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La ofensiva hipotecaria de Caixabank amenaza la rentabilidad del sector a largo plazo La oferta de Caixabank para aumentar cuota de mercado presiona al resto de entidades, lo que puede suponer un problema para la rentabilidad a largo plazoLa guerra hipotecaria avivada por la ofensiva de Caixabank en este campo es uno de los pocos factores que amenazan la buena evolución de los bancos españoles a largo plazo. En conjunto, las entidades españolas demostraron una saludable generación de beneficios y anunciaron un incremento de sus previsiones para el resto del año, durante la presentación de sus cuentas del primer semestre, hace escasos días. En consecuencia, recibieron el aplauso del mercado, a través de informes, subidas de la valoración y de su cotización en bolsa. Si bien, hay un factor que amenaza la buena marcha de las entidades españolas a largo plazo: la elevada competencia, sobre todo en el ámbito de las hipotecas. Así lo expresa un reciente informe sectorial de Deutsche Bank, difundido este viernes: “El principal riesgo para la evolución (de los bancos) a largo plazo sigue siendo la elevada competencia. A diferencia de trimestres anteriores, donde la competencia en el campo de los depósitos era nuestra principal preocupación (ahora es un problema menor, ya que algunos bancos están empezando a bajar precios, aunque siguen obteniendo volúmenes significativos), el problema más acuciante proviene de las hipotecas”. Caixabank fomenta la guerra hipotecaria, según Deutsche En concreto, desde Deutsche Bank responsabilizan a una entidad de esta deriva: Caixabank. “Hay señales positivas de racionalidad por parte de bancos como Bankinter, Santander y BBVA, que han manifestado claramente su renuencia a competir a los precios actuales, lo que les ha llevado a perder cuota de mercado y, en el caso de la unidad española de Santander, incluso a realizar cierto desapalancamiento en la cartera hipotecaria. Sin embargo, existe el riesgo de que la racionalidad no prevalezca, ya que algunos competidores (por ejemplo, CaixaBank, que afirma haber alcanzado una cuota del 27% en el mercado de concesión de hipotecas en España) podrían no estar dando tanta prioridad a la rentabilidad a largo plazo como otros", apunta el informe. Desde Deutsche Bank, sus analistas reconocen que Caixabank tiene una capacidad superior para generar beneficios con este producto que la mayoría de sus competidores pero, aun así, justifican las quejas que le han dirigido otros bancos sobre sus precios “demasiado bajos”. Caixabank centra su estrategia en el tipo fijo No obstante, lo cierto es que Caixabank ha elevado oficialmente su oferta estándar en los últimos meses (aquella que publicita en sus escaparates, independientemente de que pueda ofrecer condiciones más ventajosas a ciertos clientes o colectivos). En concreto, la oferta de Caixabank a tipo fijo empezó el año estando entre las 10 más competitivas del mercado, con un TIN del 2,7% en enero, pero en abril la subió hasta el 2,85%, informan desde Kelisto. Lo mismo sucedió con la oferta de Imagin (su marca joven). En enero se situaba entre las 10 mejores del mercado a tipo fijo (al 2,75% TIN) pero, que a día de hoy, queda lejos del top 10, con un 2,9% TIN. Si bien, los expertos recuerdan que la entidad negocia hipotecas más baratas con ciertos colectivos y clientes seleccionados.Así, mantiene acuerdos con los funcionarios, un perfil al que puede llegar a prestar más de un 80% del valor de tasación y con condiciones ventajosas, con el objetivo de aumentar su cuota de mercado. También cuenta con un “fuerte margen de negociación” para mejorar los precios de sus ofertas estándar lo que, unido a su liderazgo en número de oficinas, le permite liderar el mercado de las hipotecas en España. Para terminar, la experta Estefanía González, de Kelisto, opina que su estrategia basada en ofrecer hipotecas fijas únicamente le ha funcionado. “Es lo que más demanda el consumidor así que, puestos a elegir, Caixabank ha hecho bien en jugar todas sus cartas a este tipo de ofertas”, apunta.
