund had slashed the value of some of its investment holdings last month, as well as concerns that AI could threaten the business models of many of the companies private credit firms had lent to, has stymied investor enthusiasm for the industry.Mohamed El-Erian, the former chief executive of bond giant Pimco, questioned whether Blue Owl’s move could further erode investor confidence in credit vehicles. The industry’s so-called redemption features allow investors to pull their money at regular quarterly intervals, meaning that funds holding relatively hard-to-sell loans are vulnerable to changes in investor confidence.Many large credit funds have already seen investors begin pulling money at greater levels, the FT has reported, signalling mounting concern. Blue Owl has seen significant net redemptions at its Blue Owl Capital Corp II vehicle and a separate “Technology Income” fund. However, most credit funds continue to draw net new assets.“Is this a ‘canary-in-the-coal mine’ moment?” El-Erian asked in a post on X.While El-Erian warned a “significant — and necessary — valuation hit is looming for specific assets”, analysts covering Blue Owl were less concerned.Blue Owl’s decision to end redemptions at its OBDC II fund came as it sold off $600mn of its assets, or about a third of the fund, to new buyers near their par value and distributed the cash to fund investors. The asset sale was part of a broader divestiture in which Blue Owl sold $1.4bn in total loans at 99.7 per cent of their stated value.Analysts covering Blue Owl took those asset sales as a sign of confidence in the values of its loan portfolio.“As the loans were purchased at fair value/marks of 99.7, we see the news as reinforcing the quality of marks across the OWL platform and perhaps reassuring investors that there are no ‘cockroaches’ lurking in the portfolio,” said William Katz, an analyst at TD Cowen, in a client note.