Autor Tema: PPCC: Pisitófilos Creditófagos. Primavera 2026 (Leído 8941 veces)

tomasjos · « **Respuesta #135 en:** **Ayer** a las 21:54:34 »

España necesita un 'boom' inversor similar al de 2007 para frenar el déficit de vivienda https://share.google/nwdrhl7ZC7qWlgjCb

Esto es asqueante

Derby · « **Respuesta #136 en:** **Ayer** a las 22:22:59 »

Michael Hudson siempre es interesante, pero yo creo que esta guerra va sobre el dólar.

https://sovereignista.com/2026/03/24/michael-hudson-this-time-the-u-s-attack-on-iran-will-be-for-real-and-for-keeps/

Citar

Michael Hudson : This time the U.S. attack on Iran will be for real – and for keeps

First of all, the Strait of Hormuz has remained open. Iran is letting ships from India, Japan and other countries use it. So there is no need to “liberate” it. That’s not what the imminent U.S. attack is about. And it’s certainly not about Iran seeking an atomic “weapon of mass destruction.” That’s been the cover story to distract attention from the long-term U.S. plan that’s underlain its foreign policy for the past century.

Citar
The aim is to control Iran and the oil trade behind it – who can buy this oil and who can be denied access to oil and gas – and even more important, the export revenues from this oil trade.

This is the “final” conquest in the U.S. game to control and weaponize the world’s oil trade: To seize Iran’s oil and turn it over to either a client regime (Trump has said that he wants to select the new ruler personally) or to U.S. companies – and then to use the chaos in the Arab OPEC countries to impose the same control over them.

I think that this Friday there’s not going to be a replay of the threat and recover game that’s been roiling the financial markets, followed by happy-face talk of peace that led to a recover of over 1,000 points in the Dow Jones Industrial Average at one point on Monday. It looks like it will be a real invasion. – not of Hormuz, which would be suicidal, but a ground attack on Iran combined with an air attack on its energy resources.

Iran will retaliate by attacking the economies and energy infrastructure of the Arab OPEC states that backed the U.S. invasion and let the U.S. military use its bases in their sheikdoms.

THE U.S. ATTACK HAS BEEN PLANNED LONG BEFORE 2003 when Wesley Clark explained it. Trump made it obvious that this “final solution” was imminent on February 28, when the Omani mediator said that Iran had, amazingly, agreed to the U.S. demand that Iran turn over its stock of refined uranium.

Citar
This threat of peace caused a crisis for the U.S. military. The aim never has had anything to do with Iranian refinement of uranium. That always has been only a cover story. Even the demand that Iran dismantle its missiles has been a cover story.

There is nothing that Iran can do that will satisfy U.S. planners except for a regime change that is approved by the United States, installing an Iranian “Yeltsin”-type figure to let U.S. oil companies come in and regain control of Iran’s oil resources.

The U.S. aim is to make the world entirely dependent on oil under its direct control – not only the oil facilities itself, but the governments of oil-exporting nations.

The aim is to give U.S. strategists the ability to turn on the power, electricity, gas, fertilizer, lighting and heating of countries that resist U.S. policies to take over their economy by controlling a choke point on its access to energy.

And beyond the oil itself, the export revenues from oil production must be lent to the United States in the form of government and corporate bonds or stocks, but not direct ownership in any other firm. These were the terms of the 1974 OPEC settlement with U.S. officials.

U.S. planners realize that this will cause a world depression as Iran will retaliate against U.S. bases in the Arab sheikdoms, and perhaps wipe out their ruling families. Whatever destruction it wreaks on OPEC is a catalyst for the U.S. power grab, because it will come in and take these oil resources for themselves as well. The U.S. will control all the world’s major oil export resources outside of Russia.

It can then claim to have rescued the world economy from Iran’s destruction – while using its control of oil as an economic weapon to wield against countries that resist acquiescing in U.S. foreign policy, especially its demands for economic and trade and monetary sanctions against Russia and China.

European and Asian countries are saying, “This is not our war.” But it IS their war. The US intends to isolate all oil facilities throughout the world that it cannot control.

≈ The rest of the world seems to have cognitive dissonance regarding the enormous scale – and outright evil – of this long-term U.S. plan to use oil as a lever to control the entire world economy through its dependence on oil and gas (and helium). Other countries can’t imagine such boldness. It’s like the late 1930s when the world couldn’t imagine Hitler’s plan. By not acting to stop it, they are subjecting themselves to financial chaos as the world oil trade is disrupted for at least the rest of this year.