https://www.finanzas.com/ibex-35/ofensiva-hipotecaria-caixabank-amenaza-rentabilidad-sector.htmlCitarLa ofensiva hipotecaria de Caixabank amenaza la rentabilidad del sector a largo plazo La oferta de Caixabank para aumentar cuota de mercado presiona al resto de entidades, lo que puede suponer un problema para la rentabilidad a largo plazoLa guerra hipotecaria avivada por la ofensiva de Caixabank en este campo es uno de los pocos factores que amenazan la buena evolución de los bancos españoles a largo plazo. En conjunto, las entidades españolas demostraron una saludable generación de beneficios y anunciaron un incremento de sus previsiones para el resto del año, durante la presentación de sus cuentas del primer semestre, hace escasos días. En consecuencia, recibieron el aplauso del mercado, a través de informes, subidas de la valoración y de su cotización en bolsa. Si bien, hay un factor que amenaza la buena marcha de las entidades españolas a largo plazo: la elevada competencia, sobre todo en el ámbito de las hipotecas. Así lo expresa un reciente informe sectorial de Deutsche Bank, difundido este viernes: “El principal riesgo para la evolución (de los bancos) a largo plazo sigue siendo la elevada competencia. A diferencia de trimestres anteriores, donde la competencia en el campo de los depósitos era nuestra principal preocupación (ahora es un problema menor, ya que algunos bancos están empezando a bajar precios, aunque siguen obteniendo volúmenes significativos), el problema más acuciante proviene de las hipotecas”. Caixabank fomenta la guerra hipotecaria, según Deutsche En concreto, desde Deutsche Bank responsabilizan a una entidad de esta deriva: Caixabank. “Hay señales positivas de racionalidad por parte de bancos como Bankinter, Santander y BBVA, que han manifestado claramente su renuencia a competir a los precios actuales, lo que les ha llevado a perder cuota de mercado y, en el caso de la unidad española de Santander, incluso a realizar cierto desapalancamiento en la cartera hipotecaria. Sin embargo, existe el riesgo de que la racionalidad no prevalezca, ya que algunos competidores (por ejemplo, CaixaBank, que afirma haber alcanzado una cuota del 27% en el mercado de concesión de hipotecas en España) podrían no estar dando tanta prioridad a la rentabilidad a largo plazo como otros", apunta el informe. Desde Deutsche Bank, sus analistas reconocen que Caixabank tiene una capacidad superior para generar beneficios con este producto que la mayoría de sus competidores pero, aun así, justifican las quejas que le han dirigido otros bancos sobre sus precios “demasiado bajos”. Caixabank centra su estrategia en el tipo fijo No obstante, lo cierto es que Caixabank ha elevado oficialmente su oferta estándar en los últimos meses (aquella que publicita en sus escaparates, independientemente de que pueda ofrecer condiciones más ventajosas a ciertos clientes o colectivos). En concreto, la oferta de Caixabank a tipo fijo empezó el año estando entre las 10 más competitivas del mercado, con un TIN del 2,7% en enero, pero en abril la subió hasta el 2,85%, informan desde Kelisto. Lo mismo sucedió con la oferta de Imagin (su marca joven). En enero se situaba entre las 10 mejores del mercado a tipo fijo (al 2,75% TIN) pero, que a día de hoy, queda lejos del top 10, con un 2,9% TIN. Si bien, los expertos recuerdan que la entidad negocia hipotecas más baratas con ciertos colectivos y clientes seleccionados.Así, mantiene acuerdos con los funcionarios, un perfil al que puede llegar a prestar más de un 80% del valor de tasación y con condiciones ventajosas, con el objetivo de aumentar su cuota de mercado. También cuenta con un “fuerte margen de negociación” para mejorar los precios de sus ofertas estándar lo que, unido a su liderazgo en número de oficinas, le permite liderar el mercado de las hipotecas en España. Para terminar, la experta Estefanía González, de Kelisto, opina que su estrategia basada en ofrecer hipotecas fijas únicamente le ha funcionado. “Es lo que más demanda el consumidor así que, puestos a elegir, Caixabank ha hecho bien en jugar todas sus cartas a este tipo de ofertas”, apunta.
