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«Problemas de personal existen, pero no es nada más que por las condiciones laborales del sector, con salarios bajos, jornadas largas y trabajos excesivos», ha dicho Martínez, quien ha señalado que «el problema se soluciona con un convenio», no «dando a la patronal lo que le pidió, que le eximiera de las responsabilidades».
Cita de: Benzino Napaloni en Febrero 03, 2024, 13:08:42 pmYa les decía que la cuerda se rompería por la pirámide poblacional y el mercado laboral. El inmobiliario de oficinas ha empezado a sufrir de inmediato.El residencial aguantará más, vista la máxima resistencia a ceder que hay. Lo que aún no tengo claro es cómo continuará el proceso. Si habrá agallas para pinchar la burbuja del residencial antes de que la falta de trabajadores lleve al colapso, o se preferirá la huida hacia adelante y mañana Dios dirá.Cualquier mierda de crisis que haga que baje un poquito el empleo o dejen de circular turistas a mansalva, se carga todo el chiringuito de un plumazo.Señores, que todo esto depende de que haya dinero moviéndose a saco, y eso no va a estar al 100% por toda la eternidad.En gran parte ya se han quemado los ahorros de la pandemia y los fondos extraordinarios y las cosas volverán a la velocidad habitual. Y a partir de ahí no sé de dónde van a sacar pardillos, porque no los va a haber.Y mientras tanto, cada año unas cuantas decenas de miles de herencias de viviendas. Y la inmigración con estos precios no es que no quiera, es que no le sale a cuenta venir. Se va a acabar notando en algún momento que la cosa no da para más, y ahí vendrá el hostión.
Ya les decía que la cuerda se rompería por la pirámide poblacional y el mercado laboral. El inmobiliario de oficinas ha empezado a sufrir de inmediato.El residencial aguantará más, vista la máxima resistencia a ceder que hay. Lo que aún no tengo claro es cómo continuará el proceso. Si habrá agallas para pinchar la burbuja del residencial antes de que la falta de trabajadores lleve al colapso, o se preferirá la huida hacia adelante y mañana Dios dirá.
site:www.eldiariomontanes.es +sanidad
La Plataforma ha presentado un nuevo cuadro con imágenes realizadas con inteligencia artificial en donde se ve al presidente riojano, Gonzalo Capellán, y a todo el equipo de Salud caricaturizados bajo la leyenda 'Piratas de lo público' a modo de satira «por lo que están haciendo con la sanidad», ha indicado Granda.
site:www.larioja.com +sanidad
site:larioja.com +renuncias +medicos
Eso no aguanta un análisis de cinco minutos.A Madrid, se vienen de los pueblos, los que no tienen nada. Los ricos de provincias, en ciudades y en el campo, se quedan allí. Están forraos. Y no invierten un puto duro en nada.
Cita de: sudden and sharp en Febrero 03, 2024, 15:54:17 pmEso no aguanta un análisis de cinco minutos.A Madrid, se vienen de los pueblos, los que no tienen nada. Los ricos de provincias, en ciudades y en el campo, se quedan allí. Están forraos. Y no invierten un puto duro en nada.¿forraooooos?¿Qué Están forraos??Como se nota que te mueves poco por la España vaciada-expoliada-derrotada-humillada. Si para ti estar forrao es tener un "casoplón" - mentalidad pisitófila - en un secarral manchego o en un páramo castellano, pues si, están forraos. Pero cuando se les terminen las migajas que les llegan de Mierdrid, van a comerse los terrones de tierra y las alpacas de paja, que de eso si que están forraos.Por eso la gente en vez de quedarse en sus lugares de origen, emigra de esas tierras; será porque de los "casoplones" manchegos y castellanos no se come. En Mierdrid si se come de El Pisito, a costa de los inmigrantes nacionales y extranjeros que llegan a Mierdrid en masa porque es una ciudad atractiva para trabajar y bla, bla...como dice el impresentable del Bernardos. Y si no te gusta, pues te vas a Móstoles, o a molestar a otro sitio.