I continue to be amazed that the vested interests with hundreds of billions of their own dollars at stake don’t intervene to stop Trump. Even back in the Vietnam War, Wall Street had many leaders (such as Chase Manhattan’s George Champion) saying that the Vietnam War was bad – because it was “fiscally irresponsible.” This is not what you hear from Jamie Diamond et al. today.

And I met with generals who opposed the war in the mid 1970s, Not what you would see today. There’s just a numbness from Wall Street to the army – and the same in all other countries, as if the US/Iran war will not engulf their own economies and society.

It’s all so clear how this will work out – but for most governments, the obvious is so terrible that it has become unthinkable

sudden and sharp · « **Respuesta #137 en:** **Ayer** a las 22:25:30 »

Cadavre Exquis · « **Respuesta #138 en:** **Ayer** a las 22:31:34 »

Cita de: tomasjos en Ayer a las 21:54:34

España necesita un 'boom' inversor similar al de 2007 para frenar el déficit de vivienda https://share.google/nwdrhl7ZC7qWlgjCb

Esto es asqueante

Citar

España necesita un 'boom' inversor similar al de 2007 para frenar el déficit de vivienda

Esto implicaría elevar el peso de la inversión residencial hasta el 10% del Producto Interior Bruto

Rocío Regidor · 2026.03.24

Isabel Rodríguez visita el Instituto de Ciencias de la Construcción Eduardo Torroja | EP

El mercado inmobiliario español se enfrenta a un desequilibrio estructural que amenaza con agravarse en los próximos años. Según el último informe de BBVA Research sobre perspectivas y rentabilidad del sector, la falta de vivienda no solo persiste, sino que continuará ampliándose si no se produce un giro drástico en la inversión. La conclusión es clara y pasa por invertir en niveles similares a los de la burbuja inmobiliaria.

El diagnóstico parte de una paradoja cada vez más evidente. La demanda de vivienda sigue mostrando fortaleza, impulsada por el crecimiento del empleo, la mejora de la renta disponible y, sobre todo, la creación sostenida de hogares, apoyada en la inmigración. Sin embargo, la oferta no acompaña. El resultado es un mercado tensionado en el que los precios continúan al alza y una parte creciente de la población queda fuera.

De hecho, BBVA Research advierte en este informe analizado por THE OBJECTIVE de que el ritmo actual de construcción es claramente insuficiente. Aunque la edificación de vivienda nueva crecerá en los próximos años -con incrementos de dos dígitos en 2025 y 2026-, este avance no bastará para equilibrar el mercado. El problema es estructural. España arrastra un déficit acumulado de vivienda desde 2021 que ya supera el medio millón de unidades y que podría acercarse a las 700.000 en 2027 si no se corrige la tendencia.
Bustinduy llama a una gran movilización social para que el decreto de vivienda salga adelante

10% del PIB

En este contexto, el informe subraya que la escasez de oferta seguirá presionando los precios al alza. Las previsiones apuntan a subidas en torno al 10% en 2025 y cerca del 7% en 2026, reflejo de un mercado donde la falta de producto disponible actúa como principal cuello de botella. Pero el verdadero cuello de botella está en la inversión, según el informe. El sector inmobiliario español presenta una rentabilidad inferior a la de otros países europeos y a la de otros sectores económicos, lo que limita la entrada de capital. Entre las causas destacan los largos plazos de desarrollo del suelo, la inseguridad regulatoria, la escasez de mano de obra y el elevado peso de los recursos propios frente a la financiación externa.

Esta baja rentabilidad desincentiva nuevos proyectos y perpetúa el déficit. Por eso, BBVA Research plantea la necesidad de un cambio de escala. Para reducir significativamente la brecha de vivienda antes de que termine la década, sería necesario que la inversión en el sector creciera a ritmos muy superiores a los actuales, en torno al 15% anual entre 2027 y 2030. En términos macroeconómicos, esto implicaría elevar el peso de la inversión residencial hasta el 10% del PIB, un nivel que no se veía desde el pico del ciclo inmobiliario en 2007. El informe de la entidad apunta a que, sin un impulso de esa magnitud, el déficit seguirá cronificándose.

