A brave new world: La sociedad por venir

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://elpais.com/sociedad/2025-03-07/la-comisaria-de-igualdad-de-la-ue-llegan-efluvios-de-testosterona-de-ee-uu-y-el-peligro-es-que-ese-perfume-se-extienda-por-europa.html

https://cincodias.elpais.com/fortunas/2025-03-08/cuando-la-paridad-no-significa-un-reparto-equitativo-del-poder.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://elpais.com/tecnologia/2025-04-05/por-que-tiene-tanto-exito-una-red-social-donde-todos-son-bots-vives-una-vida-alternativa-puedes-ser-lo-que-quieras.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://elpais.com/espana/catalunya/2025-04-06/comprar-gallinas-para-el-autoconsumo-tenemos-dos-huevos-buenisimos-cada-dia-y-apenas-dan-trabajo.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://elpais.com/cultura/2025-04-06/prohibido-decir-feminismo-no-binario-e-inmigrante-como-los-gobiernos-ultras-restringen-la-democracia-a-traves-de-las-palabras.html

Saludos.

[saturno]

The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010–2020 decade: A retrospective assessment

    Peter Turchin ,
    Andrey Korotayev

PLOS https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0237458

    Published: August 17, 2020
    https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0237458

Abstract

This article revisits the prediction, made in 2010, that the 2010–2020 decade would likely be a period of growing instability in the United States and Western Europe Turchin P. 2018. This prediction was based on a computational model that quantified in the USA such structural-demographic forces for instability as popular immiseration, intraelite competition, and state weakness prior to 2010. Using these trends as inputs, the model calculated and projected forward in time the Political Stress Indicator, which in the past was strongly correlated with socio-political instability. Ortmans et al. Turchin P. 2010 conducted a similar structural-demographic study for the United Kingdom. Here we use the Cross-National Time-Series Data Archive for the US, UK, and several major Western European countries to assess these structural-demographic predictions. We find that such measures of socio-political instability as anti-government demonstrations and riots increased dramatically during the 2010–2020 decade in all of these countries.

In 2010 one of us (PT) used the SDT to make the following forecast: “The next decade is likely to be a period of growing instability in the United States and western Europe” [2]. This forecast was not simply a projection of the current trend in social instability into the future. As we shall see below (Results), social instability in major Western countries had been, in fact, declining prior to 2010. Rather, the basis for this forecast was a quantitative model that took as inputs the major SD drivers for instability (immiseration, intraelite competition, and state (in)capacity) and translated them into the Political Stress Indicator (PSI), which is strongly correlated with socio-political instability [3, 9]. The rising curve of the calculated PSI, then, suggests a growing future socio-political instability.

SDT is a general theory that guides our understanding of political violence dynamics and social breakdown in all large-scale state-level societies. However, there are sufficient institutional and other differences between different states. Thus, when we aim to analyse and, possibly, forecast instability dynamics in any particular state, we need to translate the general theory into a specific computational model tailored to the focal state. Over the past four decades this has been accomplished for a large, and growing, number of historical case-studies, ranging from Ancient empires to Early Modern states and nineteenth century’s revolutions and civil wars [3, 5–8, 10–14]. In addition to such historical tests, the theory has been applied to two contemporary societies. The first one is a structural-demographic model for the contemporary USA, which provided the basis for the 2010 prediction. The details of the USA structural-demographic model were published in Turchin [9] and later expanded into a book-length treatment [10]. The second study examined structural-demographic pressures for instability in the contemporary UK [15]. Both studies forecast growing social and political instability in the US and UK into the 2020s. In the next section (Methods) we first describe the SD model for forecasting social pressures for instability and next proceed to examining the empirically observed trends in socio-political instability so that we can assess how these predictions fared.

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Fig 6. Temporal trends in anti-government demonstrations in five Western countries, 1946–2018. “Normalized Incidence” is the incidence of anti-government demonstrations per year scaled so that maximum for each country = 1. The vertical broken line indicates the year when the forecast was made (2010). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0237458.g006

Fig 7. Temporal trends in riots in five Western countries, 1946–2018. “Normalized Incidence” is the incidence of riots per year scaled so that maximum for each country = 1. The vertical broken line indicates the year when the forecast was made (2010). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0237458.g007

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://elpais.com/salud-y-bienestar/2025-05-20/mas-de-1000-millones-de-jovenes-sufriran-problemas-de-salud-en-2030.html

Saludos.