A $560 Billion Property Warning Hits Banks From NY to TokyoLenders face debt maturities, lower values after thaw in dealsMultifamily also a focus following change in New York rent lawThe US commercial real estate market has been in turmoil since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic. But New York Community Bancorp and Japan’s Aozora Bank Ltd. delivered a reminder that some lenders are only just beginning to feel the pain.New York Community Bancorp’s decisions to slash its dividend and stockpile reserves sent its stock down a record 38% on Wednesday, with the fallout dragging the shares to a 23-year low on Thursday. The selling bled overnight into Europe and Asia, where Tokyo-based Aozora plunged more than 20% after warning of US commercial-property losses and Frankfurt’s Deutsche Bank AG more than quadrupled its US real estate loss provisions.The concern reflects the ongoing slide in commercial property values coupled with the difficulty predicting which loans might unravel. Setting that stage is a pandemic-induced shift to remote work and a rapid run-up in interest rates, which have made it more expensive for strained borrowers to refinance. Billionaire investor Barry Sternlicht warned this week that the office market is headed for more than $1 trillion in losses.For lenders, that means the prospect of more defaults as some landlords struggle to pay loans or simply walk away from buildings.“This is a huge issue that the market has to reckon with,” said Harold Bordwin, a principal at Keen-Summit Capital Partners LLC in New York, which specializes in renegotiating distressed properties. “Banks’ balance sheets aren’t accounting for the fact that there’s lots of real estate on there that’s not going to pay off at maturity.”Moody’s Investors Service said it’s reviewing whether to lower New York Community Bancorp’s credit rating to junk after Wednesday’s developments.Banks are facing roughly $560 billion in commercial real estate maturities by the end of 2025, according to commercial real estate data provider Trepp, representing more than half of the total property debt coming due over that period. Regional lenders in particular are more exposed to the industry, and stand to be hit harder than their larger peers because they lack the large credit card portfolios or investment-banking businesses that can insulate them.The KBW Regional Banking Index slumped 6% Wednesday, its worst performance since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank last March. The gauge dropped an additional 3.2% Thursday.Commercial real estate loans account for 28.7% of assets at small banks, compared with just 6.5% at bigger lenders, according to a JPMorgan Chase & Co. report published in April. That exposure has prompted additional scrutiny from regulators, already on high alert following last year’s regional banking tumult.“It’s clear that the link between commercial property and regional banks is a tail risk for 2024, and if any cracks emerge, they could be in the commercial, housing and bank sector,” Justin Onuekwusi, chief investment officer at wealth manager St. James’s Place, said.While real estate troubles, particularly for offices, have been apparent in the nearly four years since the pandemic, the property market has in some ways been in limbo: Transactions have plunged because of uncertainty among both buyers and sellers over how much buildings are worth. Now, the need to address looming debt maturities — and the prospect of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts — are expected to spark more deals that will bring clarity to just how much values have fallen.Those declines could be stark. The Aon Center, the third-tallest office tower in Los Angeles, recently sold for $147.8 million, about 45% less than its previous purchase price in 2014.“Banks — community banks, regional banks — have been really slow to mark things to market because they didn’t have to, they were holding them to maturity,” said Bordwin. “They are playing games with what is the real value of these assets.”Multifamily LoansSo far this year, earnings at many regional lenders have shown little sign of stress, with Fifth Third Bancorp, for example, noting it experienced zero net charge-offs in commercial real estate in 2023.But exacerbating the nervousness surrounding smaller lenders is the unpredictability of when and where soured real estate loans can occur, with just a few defaults having the potential to wreak havoc. New York Community Bancorp said its increase in charge-offs were related to a co-op building and an office property. While offices are a particular area of concern for real estate investors, the company’s largest real estate exposure comes from multifamily buildings, with the bank carrying about $37 billion in apartment loans. Nearly half of those loans are backed by rent-regulated buildings, making them vulnerable to New York state regulations passed in 2019 that strictly limit landlords’ ability to raise rents.At the end of last year, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. took a 39% discount when it sold about $15 billion in loans backed by rent-regulated buildings. In another indication of the challenges facing these buildings, roughly 4.9% of New York City rent-stabilized buildings with securitized loans were in delinquency as of December, triple the rate for other apartment buildings, according to a Trepp analysis based on when the properties were built.‘Conservative Lender’New York Community Bancorp, which acquired part of Signature Bank last year, said Wednesday that 8.3% of its apartment loans were considered criticized, meaning they have an elevated risk of default.“NYCB was a much more conservative lender when compared to Signature Bank,” said David Aviram, principal at Maverick Real Estate Partners. “Yet because loans secured by rent-stabilized multifamily properties makes up a larger percentage of NYCB’s CRE book in comparison to its peers, the change in the 2019 rent laws may have a more significant impact.”Pressure is growing on banks to reduce their exposure to commercial real estate. While some banks have held off on large loan sales due to uncertainty over the past year, they’re expected to market more debt now as the market thaws.Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce recently started marketing loans on struggling US office properties. While US office loans make up just 1% of the bank’s total asset portfolio, CIBC’s earnings were dragged down by higher provisions for credit losses in the segment.“The percentage of loans that banks have so far been reported as delinquent are a drop in the bucket compared to the defaults that will occur throughout 2024 and 2025,” said Aviram. “Banks remain exposed to these significant risks, and the potential decline in interest rates in the next year won’t solve bank problems.”
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Summers Warns of Interest Rates Well Above 3% Through 2030Former Treasury chief notes economy strong despite rate risesSummers cautious on discounting inflation re-acceleration riskFormer Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers said the economy’s enduring strength in the face of vigorous Federal Reserve tightening makes it increasingly likely that neutral interest rates have risen.“We’ve got an economy with a lot of underlying strength at interest rates where that would have looked unlikely some time ago,” Summers said on Bloomberg Television’s Wall Street Week with David Westin. Arguments in favor of neutral rates being higher thanks to fiscal deficits, and spending now being less sensitive to the level of borrowing costs, are “tending to be borne out,” he said(...)