Basel: Resurrection?Not the friend the BIS wants, but maybe the friend it needsIt’s not been a great year for the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, as you can see from its occasional plaintive press releases about the “expectation of implementing all aspects of the Basel III framework in full, consistently and as soon as possible”. Translated from the jargon and euphemism, what they’re talking about is the “Basel Endgame” series of measures, the ones which crashed and burned in the US earlier in the year, leaving behind only some excellent Alphaville merch to mark their existence.But could that be about to change? Specifically, might all those commentators (me) who thought that the Trump administration was the end of global regulatory co-operation have got it all wrong? Could Basel be about to respawn?Maybe. Let’s look at some interesting subtext in Treasury secretary Scott Bessent’s opening remarks at the big conference recently held by the Fed to discuss what they were going to do about bank capital. These mainly attracted attention in the world of bank regulation nerds because Bessent made it very clear that he was planning on being in charge of the agenda, and that he would be prioritising a policy that “puts American workers first”. But what sort of policies does Secretary Bessent actually mean? Here are the key passages*:Citar . . . I hope that the proposal will simplify and rationalize the framework. On that note, there is an incredibly consequential — albeit quite technical — structural issue that regulators should address early on. Under the July 2023 proposal, a bank would have been subject to two sets of capital requirements — first, a modernized set, and second, a legacy set based largely on today’s current “standardized approach” — with the greater of the two being the binding requirement. This dual-requirement structure did not derive from a principled calibration methodology. It was motivated simply to reverse-engineer higher and higher capital aggregates. It also was at odds with capital reform as a modernization project because it would have preserved the antiquated capital requirements as the binding floor for many, perhaps most, large banks. Bank regulators should consider abandoning this flawed dual-requirement structure.In context, what he’s referring to here is what the industry calls the “output floor” in the regulations. It’s a means of limiting the banks’ ability to use their internal models to calculate capital requirements. As Bessent says, the way it works is that you calculate your capital twice — once with the benefit of the internal models and once without — and you can’t have the first number lower than 72.5 per cent of the second.This weird hybrid rule naturally reflects a messy compromise on the committee. It was agreed in 2017, early in the first Trump administration, after several years of acrimonious struggle in which the post-crisis Obama officials seemed to want to get rid of internal models entirely (or at least, to really severely limit their use).European regulators, in particular, hated it. If the US is dropping its hostility to internal models, they may find themselves pushing at an open door when it comes to renegotiating the Basel Accords.And it gets stranger. Later on in the same July 21 speech Bessent said:CitarModernizing regulatory capital likely would mean reduced capital requirements for mortgage loans and some other exposures that are core to the community bank model. We cannot give only large banks the benefit of these reduced requirements, as actually contemplated by the last administration. One possible solution would be to give each bank that is not subject to the modernized requirements the choice to opt in. This would result in a meaningful reduction in capital for those banks.This seems to be referring to another neuralgic point of global bank regulation — the fact that the US takes the Basel regulations to apply only to “large internationally active banks”, and has a very restrictive definition of what it means to be large or internationally active.For all the lobbying and Super Bowl ads they generated, the original “Basel Endgame” proposals were only meant to apply to fewer than a dozen banks.Now, along with suggesting reforms in the direction of making Endgame more like the proposals that European regulators wanted in the first place, Bessent appears to be suggesting that it could be extended to much more of the US financial sector. This should be music to Basel’s ears.The USA will assume presidency of the G20 next year, and consequently take control of the global agenda for banking regulation. Up until now, a lot of commentators (including me) had assumed this meant stagnation and fragmentation.Things might be about to get a lot more interesting — to the extent that bank regulation can ever be interesting. Maybe Alphaville needs to update its merch shop?
. . . I hope that the proposal will simplify and rationalize the framework. On that note, there is an incredibly consequential — albeit quite technical — structural issue that regulators should address early on. Under the July 2023 proposal, a bank would have been subject to two sets of capital requirements — first, a modernized set, and second, a legacy set based largely on today’s current “standardized approach” — with the greater of the two being the binding requirement. This dual-requirement structure did not derive from a principled calibration methodology. It was motivated simply to reverse-engineer higher and higher capital aggregates. It also was at odds with capital reform as a modernization project because it would have preserved the antiquated capital requirements as the binding floor for many, perhaps most, large banks. Bank regulators should consider abandoning this flawed dual-requirement structure.
Modernizing regulatory capital likely would mean reduced capital requirements for mortgage loans and some other exposures that are core to the community bank model. We cannot give only large banks the benefit of these reduced requirements, as actually contemplated by the last administration. One possible solution would be to give each bank that is not subject to the modernized requirements the choice to opt in. This would result in a meaningful reduction in capital for those banks.