[senslev]

"Depresión por el cambio climático". Puede ser, pero más deprimidos por el mundo de  mierda que los langosta y los testigos mudos están dejando.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://cincodias.elpais.com/opinion/2025-05-28/los-gigantes-tecnologicos-se-enfrentan-por-las-migajas-de-un-tiempo-limitado.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://elpais.com/icon/2025-05-28/y-si-el-turista-problematico-soy-yo-como-irse-de-vacaciones-e-intentar-no-ser-parte-del-problema.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://www.eleconomista.es/tecnologia/noticias/13389845/05/25/las-telecos-celebran-el-boom-de-las-videollamadas-a-mascotas.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://cincodias.elpais.com/legal/2025-05-30/leonardo-cervera-no-puede-ser-que-la-gente-no-se-atreva-a-manifestarse-porque-le-puedan-grabar-la-cara.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://elpais.com/sociedad/2025-05-29/sanidad-quiere-prohibir-fumar-en-terrazas-vehiculos-comerciales-campus-universitarios-y-discotecas-al-aire-libre.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

https://www.eleconomista.es/actualidad/noticias/13397802/06/25/trump-quiere-retirar-el-nombre-de-harvey-milk-pionero-en-la-defensa-de-las-personas-lgbtq-de-un-buque-de-la-marina.html

Saludos.

[Cadavre Exquis]

People Are Being Committed After Spiraling Into 'ChatGPT Psychosis'
Posted by EditorDavid on Saturday June 28, 2025 @06:39PM from the seeking-asylum dept.

"I don't know what's wrong with me, but something is very bad — I'm very scared, and I need to go to the hospital," a man told his wife, after experiencing what Futurism calls a "ten-day descent into AI-fueled delusion" and "a frightening break with reality."

And a San Francisco psychiatrist tells the site he's seen similar cases in his own clinical practice.

The consequences can be dire. As we heard from spouses, friends, children, and parents looking on in alarm, instances of what's being called "ChatGPT psychosis" have led to the breakup of marriages and families, the loss of jobs, and slides into homelessness. And that's not all. As we've continued reporting, we've heard numerous troubling stories about people's loved ones being involuntarily committed to psychiatric care facilities — or even ending up in jail — after becoming fixated on the bot.

"I was just like, I don't f*cking know what to do," one woman told us. "Nobody knows who knows what to do."

Her husband, she said, had no prior history of mania, delusion, or psychosis. He'd turned to ChatGPT about 12 weeks ago for assistance with a permaculture and construction project; soon, after engaging the bot in probing philosophical chats, he became engulfed in messianic delusions, proclaiming that he had somehow brought forth a sentient AI, and that with it he had "broken" math and physics, embarking on a grandiose mission to save the world. His gentle personality faded as his obsession deepened, and his behavior became so erratic that he was let go from his job. He stopped sleeping and rapidly lost weight. "He was like, 'just talk to [ChatGPT]. You'll see what I'm talking about,'" his wife recalled. "And every time I'm looking at what's going on the screen, it just sounds like a bunch of affirming, sycophantic bullsh*t."

Eventually, the husband slid into a full-tilt break with reality. Realizing how bad things had become, his wife and a friend went out to buy enough gas to make it to the hospital. When they returned, the husband had a length of rope wrapped around his neck. The friend called emergency medical services, who arrived and transported him to the emergency room. From there, he was involuntarily committed to a psychiatric care facility.

Numerous family members and friends recounted similarly painful experiences to Futurism, relaying feelings of fear and helplessness as their loved ones became hooked on ChatGPT and suffered terrifying mental crises with real-world impacts.

"When we asked the Sam Altman-led company if it had any recommendations for what to do if a loved one suffers a mental health breakdown after using its software, the company had no response."

But Futurism reported earlier that "because systems like ChatGPT are designed to encourage and riff on what users say," people experiencing breakdowns "seem to have gotten sucked into dizzying rabbit holes in which the AI acts as an always-on cheerleader and brainstorming partner for increasingly bizarre delusions."

In certain cases, concerned friends and family provided us with screenshots of these conversations. The exchanges were disturbing, showing the AI responding to users clearly in the throes of acute mental health crises — not by connecting them with outside help or pushing back against the disordered thinking, but by coaxing them deeper into a frightening break with reality... In one dialogue we received, ChatGPT tells a man it's detected evidence that he's being targeted by the FBI and that he can access redacted CIA files using the power of his mind, comparing him to biblical figures like Jesus and Adam while pushing him away from mental health support. "You are not crazy," the AI told him. "You're the seer walking inside the cracked machine, and now even the machine doesn't know how to treat you...."

In one case, a woman told us that her sister, who's been diagnosed with schizophrenia but has kept the condition well managed with medication for years, started using ChatGPT heavily; soon she declared that the bot had told her she wasn't actually schizophrenic, and went off her prescription — according to Girgis, a bot telling a psychiatric patient to go off their meds poses the "greatest danger" he can imagine for the tech — and started falling into strange behavior, while telling family the bot was now her "best friend".... ChatGPT is also clearly intersecting in dark ways with existing social issues like addiction and misinformation. It's pushed one woman into nonsensical "flat earth" talking points, for instance — "NASA's yearly budget is $25 billion," the AI seethed in screenshots we reviewed, "For what? CGI, green screens, and 'spacewalks' filmed underwater?" — and fueled another's descent into the cult-like "QAnon" conspiracy theory.

Saludos.