No hay riesgo de burbuja

Ahora bien, el contexto actual dista mucho del de la burbuja. A diferencia de entonces, el problema no es un exceso de oferta, sino todo lo contrario: una producción insuficiente para atender una demanda sólida. Además, el sector opera hoy con mayores restricciones financieras, regulatorias y de costes, lo que dificulta replicar aquel ciclo expansivo. A corto plazo, las perspectivas tampoco invitan al optimismo. Tras el repunte de ventas en 2024 favorecido por la bajada de tipos, se espera una desaceleración en los próximos años debido, precisamente, a la falta de producto. El mercado podría estabilizarse en torno a las 725.000 operaciones anuales, pero sin capacidad de crecimiento significativo por la escasez de oferta.

En paralelo, factores como el encarecimiento de los materiales, la falta de mano de obra y la incertidumbre geopolítica añaden presión sobre los costes y la rentabilidad del sector, y complican aún más el desarrollo de nuevos proyectos. En definitiva, el mercado inmobiliario español se enfrenta a una encrucijada. Sin un aumento sustancial de la inversión —pública y privada—, la brecha entre oferta y demanda seguirá ampliándose, alimentando la subida de precios y agravando el problema de acceso a la vivienda. La solución, según BBVA Research, pasa por un salto cuantitativo y cualitativo en la inversión, acompañado de reformas que agilicen la gestión del suelo, mejoren la seguridad jurídica y aumenten la eficiencia del sector. De lo contrario, España se arriesga a consolidar un déficit estructural de vivienda que condicionará su crecimiento económico y su cohesión social en los próximos años.

Saludos.

Derby · « **Respuesta #139 en:** **Ayer** a las 22:31:51 »

https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/more-american-workers-struggling-than-thriving-first-time-poll

Citar

More American workers are struggling than thriving for first time: poll

Decline has been gradual but consistent since 2022, when more than half of US workers reported thriving

American workers are feeling more pressure in their lives, with a greater share reporting that they feel they're struggling than thriving in a new poll by Gallup.

Gallup on Tuesday released fresh data for the firm's Life Evaluation Index, which measured how people rate their current and expected future lives since 2008. It asks respondents to evaluate their current and future lives on a 10-point scale, which is broken down as "thriving," "struggling" or "suffering."

The firm's survey of U.S. workers conducted in the fourth quarter of 2025 found that the share of those thriving declined from 50% the same quarter a year ago to 46%, while those struggling rose from 46% to 49% in that period.

"For the first time since Gallup began measuring the life evaluation of the American workforce, more U.S. workers are struggling in their lives (49%) than thriving (46%)," the polling and analytics firm noted. Additionally, 5% of respondents were classified as "suffering."

The share of workers rated as struggling now exceeds those who are thriving, Gallup found. (Robyn Beck/AFP via Getty Images)

The shift comes as a contrast with the index's findings in 2022 and 2023, when the share of American workers who said they're "thriving" was in the low-to-mid-50s in what was an indication of resilience after the economic turbulence of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The last decade saw relatively high numbers of respondents classified as thriving, with Gallup's metric remaining steady between 57% and 60% from 2009 to 2019.

Respondents classified as thriving briefly dipped to 55% in 2020 before it rebounded in 2021, but the figure has generally been on a steady decline since then.

American workers were less bullish on their personal outlooks. (Yuki Iwamura/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

The share of respondents who were thriving hit a recent peak in the third quarter of 2022, when it was 55% compared to 41% of respondents who were struggling. That 14-percentage point spread in favor of thriving was the largest differential since 2022.

"The slide in workers' thriving rate has been gradual but consistent. No quarter since early 2024 has shown sustained improvement – meaning back-to-back quarters when the thriving rate increased," Gallup wrote.

Workers who are struggling instead of thriving also pose challenges to employers, who may face more absenteeism or turnover from struggling workers.

"The significance to organizations and the economy is real given that worker wellbeing has a tangible impact on organizations' bottom line. Gallup research finds that workers who are not thriving are more likely to miss work due to illness and to be seeking or watching for a new job," the firm added.

"Thriving employees miss 53% fewer days of work due to health problems and are 32% less likely to be actively seeking a new job. As thriving falls, organizational performance risks follow," Gallup explained.

The share of federal workers rated as thriving fell more rapidly than other groups. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc/Getty Images)

While the report indicated that all major segments of the U.S. workforce experienced a worsening outlook on their lives since 2022, Gallup noted that federal workers have seen a more severe and rapid decline in their outlooks.

Federal workers were more likely than the average U.S. worker to be thriving in 2022, when they had an average of 60%. That was six points above the national average and four points higher than state and local government workers.

By late 2025, federal workers' thriving rate fell 12 points to an average of 48%, far outpacing the decline for average U.S. workers, whose rate was down six points to 48%, as well as state and local government workers, whose combined thriving rate was down six points to 50%.