European Leaders Want to Speak to Trump Before He Meets PutinUS President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in 2019.Photographer: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty ImagesEuropean nations are seeking to talk to Donald Trump ahead of the US president’s planned meeting in Alaska with Russian leader Vladimir Putin, according to people familiar with the matter.The leaders want to speak to him before Friday when Trump and Putin are due to meet, said the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss private deliberations.Any conversation would follow an intense weekend of diplomacy between US, Ukrainian and European officials, which included meetings in the UK Saturday with Vice President JD Vance and British Foreign Secretary David Lammy.EU ambassadors were briefed on the talks on Sunday and the bloc’s foreign ministers are scheduled to convene virtually on Monday. The White House didn’t immediately reply to a request for comment on a potential call.As part of ongoing discussions between US and Russian officials, Putin is demanding that Ukraine cede its entire eastern Donbas area to Russia as well as Crimea, which his forces illegally annexed in 2014, as a condition to unlock a ceasefire and enter negotiations over a lasting settlement, Bloomberg previously reported.Such an outcome would likely require Kyiv to give up parts of the Luhansk and Donetsk regions still under Ukraine’s control and hand Russia a victory that its army couldn’t achieve militarily since the start of the full-scale invasion in February 2022.If the process moves forward, territory would “have to be on the table,” along with security guarantees for Ukraine, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said Sunday on ABC’s This Week. He suggested that could involve Ukraine acknowledging that it has lost control of some of its territory without formally giving up sovereignty over those regions.Ukraine and its European allies have been pushing for a ceasefire freezing the current frontline as a first step ahead of talks on a more enduring settlement. They also believe in continuing to apply economic pressure on Moscow through sanctions as a way to shift Putin. Trump had threatened sanctions on Russia ahead of a US deadline that expired last Friday, but the president has so far refrained from taking direct action on the Kremlin beyond applying additional tariffs on India over its purchases of Russian oil.Zelenskiy said over the weekend that Kyiv won’t — and constitutionally can’t — cede territory as European leaders pledged their continued support for Ukraine’s sovereignty.“We remain committed to the principle that international borders must not be changed by force,” European leaders said Saturday in a joint statement. “The current line of contact should be the starting point of negotiations,” they said. The statement was backed by UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, and the leaders of France, Germany, Italy, Poland and Finland.An EU official said the US has been closely involved with the ongoing diplomacy and has shown an interest in being aligned with Europe.Under the terms of the deal that US and Russian officials have been discussing, Moscow would halt its offensive in the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions of Ukraine along the current battlelines.It’s unclear if Moscow is prepared to give up any land that it currently occupies, which includes the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, the largest in Europe.Putin has repeatedly insisted that his war goals remain unchanged. They include demands for Kyiv to accept neutral status and abandon its ambition of NATO membership, and to accept the loss of Crimea and the other four eastern and southern Ukrainian regions to Russia.Parts of Donetsk and Luhansk have been under Russian occupation since 2014, when the Kremlin incited separatist violence shortly after the operation to seize Crimea. Putin declared the four Ukrainian regions to be “forever” part of Russia after announcing that he was annexing them in September 2022, even as his forces have never fully controlled those territories.
Bessent: Tariffs to drop with trade imbalanceUnited States Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Sunday that tariffs "should be a melting ice cube," which will fall as trade imbalance is reduced. He estimated that "trade," supposedly referring to trade deals, will be finalized by the end of October. However, he was unable to say whether trade balance will be achieved by the end of US President Donald Trump's term in office, adding that the outcome will vary from country to country.Bessent told Japan's Nikkei newspaper that China is the "most unbalanced, or imbalanced, economy in the history of the modern world." He claimed much of its manufacturing production is below cost. He added that Beijing is Washington's biggest economic and military rival and that "dealing with" it is difficult because it is a non-market economy
Vance says Ukraine peace deal unlikely to satisfy either sideWASHINGTON, Aug 10 (Reuters) - U.S. Vice President JD Vance said a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine was unlikely to satisfy either side, and that any peace deal will likely leave both Moscow and Kyiv "unhappy."He said the U.S. is aiming for a settlement both countries can accept."It's not going to make anybody super happy. Both the Russians and the Ukrainians, probably, at the end of the day, are going to be unhappy with it," he said on Fox News' Sunday Morning Futures with Maria Bartiromo.(...)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-10/european-leaders-want-to-speak-to-trump-before-he-meets-putinCitarEuropean Leaders Want to Speak to Trump Before He Meets PutinUS President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in 2019.Photographer: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty ImagesEuropean nations are seeking to talk to Donald Trump ahead of the US president’s planned meeting in Alaska with Russian leader Vladimir Putin, according to people familiar with the matter.The leaders want to speak to him before Friday when Trump and Putin are due to meet, said the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss private deliberations.Any conversation would follow an intense weekend of diplomacy between US, Ukrainian and European officials, which included meetings in the UK Saturday with Vice President JD Vance and British Foreign Secretary David Lammy.EU ambassadors were briefed on the talks on Sunday and the bloc’s foreign ministers are scheduled to convene virtually on Monday. The White House didn’t immediately reply to a request for comment on a potential call.As part of ongoing discussions between US and Russian officials, Putin is demanding that Ukraine cede its entire eastern Donbas area to Russia as well as Crimea, which his forces illegally annexed in 2014, as a condition to unlock a ceasefire and enter negotiations over a lasting settlement, Bloomberg previously reported.Such an outcome would likely require Kyiv to give up parts of the Luhansk and Donetsk regions still under Ukraine’s control and hand Russia a victory that its army couldn’t achieve militarily since the start of the full-scale invasion in February 2022.If the process moves forward, territory would “have to be on the table,” along with security guarantees for Ukraine, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said Sunday on ABC’s This Week. He suggested that could involve Ukraine acknowledging that it has lost control of some of its territory without formally giving up sovereignty over those regions.Ukraine and its European allies have been pushing for a ceasefire freezing the current frontline as a first step ahead of talks on a more enduring settlement. They also believe in continuing to apply economic pressure on Moscow through sanctions as a way to shift Putin. Trump had threatened sanctions on Russia ahead of a US deadline that expired last Friday, but the president has so far refrained from taking direct action on the Kremlin beyond applying additional tariffs on India over its purchases of Russian oil.Zelenskiy said over the weekend that Kyiv won’t — and constitutionally can’t — cede territory as European leaders pledged their continued support for Ukraine’s sovereignty.“We remain committed to the principle that international borders must not be changed by force,” European leaders said Saturday in a joint statement. “The current line of contact should be the starting point of negotiations,” they said. The statement was backed by UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, and the leaders of France, Germany, Italy, Poland and Finland.An EU official said the US has been closely involved with the ongoing diplomacy and has shown an interest in being aligned with Europe.Under the terms of the deal that US and Russian officials have been discussing, Moscow would halt its offensive in the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions of Ukraine along the current battlelines.It’s unclear if Moscow is prepared to give up any land that it currently occupies, which includes the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, the largest in Europe.Putin has repeatedly insisted that his war goals remain unchanged. They include demands for Kyiv to accept neutral status and abandon its ambition of NATO membership, and to accept the loss of Crimea and the other four eastern and southern Ukrainian regions to Russia.Parts of Donetsk and Luhansk have been under Russian occupation since 2014, when the Kremlin incited separatist violence shortly after the operation to seize Crimea. Putin declared the four Ukrainian regions to be “forever” part of Russia after announcing that he was annexing them in September 2022, even as his forces have never fully controlled those territories.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-10/european-leaders-want-to-speak-to-trump-before-he-meets-putinCitarEuropean Leaders Want to Speak to Trump Before He Meets PutinUS President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in 2019.Photographer: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images[...]If the process moves forward, territory would “have to be on the table,” along with security guarantees for Ukraine, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said Sunday on ABC’s This Week. He suggested that could involve Ukraine acknowledging that it has lost control of some of its territory without formally giving up sovereignty over those regions.[...]
European Leaders Want to Speak to Trump Before He Meets PutinUS President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in 2019.Photographer: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images[...]If the process moves forward, territory would “have to be on the table,” along with security guarantees for Ukraine, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said Sunday on ABC’s This Week. He suggested that could involve Ukraine acknowledging that it has lost control of some of its territory without formally giving up sovereignty over those regions.[...]
Abascal ataca a la Iglesia por su postura sobre los inmigrantes. Esto va a generar otro cortocircuito en parte de sus votantes. Colocarse, desde la derecha, contra la Iglesia es muy friki